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A 100-Year-Old Chicago Transit Line’s Replacement Pondered

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marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-02-11 04:49 PM
Original message
A 100-Year-Old Chicago Transit Line’s Replacement Pondered



from the Transport Politic blog:



A 100-Year-Old Chicago Transit Line’s Replacement Pondered

Yonah Freemark
February 2nd, 2011 | 21 Comments


Elevated rapid transit — like any kind of physical infrastructure — degrades over time.

Faced with decades of carrying hundreds of thousands of people daily in a notoriously extreme climate, the rail line that runs local Red and express Purple trains north from Chicago’s Belmont Station to Linden Terminal in Wilmette Evanston along 9.5 miles of track has seen better days. While much of the rest of the elevated and subway system operated by the Chicago Transit Authority (CTA) has been renovated in recent years, this section of rail corridor and the stations associated with it has continued to degrade, resulting in slowed-down, unreliable trains and damaged structural conditions. Of the 21 stations concerned by this corridor, only 6 have handicap access. That’s bad news for the about 125,000 daily users who take advantage of the line every day.



Thus last month the CTA began holding public meetings on what it calls the Red & Purple Modernization Project, an initial step towards the eventual creation of an Environmental Impact Statement, which in turn allows the CTA to apply for federal funds to renovate the corridor.

In this case, there will be no easy options for the city’s transit authority. Certainly nothing will be cheap. But what might be expensive elsewhere — a subway — could turn out to be the most cost-effective solution for Chicago.

In preparation for public events this year, CTA planners have performed simple evaluations on a number of potential options for the corridor, summarized in the chart above.

The CTA has four fundamental options: Maintain the track in its current condition, allowing it to degrade, slowing trains and requiring constant upkeep and high operating costs ($280 million); Rehabilitate the track, putting it into a state of good repair for a short period of time (20 years) and potentially introduce new transfer options from express to local trains ($2.4-2.9 billion); Build a new elevated line along the Chicago section of the corridor, either with three or four tracks, and rebuild the embanked Evanston portion ($4-4.2 billion); and Construct a subway along the southern half of the line, eliminating the existing elevated portions there ($4 billion). ............(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.thetransportpolitic.com/2011/02/02/a-100-year-old-chicago-transit-lines-replacement-pondered/



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nxylas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-03-11 04:04 AM
Response to Original message
1. "Elevated rapid transit — like any kind of physical infrastructure — degrades over time."
Not PRT. PRT would never degrade over time, because it's magic.

:popcorn:
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marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Feb-03-11 09:07 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. LOL.....
..... and give me some. :popcorn:


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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-09-11 09:48 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. Oh, ye of little faith!
I guess you don't know how often the roads in your community have to be resurfaced, and how much of your tax dollars go towards that. Maybe you don't know how old the bridges in your area are, how much rust is hidden inside its structure, how close to collapse those bridges are each and every time you drive over them.

But you want to cast stones at PRT instead. That's ok, we'll just have to disagree. I only pray that you or one of your loved ones isn't on one of those bridges when it collapses, as happened with the I-35W bridge in Minnesota.

"eliminating all bridge deficiencies would take more than $9 billion a year for 20 years."

http://topics.nytimes.com/topics/reference/timestopics/subjects/b/bridges_and_tunnels/bridge_disasters/index.html
That's $180 Billion. Just to fix the known problems on our existing bridges. That also doesn't count the additional problems that will crop up over the next 20 years while we're working on those.

PRT is a far better deal. At a cost of $10 million per mile, which includes the auto taxis and the stations, we could instead build 18,000 miles of PRT track. I know which I'd rather see my tax dollars go toward.
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nxylas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-09-11 10:43 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. I don't want to cast stones at PRT
As I've said before, it can be the best option in certain situations. I'm just sceptical of some of the messianic claims made by its supporters. It has proven itself effective over areas of a few square miles in enclosed environments like airports and university campuses, and in new planned developments like Masdar City. To extrapolate this and push PRT as a substitute for existing transit systems covering hundreds of square miles goes way beyond the available evidence. But of course, you'll just say that the evidence has been suppressed by the Hawaii Department of Vital Records light rail industry.
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happyslug Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-15-11 05:00 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. PRT suffers from a basic problem, it is a solution looking for a problem
Personal Rapid Transit (PRT) suffers from two basic fatal concepts that will kill it in most locations. First is the cars are to small for high density areas. It is a lot easier and quicker to fill one 100 passenger car, then it is is fill ten, ten 10 passenger cars. Thus in areas of high population density, any other type of mass transits (which includes buses) can move more people quicker.

