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Why would anyone think Palin couldn’t get elected president?

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Cyrano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:48 PM
Original message
Why would anyone think Palin couldn’t get elected president?
Whatever you think of Palin, don’t underestimate her, don’t underestimate the ignorance of Americans who would vote for her, and don’t underestimate the reality that elections can be stolen.

I have an acquaintance, and even a family member, who would vote for Palin as president in a heartbeat. Can anyone be that ignorant/uninformed? You betcha.

As much as I’ve tried to explain to them that this will never happen, I can’t help but remember that an amiable imbecile –- Ronald Reagan -- ended up as president -- twice.

And I’ve also tried to explain to them how Bush’s two terms were illegitimate (once appointed to the Oval Office by the Supreme Court, and the second time, stolen in Ohio). They’re not buying it and consider me to be a blind fool who doesn’t see “TRUTH.”

Anyone who believes that a “President Palin” is impossible, wake up. It really could happen.

On the other hand, the only comfort I can find in this scenario is that the thugs that run the Republican Party don’t want to see her in the White House any more than we do. And being that they don’t play by any rules, any hope that we have that Palin will never sit in the Oval Office rests with our enemies. What a goddamn pathetic damn state of affairs.
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JuniperLea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:49 PM
Response to Original message
1. This is utter bullshit, imho...
Seriously. Please don't further GOTP memes here... jesus god... wtf?
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Winterblues Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:50 PM
Response to Original message
2. I think the one main thing against her is she quit her last Elected Gig..
People find it very difficult to forgive that..They may love sarah and all she says and does but because she quit before she just might quit again..That is just too much of a gamble for most...
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TBF Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:52 PM
Response to Original message
3. You're in Florida and I'm in Texas - we're surrounded by them.
But I also hear it from my family in the midwest and friends in places like Colorado. She definitely has a fan base, scary as it is. I got jumped on in another thread for saying she could beat Obama, but I really do think she might be able to do it. Those inside the beltway live a very insular life and for some reason the midterm elections apparently did not shake them up (except for releasing their new "compromise" and "he's everyone's president" memes...).
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cyr330 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:52 PM
Response to Original message
4. Do NOT forget Reagan
Edited on Wed Nov-17-10 12:53 PM by cyr330
or GWB if you think somebody "can't" get elected. One never would have thought those two losers would have gotten in, so let's never "misunderstimate" the stupidity of the repig party. They'll nominate any asshole, up to, and including, Sarah Palin.

Oops-- On edit, I see what you mean, and I agree!
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RZM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:06 PM
Response to Reply #4
18. Palin is pretty far from Reagan
By 1980 he had a long record in public life and could also count on the electoral votes of the most populous state in the nation. He was also much better at public relations and projecting a 'nice' image. Palin's only been out there for a couple years and isn't particularly well-liked, except among her relatively small core of supporters. One of Ronnie's strengths was that he had a knack for appealing to people outside of the Republican base, which Palin can't seem to do at all.
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cyr330 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:10 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. Good Point
I suppose all I meant was that Reagan was an idiot as well, although he looks GREAT compared to Sister Sarah. :)
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Arkansas Granny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:53 PM
Response to Original message
5. I don't think she could be elected, but if she was the nominee, there's a good
percentage of freeper types who would vote for her. She could make it a very interesting race. I believe, however, that the majority of voters think her to be unqualified, not to mention the skeletons in her closet.
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uppityperson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:54 PM
Response to Original message
6. Same as I thought about shrub. People are fearful and vote their emotions
those who can manipulate those emotions can win.

Truth is she could win and we need to make sure that doesn't happen.
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Cleita Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:56 PM
Response to Original message
7. I'm seeing some "Palin 2012" bumper stickers in my
neck of the woods already. I want a counter bumper sticker but can't think one up, other than "Palin For Suckers in 2012" but it needs work.
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CrispyQ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:00 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. There's one out there that reads something like:
Palin for President 2012
Didn't the Mayan's warn us?

