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"With the Obama administration's policy towards Venezuela pretty much decided, and the embargo on Cuba considered untouchable because no one is willing to risk losing support among Cuban Americans in the swing state of Florida..." --Weisbrot
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I don't know where he's getting that Obama's policy on Venezuela is "decided." I have seen no sign of that--just the opposite, in fact. I've seen a wildly see-sawing ambivalence. One day, they're dissing Chavez just like Bushwhacks; the next day they're praising Venezuela's democratic process. They are veering around, from high-minded and objective, to gutter propaganda that could be coming out of the mouths of the anti-Castro mafia in Miami.
Decided? When? On what evidence? Weisbrot is a well-informed writer, so he may certainly know a lot more than I do about what's going on within the Obama administration on Venezuela. I just hope he's wrong, and maybe was feeling depressed, because he'd talked to someone in the Obama adminstration on one of their "off" days on Venezuela.
It made me sick to my stomach to read that it's all "decided." Why? Because I think it's a very, very, VERY big--and potentially fatal--mistake, on Obama's part, to keep up this insane, Bushwhack hostility to the people of Venezuela and their freely chosen president.
I strongly suspect that the "old guard" CIA, which is now starting to take over from the Bushwhack-CIA, has A LOT of filthy Bushwhack dirt to clean up, and bodies to bury, in South America. And I realize that Chavez may have the goods on them. He has certainly brilliantly out-maneuvered them, at every turn. And the Venezuelan military's raid on the Stanford bank in Caracas, back in late October, may be just the "tip of the iceberg" of what Chavez knows. So I can see why the Obama team is afraid. They seem very into covering up Bushwhack crimes. Why, I don't know for sure. Could be they have designs upon Venezuela's oil themselves. It's just too early to tell. But IF what Weisbrot says is true--that it's all "decided" (a policy of hostility)--that would lend weight to the possibility that the Bushwhack war plan is not dead.
One other little tidbit: I just read a Panetta comment that Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina (three of the four main Bushwhack targets in South America) are "unstable" and this is worrisome (he said.) (Sorry, don't have the url handy.) But, you see, this is bullshit. Venezuela, for instance, is flush with international cash reserves, as a cushion against our Financial 9/11--due to good management by the Chavez government--while the United States of America is totally bankrupt--kaput, all the money's gone. We're driving on vapors. Venezuela is in excellent shape, compared to us. And they help their neighbors. So why is Panetta saying this? I can only answer: It's wishful thinking on his part, perhaps based on a Bushwhack-CIA scenario, which possibly included the run on the CIA's Stanford bank. The Chavez government caught it, before it went too far. Was Panetta hoping that it would have the desired cascade effect? This certainly bodes ill for Obama policy (--if Obama and CIA policy are one and the same).
The other way that hostility is a mistake--and possibly a fatal mistake--is that "divide and conquer" is not going to work any more, in South America. That day is over. That is an old, tired, outmoded, failed policy. They cannot divide Bolivia from Venezuela, or Venezuela from Brazil, or whatever the hostility policy would portend (short of war). The alliances among most of the South American leaders are solid. And if Obama makes this mistake--of trying to "divide and conquer," South America is going to go its own way, into its own independent, democratic, social justice-oriented, and very likely prosperous future, and kiss the U.S.A. goodbye. And that would be a tragedy, from our point of view. It would probably be a boon to South America (in the way that Chavez's independence has been a boon to Venezuelans, who now get a 60/40 split of their oil profits, as opposed to the prior 10/90 split, favoring multinational corporations). We would be the losers. We would, for one thing, lose the South Americans' example, as to clean, transparent elections, and their example of socializing human rights, and their example, as in Ecuador, of reverence for Mother Earth ("Pachamama," in the indigenous), and their example, as in Bolivia, of a SANE drug policy, and their example of how to deal with the multinationals. These excellent lessons for us all would get less currency here; would have less of a chance of being heard--if a permanent rift develops between the northern and southern regions of the hemisphere.
And if this happens, South America will likely take the whole of Latin America with them. We can go ahead and finish the Bushwhacks' wall on the Mexican border--like the one in Israel, like the Berlin Wall--and build it up high, and put barbed wire on the top, and machine gun turrets, and surveillance cameras, and seal our people in, and these new leftist trends out, and move from the decline to the fall of our "Roman Empire." Or we could go kill a million campesinos for their oil, and try to "circle the wagons" in the Caribbean/Central America, and ignite the continent with the horrors of another resource war. That is where the policy of hostility to Venezuela is going. And that is what I mean by fatal mistake.
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