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due to their utter sliminess on the Latin American left, but I wonder what their corporate/war profiteer agenda is here. Do they think that Humala--"a former military officer"--will be more amenable to U.S. "war on (promotion of) drugs/terror)" military aid? Are they rewarding/bribing him for his "moving to the center," by dissing Keiko? Are they just reveling in the "divide and conquer" nature of this presidential race?
Peru's nouveau-riche urban elite has benefited from U.S. "free trade for the rich" in Peru (Bushwhack deal with the current very corrupt government) and NOBODY ELSE has benefitted. (--just like Venezuela, pre-Chavez). And we have to wonder about the opinion polling in remote rural areas and urban barrios. How reliable are these polls? I recall that Humala surged ahead, in the actual voting, and almost won the last presidential election--got way more votes than predicted (esp. after Evo Morales endorsed him). Obviously, the poor and the Indigenous are not well-polled--are not sufficiently contacted or keep their opinions to themselves--and then "come out of the woodwork" to vote, when there is somebody good to vote for.
I don't know if that will happen in this election, since Humala, according to reports, has "distanced" himself from the regional Left--which could be a big mistake as to motivating poor and Indigenous voters,. The regional Left offers many advantages to Peru--mutual aid and trade, collective economic/political clout, the "raise all boats" philosophy of the Brazil-Venezuela alliance, common goals of peace and social justice, working as a member of the majority in regional groups (CELAC, UNASUR, the OAS), and more.
Basing your economy on transglobal corporate mining and other extraction, and on "Wall Street" dictates, has proven ruinous to many Latin American countries. With U.S. "free trade for the rich," after a temporary "boom," that benefits only a few, comes the bust--and the country is left much worse off: natural resources ravaged; the poor utterly shafted; social programs gutted; services "privatized" (with escalating consumer costs); catastrophic unemployment; busted small farmers and businesses; time for "austerity" which brings ruination.
The countries that are doing well have rejected this model, and are pulling together in a new spirit of cooperation, to create a prosperous and independent region, with many trade choices, not dominated by the U.S. A top goal of this leftist democracy movement is social justice--the best example being Venezuela, which has cut poverty in half and cut extreme poverty by more than 70%. But all the countries with leftist governments have improved and will continue to improve. There is NO successful model for U.S. "neo-liberalism." It ALWAYS creates and exacerbates poverty, as well as aggravating social conflict and harming the environment. Why Humala would NOT want to identify with the regional Left and would instead go "centrist" on the ruinous U.s. economic model, I don't quite fathom. But maybe he is influenced by the intense corpo-fascist propaganda, here and there, telling him that he must do so, the implication being "or else." Possibly the U.S. has more bullying power in Peru than it does elsewhere. And, since the U.S. "war on drugs" is in the country, it may have more covert power (spying, dirty tricks, purchase of journalists, election fraud, etc.)
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