As to lower density areas, that is where the modern automobile does its job the best. PRT is suppose to "replace" the car is such situations, but you are looking at building an infrastructure so massive and complex the cost will frighten most people away. Furthermore, unlike the present highway system, it is restricted to one size vehicle for everything AND the high cost of the system must be installed all at the same time, unlike the highway system that can be replaced piece by piece.

PRT sounds good till you actually look at how people use mass transit and automobiles and find that Subways and Light rails provide better service when constant service is called for (inner cities to the suburbs), while the automobile does the same job the PRT does better and in a wider areas then any proposed PRT proposal in low density population areas (Suburbs and rural areas) AT a lower cost on a year to year basis. Thus PRT is a solution looking for a problem to solve. PRT can NOT solve the problem of high density areas, for PRT can NOT provide the volume needed, nor can it solve the problem of the low density area at any where near the cost of the present road system.

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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-15-11 11:20 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. PRT suffers from being superior in cost, convenience, energy usage, emissions...
In short, PRT suffers from nothing. Except in the minds of the light rail and bus industry who are quite happy to continue to drain Billions each year from the taxpayers in subsidies to their failed industries. Light rail is NEVER profitable. It will need to be subsidized from now till the end of time. In certain parts of the nation, bus service can be profitable but mostly it is not. It, too, leeches off the public tax payers for subsidies year in and year out. PRT is profitable from the fares. Let me repeat: PRT is profitable, light rail and bus service is never profitable. Yeah, that's a strike against PRT for sure... :sarcasm:


You state that PRT requires "building an infrastructure so massive and complex the cost will frighten most people away." You mean like mile upon mile of roads, bridges and tunnels such as we have now for the automobile. And then there are the parking lots, which take up at least 30% of the available land in most urban and suburban areas. PRT takes a 3' wide elevated guideway, one 5' square of concrete sunk into the ground every 60 to 90 feet for support poles. Yeah, you're right again. That PRT sure takes up a lot of space (5 WHOLE FEET!!!) :idiot:

Your next incorrect statement: "it is restricted to one size vehicle for everything AND the high cost of the system must be installed all at the same time, unlike the highway system that can be replaced piece by piece." Wow. Where did you pull that out of? Let's hope it was out of thin air instead of the other option; your argument stinks enough as it is. Your claim is patently false. It is ridiculous to the point of being borderline insane. Why would PRT need to be replaced all at once? When your community puts in a new road do they replace all the existing roads all at once as well? No? The same goes for PRT. It will be a grid of elevated track which interconnects and allows multiple possible routes to any given destination. PRT is far more resilient and forgiving of construction or natural disaster: the system just reroutes you around the trouble area. You will probably never even be aware of it.

With today's artery highway system there are too many bottlenecks and choke points where one highway joins another. Not so with PRT. Each lane of PRT is equivalent to a 3-lane highway so there is not "single best route" into downtown or anywhere else for that matter. In fact, the control system routinely spreads out the vehicles so that there are no bottlenecks anywhere. And because it is all computer controlled there are no traffic jams, no crashes and no rubberneckers slowing the whole freeway down as with cars and buses.

"The automobile does the same job the PRT does better and in a wider areas then any proposed PRT proposal in low density population areas (Suburbs and rural areas) AT a lower cost on a year to year basis." Well that proves that you just didn't do your homework. Roads cost far more to build and maintain than PRT. They do not cost less during construction and you are paying for the operating costs with gasoline tax so maybe you don't know how many billions of dollars go into just filling potholes. The fact is the current road system is a forced subsidy to the trucking industry because 18 wheelers do 2900 times as much damage to roads as passenger cars do but only carry about 400 times the cargo that an equivalent amount of cars or pickup trucks could carry. You are paying extra so the trucking companies can rake in bigger profits. Now doesn't that make you all warm and fuzzy inside???