:rofl:

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Cleita Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:00 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. Buwahahaha! I like that! n/t
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Kennah Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:01 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. Palin 2012: The Maya Were Right
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EmeraldCityGrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #16
35. Those idiots would have to google Maya. n/t
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Kennah Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:00 PM
Response to Reply #7
13. Well ...
... my mind went to "Palin's For Dumb Motherfuckers" but it might not get a lot of play.
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Cleita Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:01 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. They like being called dumb. They wear it like a badge.
It has to be something that can insult them.
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robertpaulsen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 03:14 PM
Response to Reply #7
49. This is the one I'll put on my car if she runs: PALIN 2012-2014 1/2
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:57 PM
Response to Original message
8. Never underestimate the stupidity of the American voter" and you will not go wrong. The GOP
understands their audience and knows how to frame their message. We only occasionally do. Witness the comments made slurring shows like American idol and DWTS. While we sneer, Palin has her daughter dancing on the most watched show in America. Free phones are handed out to voters who support the nice married bland Christan boy over Idols mad talented gay contender Adam Lambert and homophobia explodes. Millions of Americans get their reality from Tee Vee.

Sold right, they will buy Palin. And we will still be trying to articulate a message because we refuse to articulate a message people can understand and we will still be baffled as to why the GOP votes and we do not.
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CrispyQ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:58 PM
Response to Original message
9. Bush was a puppet. Palin is a loose cannon.
TPTB won't allow her to be prez. They can't control her.
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Kennah Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 12:58 PM
Response to Original message
10. The amiable imbecile knew how to play smart politics
Palin is a dunderhead. She's great for shrill motivational crap, but she's got the charisma of anthrax and is less articulate than a hormone crazed teenager after getting dumped by their first crush.

Palin v. Obama would be O'Donnell v. Coons redux.
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DirkGently Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:59 PM
Response to Reply #10
31. I'd worry more about Angle v. Reid redux. Bit of a nailbiter, that.
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Kennah Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:39 PM
Response to Reply #31
46. That does it
You've just succeeded in bursting my bubble of delusion. I'm still clinging to optimism by saying it will be more like a Reid v. O'Donnell--she woulda still lost, but maintained a closer race than she did against Coons.
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DirkGently Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 03:39 PM
Response to Reply #46
50. Just sayin'. Never underestimate the ability of Americans to vote in a whacko.
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cry baby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:00 PM
Response to Original message
12. agreed nt
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RZM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:01 PM
Response to Original message
15. I can see scenario where Palin wins the Republican nomination, but not the presidency
Even getting the Republican nod would be very tough for her, because she'd be utterly savaged by the other candidates. In the current crop of potential Republican nominees, I probably wouldn't put her at the top. But the Tea Party has shown that it can get its people through Republican primaries, so it's entirely possible she could get it. But the general? I just think there's no way. She'd get a lot of votes, but you could put a corpse up against any incumbent and they will get at least 15-20 percent. She'd probably be able to manage over 40 percent, but that's not going to get her there. I'd say the chances of a Palin presidency are very low. You're right that it's not out of the question, but I wouldn't put money on it. My guess is that Democratic strategists are quietly hoping that she will get the nomination because they probably think she is one of the weaker potential opponents in the whole Republican lot.
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EmeraldCityGrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #15
39. One thing you could count on is other Republican women
( Murkowski is a good example) would sabotage her candidacy at every opportunity.
She has no respect and has done nothing more than the Tina Fey "wink and nod" to get
where she's at.
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Liberal_Stalwart71 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:12 PM
Response to Original message
20. I agree with you, despite the snarky comments in this thread. I see how the Corporate Media
Edited on Wed Nov-17-10 01:13 PM by Liberal_Stalwart71
is doing everything possible to turn her into a likable and "softer" woman. Even the so-called liberal media--Keith, Ed, Rachel--not a day goes by that there isn't a mention of Failin Palin.

Yes, her negatives are high. Yes, people NOW say that she isn't presidential material. But as you say, never underestimate the stupidity of the American people. We all see what happened two weeks ago with people voting against their best interests. She and McCain only lost by 6 or 7 percentage points. It is not at all possible.

Near down the president in the media, prop up Sarah Failin such that her numbers improve.

The more people pontificate about her presidency, the more she'll milk it for what it's worth and make money. There are some stupid people who admire the fact that she is able to exploit herself and her family for a buck!
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HughBeaumont Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:39 PM
Response to Original message
21. Winning the lottery is possible too. Getting in a car accident is more probable than that.
Doesn't mean either one are going to happen, though.

