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This problem has taken a long time to evolve into a crisis. Neglecting maintenance as they have, the government has decreased the generation capacity of existing power plants. Unfortunately, the new plants they are installing are of a type of technology which requires very careful maintenance. They are also consuming diesel as the main fuel, which is very expensive - this diesel used to be exported, but now will be used for power generation and costs about $8 million USD per day once all these plants are running.
Furthermore, the dam levels are at critical stage now. I read in the newspaper the dam reservoir is shaped like a bowl, which means that, as the water level drops, the amount of water used to generate a given amount of electricity increases due to the reduced pressure of the water column, and the surface area of the reservoir also decreases. This leads to an ever increasing rate of drop in level per kwh generated. And today it's below 13 meters, with the rate speeding up gradually to beyond 15 cm per day. If you do the math, it seems those who claim we'll be in deep trouble by around the middle of May will be right.
Then there's the new powerplants. They claim to be bringing them in urgently, and that new plants will be hooked up before the system collapses. But there's a lot of wishful thinking going on. It's not that simple to buy, build, and hook up a power plant. This means that it's likely they will be delayed. And if they're delayed by just a few weeks, then the crisis point will be reached.
I know the pro-Chavez posters are very much fans of reality denial, but look at the facts, the drought is a known event, and nothing was done to either maintain properly the existing plants or build new plants until very late in the game. This is what is typical about this government, and this happens because at the top they're not interested in management and governance, they're interested in speech making, propaganda events, and running around in red shirts keeping their backers happy by passing out goodies in events they make sure are televised. But when it comes to the dirty work of making sure things are working properly, the power, the water, crime control, basic economic management, health care, fixing potholes, picking up garbage, or reforming our lousy penal code, or even the traffic code, this government is worthless.
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