The point about only one size of vehicle is only partially correct. It depends I suppose on whether you have a huge family or not. Most PRT auto-taxis have seat either 3 or 4 but that is only a design choice by the engineer who had to make a working prototype. Many other size vehicles are possible. If you have a large family or want to take the socker team out for pizza then why not just take several PRTs and meet up at the Chucky Cheese for some fun and grub?

One benefit of PRT that is not present in other sytems is that children can safely use the PRT system to travel from home to school and back. There are no worries of other passengers because there ARE no other passengers with PRT. Everyone always rides in comfort, safety and convenience. Some PRTs even come with an entertainment system or wifi access so you can relax or even get some work done.

Your incorrect statement that light rail can handle more passengers is also without basis in fact. PRT systems can handle as many passengers per mile if not more. The stations are smaller and more numerous than bus or light rail. PRT wins each and every competition with the tax dollar leeching light rail and bus transit options. Period.
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-15-11 11:22 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. PRT brings us livable cities - bus and light rail just leech off our tax dollars
You decide.
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happyslug Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-16-11 01:22 AM
Response to Reply #8
12. Let me address some of your statements
Edited on Wed Feb-16-11 01:28 AM by happyslug
After you did a short piece of sarcasm you mention the the size of the Guide-way:

"PRT takes a 3' wide elevated guide-way, one 5' square of concrete sunk into the ground every 60 to 90 feet for support poles. Yeah, you're right again. That PRT sure takes up a lot of space (5 WHOLE FEET!!!)". Do you know what it cost to build such a structure? The reason State Highway departments avoid bridges is bridges cost a lot of money to build and maintain. It is a lot cheaper to build on the ground then in the sky. For clearances purposes you have to have at least 16 feet of clearance to meet present Federal law (20 feet if you want to meet interstate requirements).

Now, on the net I found a 20 foot M2 Baily bridge for $15,000. There is 5280 feet in a mile so you would need 264 of these bridges for one mile of track, that comes to 3.9 million dollars. Bailey bridges are just the part between the post the bridges stands on. The post will have to be dug into the ground, with concrete every 20 feet or so (you can go longer, but stronger and more expensive pieces are needed). Such support roughly run, installed about the same as the bridge, thus you are looking at an additional 4 million dollars per mile. Thus before we even hook up the electrical system and the control system you are looking at about 8-10 million dollars per mile. Electronics have gone down but no matter how we look at it, if you set this up over the public streets (no additional buying of any land for right of way) you are looking at $10 million dollars a mile. Light rail tend to be higher, but that reflects Light Rail have been built and thus we have a good idea of the cost of light Rail, a true PRT system has NEVER been Built (The closest thing is the University of West Virginia System, and the constant complaint about it is the cars are to small for the number of students who want to use it). Anything NOT built on the ground is vastly more expensive then if built on the ground. Furthermore given the nature of such "bridges" they must be maintained, checked for any problems and repairs made (including making sure any drains are working which must be done after any rainstorm).

Yes, I know a you are looking at something lighter then a Bailey Bridge, but the M2 Bailey Bridge is a good example of the price per length and that is why I am using it.

Price for a baily bridge:
http://www.equipmentready.com/?center=details&EQ_ID=1060115

You then said the following
"Your next incorrect statement: "it is restricted to one size vehicle for everything AND the high cost of the system must be installed all at the same time, unlike the highway system that can be replaced piece by piece." Wow. Where did you pull that out of? Let's hope it was out of thin air instead of the other option; your argument stinks enough as it is. Your claim is patently false. It is ridiculous to the point of being borderline insane. Why would PRT need to be replaced all at once? When your community puts in a new road do they replace all the existing roads all at once as well? No? The same goes for PRT. It will be a grid of elevated track which interconnects and allows multiple possible routes to any given destination. PRT is far more resilient and forgiving of construction or natural disaster: the system just reroutes you around the trouble area. You will probably never even be aware of it."