Reagan and Bewsh II were elected because they were BRANDS and cowpokes. Bewsh was a legacy, which Repubs love, and the grizzled in the 80s remembered Reagan as the actor/spokesperson/anti-Communist from the 50s/60s. Trusted names, friendly faces, well-covered by the media, promoted by a years-thought-out blueprint.

Palin really isn't part of the corporate blueprint - I'm guessing that no matter how well they market her, America in general sees her as a comedy act for the tabloid set, and Corporate America knows this.

There are a lot of problems with Palin that don't necessarily lead to a voter comparison with Bewsh/Reagan's elections. There's really no way to paint her as a moderate at this point, as they did with Bewsh. A great deal of Republicans are not insane Teabaggers. These are the ones that likely find the idea of a President Palin as earth-scorching as we all do. She doesn't really do herself any favors with her cornpone economics, zany foreign policy and repeated idiotic comments, nor will she be helped by the likelihood of Clinton-era stonewalling by the newly elected Republican house. If the economy gets better, it will be curtains.

There are other Republicans that are incredibly sexist as well. Palin isn't likely going to win fence sitters or independents, nor will she win politically inclined young people over in great numbers, not even conservative ones.

Her voting base is the TeaBagathon, the uninformed (but I repeat myself) and the grizzled. And I'm sorry to say, it's not going to be enough to influence a presidential election this time out. America's crazy, but it ain't stupid.

This isn't an underestimation; I'm just not as cocksure about it as some here seem to be. Are people really going to be THAT tired of Obama that we're going to regress and put some Dark-Ages batshit insane cultist in the Oval Office and all the damage that likely will come with it?
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speppin Donating Member (197 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
22. She has a chance.
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JackRiddler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
23. Obviously she would have a chance in a three-way race (with Bloomberg in the mix, for example).
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snooper2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:47 PM
Response to Original message
24. Kick - since the OP lost his OP
:P
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uppityperson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:48 PM
Response to Reply #24
26. I hate it when that happens. CAN you ignore your own thread?
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pinboy3niner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:50 PM
Response to Reply #26
28. LOL! "I MEANT to bookmark it, but...."
:rofl:
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BrklynLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:48 PM
Response to Original message
25. Bush got in twice...so virtually ANYTHING is possible...sadly.
In that case, I would not hesitate to become an ex-pat...anywhere but here.
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HughBeaumont Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:48 PM
Response to Original message
27. Another thing to add . . .
It was mentioned above that Palin vs Obama would be like Coons/O'Donnell all over again. That's valid, since they would have to debate a few times. I really don't see SarUH coming out of those in anything less than a figurative body cast; she'd be exposed and intellectually bested beyond belief.
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GSLevel9 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:52 PM
Response to Original message
29. I don't believe that she can be elected...
because I feel she can never expand her base beyond the "forty percenter's"

The ONLY possible way she could win would be with a Veep candidate like Rubio who might be able to go out there, speak Spanish to Hispanic media and bring in more voters.
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Turbineguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:58 PM
Response to Original message
30. Palin is the natural successor to GWB
as he was to Saint Ronnie.

Given the information and those who lap it up, she's in with a good chance. Unless the RW BS Machine goes off the air, she can get the job. Given that the RW do not believe facts matter, this country can turn into a Mad Max world and they still not understand how they got there.
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Harry Monroe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:13 PM
Response to Reply #30
42. "Palin is the natural successor to GWB as GWB was to St. Ronnie"
Man, talk about devolution!! What's the natural successor to Palin? The mind boggles at the stupidity of this person. Perhaps Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Camacho? (for those who don't know who this is, watch "Idiocracy". Also watch it as a warning as to what is to come). Or maybe a turnip is the natural successor to Palin. But I wouldn't want to insult the turnip.
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Turbineguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:51 PM
Response to Reply #42
47. "What's the natural successor to Palin? "
I expect many of us will not be around to contemplate that.
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nonconformist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 03:40 PM
Response to Reply #47
51. Joe the Plumber, I suspect. nt
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whathehell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:59 PM
Response to Original message
32. As recently as four months ago 70% of Americans agreed she wasn't fit to be President. n/t
Edited on Wed Nov-17-10 02:00 PM by whathehell
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Turborama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 01:59 PM
Response to Original message
33. If you're going to contrast and compare, the question is how long were Reagan & Bush Governors for?
Edited on Wed Nov-17-10 02:04 PM by Turborama
Reagan 8 years (2 terms).

