UT-Gov: Corroon (D) Eats Into Herbert's Lead; SSP Moves Race to Likely R

[ccharles000]

Dan Jones & Associates for Deseret News/KSL-TV (1/12-13, adults, 11/19-23 in parens):

Peter Corroon (D): 35 (32)
Gary Herbert (R-inc): 48 (56)
(MoE: ±5%)

In a state with a pretty limited Democratic bench, the recent entry of Peter Corroon in the gubernatorial race is a huge boon for Utah Democrats. Corroon isn't just another sacrificial lamb that Utah Dems have become accustomed to running against entrenched incumbents -- he's the mayor of Salt Lake County, which is home to more than a third of the state's population. While it goes without saying that this will be a challenging race, Corroon at least gives Democrats a fighting chance here, especially if some of the same budgetary problems facing many of the other beleaguered governors begin to take a toll on the freshly-minted Gov. Gary Hebert. SSP is changing its rating of this race from the sub-competitive Races to Watch to the more competitive category of Likely Republican.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6219/utgov-corroon-d-eats-into-herberts-lead-ssp-moves-race-to-likely-r

[Drunken Irishman]

1. 5% MOE is huge.

I'd still wager Herbert leads by 10+.

Corroon will run a good campaign, but he won't win.

On an unrelated note, I know Peter Corroon. I worked with him and his brother on the local Howard Dean campaign (they're Dean's cousins).

Great guy. Great leader. But it is Utah, after all.