What are you calling for a PRT or a small car light rail system (or more accurately a light rail with rubber ties running on Concrete)? To have the ability to reroute you must have duplicate lines, all adding to the cost of the system. If you reduce the cost of the system the ability to reroute disappears. i.e. the cars get stuck behind the car in front of them when that first cars stops. If you do not have the ability to reroute you have a Light Rail system on rubber wheels with very small cars. If you do have the ability to reroute the cost of the systems increases exponentially. I know math is disliked by a lot of people, but duplicate lines means duplicate costs, thus why most cities only have one interstate from any one direction, the cost for two is to high and the same with any other transportation system.

As to being easy to repair, modern construction techniques make repair of any rail the easiest in the world (Except in earthquakes no repairs are generally needed). The same can be said of any concrete system, the only thing additionally most such hard surfaces needed over rail is a hose to wash away any small debris (Rail can ignore such small debris).

With today's artery highway system there are too many bottlenecks and choke points where one highway joins another. Not so with PRT. Each lane of PRT is equivalent to a 3-lane highway so there is not "single best route" into downtown or anywhere else for that matter. In fact, the control system routinely spreads out the vehicles so that there are no bottlenecks anywhere. And because it is all computer controlled there are no traffic jams, no crashes and no rubberneckers slowing the whole freeway down as with cars and buses.

Most bottleneck occur when people want to get off and on at the same stop at the same time. I give a personal example, when I was in High School I had to take a Streetcar to my High School. I was on the last Streetcar line in Pittsburgh. Every morning I went to the streetcar stop, and waited to see which streetcar would stop. I remember waiting for two or three streetcars to go by, packed to the gills. These came right after another, never more then two minutes apart. Why did all these people pack onto the Streetcars, it was the fastest way to get to Downtown Pittsburgh, such passengers only concern was to get on the Streetcar and then ride it till they get to town and exit out of either the front or rear doors (Pittsburgh has a system, no one pays the fare in downtown, going into town, you pay as you enter, leaving town you pay as you exit the streetcar or bus). It was on the single best route, bypassing the traffic sitting on West Liberty Avenue and PA 51 with ease. Anywhere on its length it was faster to take the Streetcar then to drive your own car do to the volume of the traffic. The problem on these Streetcars you would have 100-150 people, the Streetcars ran every two minutes (sometimes shorter). How would you discharge this volume of people from a PRT system? we are talking about 10,000 people per hour. Remember all of these 10,000 people want to get off at the same spot, downtown Pittsburgh. This is a typical light rail or bus system, high volume of people. The volume was so high, when the old PCC Streetcars was replaced, they were replaced by twice as long light rail vehicle, capable (and often doing) 250-300 people per car. The volume of people per hour stayed about the same. Any thing with smaller volume of people can NOT do this level of transportation. You can NOT have cars capable of only six people picking up 10,000 people per hour. Instead of the 100 or so Light Rail Vehicles doing the work at the present time, you would need 1000 PRTs to stop, leave people exit and have other enter, all within 60 minutes or 1200 seconds (i.e. the PRT would have only one second to discharge and pick up people before it would start to jam up the system. Chicago and New York City have even heavier volumes of passengers. One solution is to have multiple routes, but then you would need multiple entrance and exit points all with a couple of blocks of each other. The problem is NOT the number of routes but that in areas where automobiles are NOT a variable option, the main reason is the sheer volume of passengers getting off and on the mass transit system. PRT, with their small cars can NOT handle that volume of people all at once and all at the same time.

"The automobile does the same job the PRT does better and in a wider areas then any proposed PRT proposal in low density population areas (Suburbs and rural areas) AT a lower cost on a year to year basis." Well that proves that you just didn't do your homework. Roads cost far more to build and maintain than PRT. They do not cost less during construction and you are paying for the operating costs with gasoline tax so maybe you don't know how many billions of dollars go into just filling potholes. The fact is the current road system is a forced subsidy to the trucking industry because 18 wheelers do 2900 times as much damage to roads as passenger cars do but only carry about 400 times the cargo that an equivalent amount of cars or pickup trucks could carry. You are paying extra so the trucking companies can rake in bigger profits. Now doesn't that make you all warm and fuzzy inside???