Bush slightly under 6 (roughly 1 1/2 terms).

And Palin's was just 2 1/2 years (just over half a term).

If we want to go deeper into the length of time the other two worked in politics before they ran for President compared to her, there is an even larger time gap. The crux of the matter is, they were actually a lot more experienced politicians that she is and they didn't quit their Governorships.

Anyway, I think this is all moot. She won't survive the Primaries, her opponents will eat her alive, and if she insists on running after that her run as an independent will split the vote which would be a gift to us.
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Cleita Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #33
36. Maybe she should be encouraged to run as an
independent. :evilgrin:
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Turborama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #36
38. I really hope she does. Has she got enough time to form her own "Tea Party"?
Edited on Wed Nov-17-10 02:06 PM by Turborama
Maybe that is something she's being "http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x4618187">internally candid" about?
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closeupready Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:01 PM
Response to Original message
34. K&R, 100%.
You nailed it.
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johnnie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:05 PM
Response to Original message
37. Because there are more powerful people than Palin
And they would make sure it didn't happen. After 2000 and 2004 it amazes me that people still think that the general public votes in a president.
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sadbear Donating Member (799 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:08 PM
Response to Original message
40. She's a quitter
And McCain effectively lost 2008 when he put her on the ticket. So that makes her a loser, too.
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jeff47 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:13 PM
Response to Original message
41. Because while she has a pack of supporters that worship her...
it's a small pack. She polls terribly, even among Republicans. While W and Reagan weren't exactly brilliant, they polled well.
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newportdadde Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:21 PM
Response to Original message
43. It all depends on what the corporations and the rich want. If they want Palin they will sell her.
Personally I would say with the recent seats being pickedup in the House and Senate and a charged up idiot Tea Party she has a much better shot then I would have ever imagined in 2008. Factor in the daughter and all that noise and Palin is becoming a 'household name', the brand at least is strong and that makes it marketable.

For my money though I still think it will be Jeb Bush.
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K8-EEE Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:28 PM
Response to Original message
44. I may be a minority but I think the Palins are jumping the shark FAST
Between that built up FAIL show (yes, I know a lot of people tuned in but it was totally FAIL) and Bristol kicking off the decent dancers and now the fb meltdown, I think they will be the most unpopular family in America by the time the elections are here. True I don't live in Freeperville but I don't know anybody who doesn't just want them all to go away. What where they whining about? Privacy? PLEASE! GIVE IT TO THEM!
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ProudDad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:34 PM
Response to Original message
45. Oh, it's VERY possible
Edited on Wed Nov-17-10 02:35 PM by ProudDad
I'm reminded of pResident ronny ray-gun -- a major piece of shit -- Hell, we didn't think he could be elected governor...

I'm reminded of g.w.bush -- a major piece of shit and draft dodger (with his draft dodging puppet master cheney)...

Yep, I think it's 50-50 that President Palin will be next...

Especially if the democrats keep trying to be republican-lite...

Check out "Idiocracy" -- that's exactly where we're headed (except the human race isn't going to be around in the year 2505)... Hell, my money is on the fact that the human race won't be around past the 22nd century...and by then the remains won't even know that the year IS 21xx....
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walldude Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 02:58 PM
Response to Original message
48. The only reason I could see that happening is that the Dems
can't run a decent election to save their asses. Which was well proven these last few months.


Palin left Wasilla millions in the hole, she quit the governorship, she sank McCain's campaign, the big Repugs hate her, her husband is a secessionist for fucks sake. If this woman becomes President the Democrats should just fold up their tents because if they can't beat her, there is no hope for them.
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bullwinkle428 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 03:45 PM
Response to Original message
52. Serious question : Do you think America is capable of electing Cheney as President?
Because they have approximately the same approval ratings.

She only gets the media attention she does as a result of being "attractive", in the most superficial sense as possible when compared to Evil Dick...
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donheld Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-17-10 11:48 PM
Response to Original message
53. Agreed. Only a fool would discount that possibility
With Citizen's United and foolish Americans it's a possibility.
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