The same President Hugo Chávez of Venezuela who rapped a gavel to close a session at the New York Stock exchange in 1999 called President Bush “the devil” in a 2006 speech at the United Nations. Last week he announced that despite rumors to the contrary and a freefalling price of oil he would continue a home heating oil charity program in the US which totaled $100 million and reached over a quarter of a million families last year. With this gesture of good will from Caracas and Bush out of office, will President-elect Obama be open to dialogue with the US’ one-time ally?
US-Venezuelan relations have never been worse than those Obama will inherit. In September both countries withdrew their ambassadors. Among the many issues straining the relationship are Venezuela’s close relationship with Castro’s Cuba, and the Bush Administration’s support for a short-lived coup d’état that temporarily ousted Chávez in 2002. The collapsing relationship between Washington and the US’ fourth largest supplier of imported oil is too strategically significant to ignore: regardless of what one thinks of Chávez’s politics—love him or hate him---it should be obvious that Obama could score an easy political victory by initiating a détente.
During the Democratic Party’s primaries, Obama said he would meet without preconditions with heads of state from countries out of favor with the US, including Venezuela. Obama was lambasted by other presidential candidates – Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY), called Obama “irresponsible, and, frankly, naive.” Yet the bold stance proved popular with voters—42 percent supported it and just 34 percent opposed, according to a poll last July. Her harsh attacks on Obama’s foreign policy notwithstanding, Hillary Clinton is now all set to become Obama’s Secretary of State. While Clinton may oppose it, if Obama meets with Chávez, he could reap huge dividends and incur little risk.
There are at least four reasons why it is in the US’ interests for President Obama to meet with President Chávez and seek a thaw. First, Obama should not allow the Bush Administration’s failures in Latin America, support for the 2002 coup in Venezuela among them, to define future diplomatic relations. On the campaign trail Obama was unequivocal: “It is time for us to recognize that the future security and prosperity of the US is fundamentally tied to the future of the Americas. If we don’t turn away from the policies of the past, then we won’t be able to shape the future.” The Bush Administration’s vision for Latin America was misguided and its efforts to shape the region failed—take for example the collapse of the Free Trade Area of the Americas negotiations. Now the US is about to have a new President and it needs a new Latin America agenda. A bilateral meeting with Chávez would also be a concrete way to prove to American voters and the world that the “change” Obama ran on was more than just a slogan.
Second, if Obama could shape a future with Venezuela as a partner of the US in the Western Hemisphere, there are myriad areas for cooperation from the strategic—energy independence, drug interdiction, and military exchanges—to the benign. Baseball, America’s national pastime is also Venezuela’s most popular sport; in better days of US-Venezuelan relations Chávez threw out the first pitch at a Mets game.
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