So what are you proposing, a PRT to my hunting cabin in the Mountains? That makes no sense. While I agree with you we are all subsidizing the trucking industry, that is a side point at best when it comes to Mass Transit. PRT may be cheaper to build and run then highways, but the cost to maintain those highways will remain, thus the cost of the PRT, like light rail, will be an additional cost over and above the cost to maintain the highway system.

The point about only one size of vehicle is only partially correct. It depends I suppose on whether you have a huge family or not. Most PRT auto-taxis have seat either 3 or 4 but that is only a design choice by the engineer who had to make a working prototype. Many other size vehicles are possible. If you have a large family or want to take the soccer team out for pizza then why not just take several PRTs and meet up at the Chucky Cheese for some fun and grub?

You are avoiding the main use of any transportation system, to get to and from work. Secondary trips as in going shopping or taking the soccer team out are at best minor transportation issue (Through I have to point out why the West Penn Railway Streetcar System closed down in the early 1950s, the blame was put on TV, people no longer went out at night when they bought their first TV sets, thus the West Penn Railway saw a huge drop in income do to people staying home to watch TV). I bring up the West Penn Railway for it shows how non-rush hour traffic was and is important for any transportation system, but also to show the main source of revenue was and is people going to and from work and thus volume at peak time is more important then vehicle size, it is that it is easier to remove 300 people from one vehicle then 300 people from ten vehicles if all of people want out at the same stop.

One benefit of PRT that is not present in other systems is that children can safely use the PRT system to travel from home to school and back. There are no worries of other passengers because there ARE no other passengers with PRT. Everyone always rides in comfort, safety and convenience. Some PRTs even come with an entertainment system or wifi access so you can relax or even get some work done.

According to Federal Crime reports, nationwide less then 100 children a year are kidnapped by strangers (most are kidnapped by relatives). When I was age 9, I was taking the bus alone by myself, from the South Park Area of Allegheny County, to Downtown Pittsburgh, transfered to an Oakland bus just to get my teeth worked on at the Pitt Dental School (and this was the late 1960s, about the same time period there was a Race Riot in the Pittsburgh Hill District, a district the bus I took had to go through). No one ever tried to molest me, and if someone had, the rest of the passengers would have beat him up.

I use to do some Children and Youth work, and a child is more likely to be abused if in a car then on any other piece of transportation, in simple terms what you view as "protection" is a trap for children. The Child is safer out in the public then in a small PRT type vehicle. Comfort, Safety and Convince is in the eyes of the beholder, all three are met in my mind in a crowded Streetcar that gets me where I am going. Having to wait for my "private" PRT would increase my discomfort of waiting, the smaller size of the vehicle will bring up concerns of Safety and the fact I can not exit as the same time as 1000 other people at the same place would cause me a huge inconvenience.

Your incorrect statement that light rail can handle more passengers is also without basis in fact. PRT systems can handle as many passengers per mile if not more. The stations are smaller and more numerous than bus or light rail. PRT wins each and every competition with the tax dollar leeching light rail and bus transit options. Period.

The problem is that in most urban areas, the number of places people want to go to are limited, thus you have 10,000 people getting off and on with one hour of each other at the same stop. Light rail can handled that, at 250 a pop, all you need is 40 (40, times 250 equals 10,000 people). One Light Rail vehicle every one and half a minutes. If we project that 10,000 people over two hours you have three minutes per car. More then doable. PRT, if we assume 10 passengers per car would need 1000 per hour, 500 over two hours. 1-2 SECONDS per car to unload and load is to narrow a time frame.

The problem with PRT is that is a Car Drivers solution to Mass transit, not a Mass Transit users solution to Mass Transit. People who have used Mass Transit accept crowded Vehicles, lack of seats and meeting new people on the bus/Streetcar/LRV. PRT does NOT address such mass transits users main concern, getting on and off the means of transportation at the same time and same place as every body else. That later concern can NOT be addressed by PRT, for PRT puts its emphasis on privacy, a concept most mass transit users gave up decades ago (or never embraced it). As I have said before PRT is a solution looking for a problem to solve, the problem is it does NOT solve the problems facing most users of Mass Transit,
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-16-11 04:49 AM
Response to Reply #12
13. I gotta give you points for consistency
You are consistently wrong on a good many things. Let's hit just the highlights as I don't have all night to refute every incorrect thing you've just written.

