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Coakley up 15 - 17 points over Brown in Mass.

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Armstead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 09:28 AM
Original message
Coakley up 15 - 17 points over Brown in Mass.
http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2010/01/10/senate_poll_coakley_up_15_points/

Boston Globe

Democrat Martha Coakley, buoyed by her durable statewide popularity, enjoys a solid, 15-percentage-point lead over Republican rival Scott Brown as the race for US Senate enters the homestretch, according to a new Boston Globe poll of likely voters.

Half of voters surveyed said they would pick Coakley, the attorney general, if the election were held today, compared with 35 percent who would pick Brown. Nine percent were undecided, and a third candidate in the race, independent Joseph L. Kennedy, received 5 percent.

Coakley’s lead grows to 17 points - 53 percent to 36 percent - when undecideds leaning toward a candidate are included in the tally. The results indicate that Brown has a steep hill to climb to pull off an upset in the Jan. 19 election. Indeed, the poll indicated that nearly two-thirds of Brown’s supporters believe Coakley will win.

“She’s simply better known and better liked than Brown,’’ said Andrew E. Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, which conducted the poll for the Globe....

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Armstead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 09:30 AM
Response to Original message
1. Somebody out there likes me -- An Unrecommend for this?
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hlthe2b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 09:52 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. there's always going to be a luking Freeper or two...
to give their requisite unrec.... Especially on any post that even indirectly has to do with the late great Teddy Kennedy. :shrug:
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 04:37 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. I don't like you but I still rec'ed this.
Edited on Mon Jan-11-10 04:37 PM by jenmito
;) Just kidding.
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TheCowsCameHome Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 09:41 AM
Response to Original message
2. I hope Brown get beaten like a rented mule.
The relatively few neocons we have up here are drooling rivers over this guy.
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 10:11 AM
Response to Original message
4. MSNBC is trying to say Brown has a 1 point lead from another polling company
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. yes the PPP poll:
here is what Daily Kos says about the PPP poll vs. Globe poll:

In this case, there's also an important timing issue. PPP points out via Twitter that this UNH/Globe poll was started five days before the PPP poll showing Brown up by a point. If the situation is changing quickly, which it may be, the more recent poll should be weighed more heavily.

What this poll definitely shows is something we already knew: Coakley has major advantages and should be able to win, given the composition of the Massachusetts electorate. It's all about the mobilization.

www.dailykos.com
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Recursion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-12-10 09:15 AM
Response to Reply #8
19. Coakley's ad is awful, but not that awful
She does that thing that W does where she talks with her jaw clenched. It drives me crazy. But I doubt a lackluster ad would make that much of a difference; I'm assuming it's different models of who is a likely voter.
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TuxedoKat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 10:24 AM
Response to Original message
5. That's interesting...
I just got an email re this race (begging for money) saying GOP attack ads were causing the race to tighten up. Glad to hear that Coakley is still well ahead.
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Rockholm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 10:29 AM
Response to Original message
6. Scott Brown is a tool.
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cleveramerican Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 10:29 AM
Original message
Coakley won with 46k votes/ Brown won with 17k
even if every dem who voted for the other 3 primary candidates stays home...
And even if every republican who voted at all in the primary pulls the lever for Brown...

Coakley will still run Brown over like a dog in the street.

His foolish snub of union members last week didn't kill him... he was already dead.
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Historic NY Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 10:29 AM
Response to Original message
7. You'd never know that from some news sources..
Clinton is campaigning for trailing Coakley, Public polling a Democratic polling company has her behind, blah blah blah..
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
10. Coakley will win. The media is trying to stir up a sense of panic. n/t
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 06:39 PM
Response to Reply #10
17. They'll never change unless
driven the way of the dinosaur.B-)
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bigwillq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
11. Every poll
I've seen on this race has a different result. I'll wait to find out what happens next week. I never take any of these polls seriously. Things often change when people actually get in the voting booth.
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graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 04:42 PM
Response to Original message
12. I'll be so glad when this is over
I just want to get her elected (even tho I'm not crazy about her)
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Mz Pip Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 04:58 PM
Response to Original message
13. I don't know MA politics that well
but it is hard for me to imagine that the voters would give the seat belonging to the popular and much loved Ted Kennedy to this Republican twit.

I hope the Democrats turn out for this one and give it a BIG win.
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 05:20 PM
Response to Original message
14. K & R
:thumbsup:
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Brother Buzz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
15. Coakley will have a double diget win
Edited on Mon Jan-11-10 05:49 PM by Brother Buzz
MSM talking heads are trying to portray it as a horse race.
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Arkana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 06:35 PM
Response to Original message
16. Massachusetts is an odd state.
The Democrats aren't particularly enthusiastic, but by God they'll turn out to vote.

I know a couple of old folks a few minutes from my house who are the most boring people I've ever met. They're in their 70s, but the husband (they're a husband and wife pair) told me once "My father told me, 'Son, you know what the R in Republican stands for? RICH. And if you ever, EVER vote for one of them I will rise from the grave to beat your ass if I have to.'"

They would hang up on a pollster every time, but there could be three feet of snow outside and they would fucking put on snowshoes and go vote.
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Betty Karlson Donating Member (902 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jan-11-10 11:46 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Let's hope they and the rest of the Massachusetts people
will show the pollsters that D stand for Dedicated Voters.
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Tailormyst Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-12-10 09:16 AM
Response to Original message
20. I think we will be okay
I do think Coakley sort of thought she won the seat when she won the primary. She need to go fight a bit. Every vote counts.
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