By
http://www.newscientist.com/search?rbauthors=Peter+Aldhous">Peter Aldhous
Extraordinary claims don't come much more extraordinary than this: events that haven't yet happened can influence our behaviour.
Parapsychologists have made outlandish claims about precognition – knowledge of unpredictable future events – for years. But the fringe phenomenon is about to get a mainstream airing: a paper providing evidence for its existence has been accepted for publication by the leading social psychology journal.
What's more, sceptical psychologists who have pored over a
http://www.dbem.ws/FeelingFuture.pdf">preprint of the paper (PDF) say they can't find any significant flaws. "My personal view is that this is ridiculous and can't be true," says
http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Psychology/people/facultypage.php?id=10378">Joachim Krueger of Brown University in Providence, Rhode Island, who has
http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/one-among-many/201010/why-i-dont-believe-in-precognition">blogged about the work on the Psychology Today website. "Going after the methodology and the experimental design is the first line of attack. But frankly, I didn't see anything. Everything seemed to be in good order."
Critical massThe paper, due to appear in the
http://www.apa.org/pubs/journals/psp/">Journal of Personality and Social Psychology before the end of the year, is the culmination of eight years' work by
http://www.dbem.ws/">Daryl Bem of Cornell University in Ithaca, New York. "I purposely waited until I thought there was a critical mass that wasn't a statistical fluke," he says.
It describes a series of experiments involving more than 1000 student volunteers. In most of the tests, Bem took well-studied psychological phenomena and simply reversed the sequence, so that the event generally interpreted as the cause happened after the tested behaviour rather than before it.
Full article:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn19712-evidence-that-we-can-see-the-future-to-be-published.htmlETA Here's an article about it on Psychology Today:
http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/the-social-thinker/201010/have-scientists-finally-discovered-evidence-psychic-phenomena">Have Scientists Finally Discovered Evidence for Psychic Phenomena?!