==a true PRT system has NEVER been Built
Wrong. Heathrow Airport in London has a form of PRT, though not the one I most favor. And ditto for Masdar City in the UAE. Ya gotta count the ones that exist even if it refutes your point. Sorry.

==It is a lot cheaper to build on the ground then in the sky.
Not always. When you build on the ground you are now in contention for that road space with pedestrians, bicycles, cars, trolleys, and sometimes trains. It isn't always cheaper as many cities have their sewer, power, water buried and you would have to contend with all of that. How much easier to find a 5' space that has none of those. The same motors that push the auto taxi along will have to be embedded into the street and they do not sit flush with the ground so you'll have to do a lot of work arounds to make it safe for others. Then there is the hassle of having to stop for everyone. That defeats the main benefit of PRT: it doesn't stop for anybody. You go straight to your destination.

==As to being easy to repair, modern construction techniques make repair of any rail the easiest in the world (Except in earthquakes no repairs are generally needed).
You're forgetting what they had to do (all the expensive construction that had to take place) in order to get to that point. For a light rail line they have to dig down to bedrock or very solid ground, often deeper than 20 ft then put in successive layers of gravel and compactable stone dust and compact it in increments of 1 to 4 inches (with a huge machine), then do it again and again and again till they are at the proper height, in order to form the stable bed that the tracks need. You cannot just jump to the end and say that steel rails are the cheapest without also including how you got there.

==3.9 million dollars. Bailey bridges
That is for a retail cost. The PRT manufacturer will set up a local factory and employ local workers to build the elevated track for the PRT. Jobs will be created, almost no transportation costs, and turn around time is almost nil. The Taxi2000 trusses are built in lengths of either 60 or 90 feet depending on the distance between supports. The trusses contain all of the electrical and communications interconnects that the system needs. You can't just go out and buy "bob's bridge" and slap it in. It's all part of a system and it has to be built right.

==the cost to maintain those highways will remain, thus the cost of the PRT, like light rail, will be an additional cost over and above the cost to maintain the highway system.
I see no proof of what you say. Your private road is your responsibility and likewise if you want a road/highway that goes up to your little mountain getaway then it can be a toll road --you pay for it, I'm not interested in doing so and I'm under no obligation to pay for your road. I'm doing it now against my wishes. I'd just as soon see all that asphalt torn out and the land returned to trees so we can get a jump on the environmental problems we're facing.

==You are avoiding the main use of any transportation system, to get to and from work. Secondary trips as in going shopping or taking the soccer team out are at best minor transportation issue
You at first were complaining that only one size of auto taxi would be available. Now it seems like you are saying that a single person vehicle suitable for a commute is all you'd need. 1. I never said that there would only be one size of vehicle. 2. Having a smaller, single occupancy vehicle would be good because the energy used to push it to its destination would be less than if it were a 4 or 6-passenger model. Good tip. Also, the company called JPODS says its 4 passenger cars only weigh 350 pounds anyway (all the heavy stuff is inside the track).

==Most bottleneck occur when people want to get off and on at the same stop at the same time.
I may not have painted the picture clearly enough. There will be no bottlenecks because this isn't a single line that goes east to west across the city. There are multiple routes to get to a certain station usually. And some PRT systems are laid out in a grid pattern so there are innumerable paths to any single station. You are right that some stations will be more popular than others (like a PRT station at the mall versus one right outside your neighborhood). The beauty of PRT is that the stations can be any size they need to be, have as many berths for the auto taxis as they need, from 1 to 20 or more. And since you have a smart card you simply swipe to enter the auto taxi it will be fast and convenient to get on and quick to get off. And the stations are not on the main track. Other auto taxis that do not need to stop at that station simply continue on and never have to wait or slow down at all. The station has a side track that comes off the main track and even the length of that can be adjusted to accommodate more or fewer auto taxis that may have to wait for an open berth. Bottlenecks are for cars, and for buses, and for trains. Not for PRT.

==not a Mass Transit users solution to Mass Transit.
And thank goodness for that. Mass transit only serves 3.5% to 5% of any community (except in high density cities). Most buses run nearly empty. Most trains are all but empty except during rush hour. Light rail and buses are never profitable and that is one reason why.

==PRT puts its emphasis on privacy, a concept most mass transit users gave up decades ago (or never embraced it).
PRT gives you the choice to ride alone or to invite friends, family , coworkers, etc. to share the ride with you. You choose. That's not a down side, that's one of PRT's greatest features. If you have wifi or 4G access you can work in peace on the trip or watch a movie, read a Kindle, whatever and you won't be jostled, bumped, bothered, or have your nose assaulted by the unwashed person nearby. Those are not things to recommend bus and trains, those are the reasons why 95% of people stay the heck out of mass transit.
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KamaAina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-03-11 09:29 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Doesn't Morgantown, WV also have a small PRT system?
Edited on Thu Mar-03-11 09:30 PM by KamaAina
That would be the lesser of two reasons I would want to visit there. Several favorite DUers :loveya: are No. 1; ironically, two of them are transit riders and are constantly complaining about lousy fixed-route service.
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-07-11 09:31 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. The system at WVU is a great automated people mover, over 100,000 hours accident free
They have a better safety record than just about any bus or light rail system in the country. But, technically, it's a GRT --Group Rapid Transit-- not a PRT system. The WVU system uses what are basically computer controlled small buses with a capacity of (if memory serves) 16 people. PRT uses smaller auto-taxis that carry from 3 or 4 people depending on exactly which system you're talking about, which makes them light weight and energy efficient.

The decision to use large vehicles in the WVU system led to greatly increased construction costs (the track and overpasses had to be much larger and stronger than a PRT system would require --which adds $$$ to build). The idea was that they needed larger vehicles so they could carry more passengers but that led to a higher construction budget so there are always trade-offs. If they were making the system today they would use the 4 passenger vehicle designs to save construction costs.

For a longer discussion of the relative costs of light rail versus PRT, check out this OP:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=398&topic_id=782&mesg_id=807
... hint: PRT is about 10% the cost of recent light rail projects in Chicago and right here in Dallas.
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-04-11 12:32 PM
Response to Original message
3. Cost per mile basis
Edited on Fri Feb-04-11 12:35 PM by txlibdem
Here is what it says in the link posted in the OP:
Chicago has completed renovations of several of its transit lines in the past, including the Brown Line in 2009, the Dan Ryan stretch of the Red Line in 2007, the Pink Line in 2006, and the South Side Green Line in 1996. Yet the closest comparison to the project may be the renovation of Philadelphia's Market Street El, which wound up in September 2009. There, the local transit agency spent $740 million effectively turning a 100-year-old, 2-mile line into a brand new two-track corridor, replacing all track, all of the support structures, and all of the stations. At an average cost of $370 million per mile, it is no surprise that Chicago's planners estimate estimate at least a $4 billion cost ($421 million/mile) for the replacement of their two to four-track line.

http://www.thetransportpolitic.com/2011/02/02/a-100-year-old-chicago-transit-lines-replacement-pondered/

At a cost of $4 billion, the subway is the best option of those presented: it gets people out of the weather and increases ridership more than any of the other alternatives. But at a cost of $421 million per mile?!?

By Michael D. Setty

The website for the personal rapid transit (PRT) system claimed by proponents as closest to revenue operation, operations, the 2.5 mile "ULTra" PRT parking lot shuttle currently undergoing testing at Heathrow International Airport outside London, recently released more information regarding construction costs. In most applications, ULTra estimates costs of $7 to $15 million per one-way guideway mile. After reviewing this cost discussion, it is highly probable that ULTra proponents have underestimated likely PRT capital costs per mile by at least a factor of two to three.

The ULTra website is located here: http://www.ultraprt.com/cms/index.php?page=cost-per-mile-7m---15m

If the vehicles as designed actually hold up under the relatively daily heavy usage anticipated by ULTra at Heathrow, their estimates of capital cost per mile appear to be reasonable, at $7 to $15 million per one-way guidway mile. Since the technology requires 100% grade separation, in most applications ULTra theoretically will require primarily elevated guideways; given this likelyhood, the estimate of $15 million per mile is a reasonable floor for realistic cost estimates."

http://www.publictransit.us/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=201&Itemid=1
OMG! That terrible PRT system wants us to pay $15 million up to $45 million per mile?!? NOT ME! I'm going to stick with the good old, tried-and-true light rail... and will happily pay anywhere from $370 million per mile up to $421 million per mile! You're not going to force me to save 90% off the cost for a transit system. Screw you buddy. I'll pay what I damn well wanna pay.

***edited to fix formatting error
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-05-11 01:04 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Oh, and the PRT will serve a far greater area of the city
For far less cost and almost zero inconvenience.

To quote one of my personal heroes, "Hell No You Don't!"
:sarcasm:
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-16-11 12:22 AM
Response to Original message
10. Let's compare PRT to the "DO NOTHING" column in the OPs chart
Edited on Wed Feb-16-11 12:25 AM by txlibdem
That means just to maintain what they have, no added station, no added track, no improvement in handicap access, in short no extra anything. 9.5 miles of track for $2.8 billion -- that is $2,800,000,000 ($294 million per mile). Now THAT's a good deal!!! For the company who gets that contract that is...

What could Chicago do with that 2.8 billion if they built a PRT network instead? (PS, you heard right - a NETWORK, not just a straight line of track as the CTA is planning).

The following is a cost estimate breakdown for each element of a Taxi2000(aka SkyLoop) system:
(source: http://faculty.washington.edu/jbs/itrans/PRTcosttable.htm)

... this allows us to see just how many miles of PRT track,stations, auto-taxis, etc. that Chicagoans could get for their $2.8 Billion:
Miles of Track = 513
# of stations = 1,200
# of vehicles = 28,240
...wow that's a whole lot more for right about the same amount of money...
And each of the 1200 stations and 28000 vehicles is 100% handicap access and bicycle friendly. Try that with a bus or a light rail! And each is protected from slipping and sliding on the snow by the traction system employed by each vehicle --it's magnetic so there can be no worry about sleet, slush and black ice causing collisions or slowdowns as they do for buses and trains today!

It's good to compare. Sometimes you find out something you never knew!
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txlibdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-16-11 01:05 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. PS, how I made my calculations
I know it's not the same number of miles (PRT is for 12.84 miles and the Chicago train is 9.5 miles but let's not quibble)...

I took the $2.8 billion total cost of the train project, divided it by the total cost of the 12.84 mile Taxi2000 sytem (with 30 stations and all the insurance and operating costs included --even right of way costs: they'll pay landownwers for use of their land!) That gave me 39.95 which I rounded up to 40. Then I took the last 2 columns and multiplied each row by 40 and then totalled the whole thing at the bottom. The whole cost of the 513 mile, 1200 stations, 28,400 vehicle PRT system came out to $2,803,235,920 (which I call close enough).

If you wanted a smaller system you could use a spreadsheet program to do your own calculations (only 90 miles of track but 5,000 stations and 60,000 vehicles for instance; you'd have to figure out how to do the calculations... also taxi2000 figures 55 vehicles per linear mile of track to maintain proper distance between vehicles.

Assuming the following average trip times, per hour ridership on a $2.8 Billion PRT system can be calculated:
30 minutes per trip = 56,480
20 minutes per trip = 84,720
15 minutes per trip = 112,960

In order to match that, light rail (with 50 riders per car average) would need to have 1129.6, 1694.4 and 2259.2 train cars on that 9.5 mile stretch of rail, running at all times in order to match the ridership of the PRT system described. In other words, for the money the PRT wins hands down for ridership numbers per hour. PS, light rail may pack in 50 riders per car during rush hour but it's more like 10 or less at all other times of the day.
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