***Mass Senate Special Election - Results Thread***

[Clio the Leo]

... five minutes and counting.....

Suggested list for Twitterers, I've been following it all day...

http://twitter.com/marcambinder/masen

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Hoping for the best, but expecting the worst. :(

[Clio the Leo]

2. Google Spreadsheet of Towns and Vote Totals...

http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0Asp-IzZ30EFEdGZRM1NtTVQzcHFvQVVWdllnYlhLdHc&hl=en

[blueclown]

3. Website for results?

Which site will show county by county results?

[Clio the Leo]

5. they do town by town....

.... and see the spreadsheet I linked to above

[Clio the Leo]

4. 8pm scream......

AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[karynnj]

6. here's a results link

http://www.boston.com/news/special/politics/2010/senate/results.html

All at zero now.

Nice Daily Kos thread with lots of resources - http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/1/19/826645/-MA-Sen:-Reading-the-Results

Another thread front paged on the polls closing - http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/1/19/826984/-MA-Sen:-Polls-Closing
(This is a great link where people are getting results in quickly and comparing them to 2008 (Obama) and 2002(Romney Gov) race)


(edited to fix top lingk - thanks to comment from DrunkenIrishman Thanks

[Drunken Irishman]

7. That's some article about another Dem loser.

[IndianaGreen]

8. I am watching the MSNBC coverage

with Keith and Rachel.

It is going to be a long night.

[Drunken Irishman]

9. Long night might be the best we can hope for.

She could eek out a very tight win.

[IndianaGreen]

16. Zogby predicted a one point victory by Coakley

but he said that was his gut instinct. Zogby expects Democratic GOTV to be critical.

[totodeinhere]

10. Rachael just said on MSNBC that the vote was lighter in heavily Dem districts such as AA

neighborhoods. But I'm still keeping my finders crossed.

[IndianaGreen]

13. Coakley did not do well in Southie

according to Norah O'Donnell

[David Zephyr]

15. Who couldn't have guessed that: Democrats are demoralized.

The White House and the Democrats in the Senate put Wall Street, War, Bankers and Insurance Companies over real people, creating "new" jobs, stopping home foreclosures.

[Teaser]

80. not demoralized. Just lazy.

People come out to vote when they're mad, not when they're happy.

Democrats got their president in. The vast majority of registered democrats see their work as done.

[David Zephyr]

82. Poll after poll show otherwise.

Democrats did vote. High voter turnout, Teaser. Not lazy. Not this time.

[Teaser]

83. high voter turnout doesn't mean much

it depends which voters turn out.

I am curious as to how many inner city Bostonians (underclass) voted. My hunch is not many. Yet poll the same subset as to how much they like the Obama administration, I guarantee the numbers are astronomical.

The poor and poorly educated often do not even know when non-presidential elections are happening. Much less an off year election. Presidential elections are the end all and be all of elections for some people.

[Clio the Leo]

11. Rasmussen Poll part one...

Rasmussen Reports has conducted an Election Night survey of 1,000 voters in the Massachusetts special election for U.S. Senate. Data will be released on this page throughout the evening.
Polls closed in Massachusetts at 8:00 p.m. Eastern in the race between Democrat Martha Coakley and Republican Scott Brown.
Preliminary results include:
Among those who decided how they would vote in the past few days, Coakley has a slight edge, 47% to 41%.
Coakley also has a big advantage among those who made up their mind more than a month ago.
Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters for Brown said they were voting for him rather than against Coakley.
Sixty-six percent (66%) of Coakley voters said they were voting for her rather than against Brown.
22% of Democrats voted for Brown. That is generally consistent with pre-election polling.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/massachusetts/first_look_at_massachusetts_election_night_poll_data

[Vicar In A Tutu]

14. "22% of Democrats voted for Brown"

That seals it, if true. But the word 'Democrat' must be used in a past-tense - even if they never vote GOP again, said people are far more Republican than anything else. You simply don't vote for a character like Brown if you are anything like a Democrat at heart.

[Peacetrain]

22. How do you know 22% voted for Brown.. no exit polls for this election

just saying

[Vicar In A Tutu]

25. I was quoting the post above mine...

...which has results from a Rasmussen survey which suggests as much. If true - and it's a big if, of course - it means that Coakley doesn't have a chance.

[Clio the Leo]

12. 1% in.....Brown 54, Coakley 45.

1% of precincts in. Brown 54, Coakley 45. And, yes, it means nothing.

http://twitter.com/TheHyperFix/status/7967704962

[Clio the Leo]

17. P: 7 of 2,168 precincts counted: Brown 55%, Coakley 45%

http://twitter.com/davecatanese/status/7967853475

[Mass]

18. Lowell 94 % of votes Coakley 69 % - it is going to be a long night where Boston is

going to matter.

[Drunken Irishman]

21. So she's performing about as well as expected in Lowell?

[Mass]

35. Apparently it was a misprint. it is 9 %, not 94 .

I was wondering how they counted 94 % that fast.

[Clio the Leo]

19. TPM has a scoreboard...

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/

[Clio the Leo]

20. Bolton, a relatively populous town that gave Obama 55%, has finished reporting:

It gave Brown with 57%.
http://twitter.com/Taniel/status/7967943098

[Drunken Irishman]

23. Ouch.

[Peacetrain]

24. Ish Kabittle

[IndianaGreen]

29. How reliable is that?

Any other source?

[One of Many]

26. Another link

NYTimes has the score on the front page, servers seem to be running well for now

http://www.nytimes.com/

[One of Many]

28. 51 / 48 / 1 @ 7% reporting

[Clio the Leo]

27. Brown needed 61% in Andover, he got 64%

http://twitter.com/Dave_Wasserman/status/7968149389

[Drunken Irishman]

30. Of course. Looks like all the luck is breaking his way.

[FVZA_Colonel]

33. At least it's narrowed from 55/45

51/48/1 according to the TPM link.

[Kdillard]

31. Damn.

[Mass]

32. Except he is confusing Andover and North Andover.

[Clio the Leo]

34. Brown won Milford by 2000 votes....

.... Obama won it by about 1500.

http://twitter.com/GarrettQuinn/status/7968281687

[Kdillard]

36. It's early but things don't seem to be breaking Coakley's way.

[Mass]

39. In fact, I am pleasantly surprised. Big cities are not in. If the comparison is with Obama or

Kennedy, she will do poorly. But this is not what it is about.

[Drunken Irishman]

40. We also got to remembe Pres. Obama carried the state 62-36.

Brown could still do better in some of those areas and lose. I don't expect Coakley to win 62-36.

[Clio the Leo]

37. 10k vote lead for Brown with 8-9% precincts

http://twitter.com/MitchellGOP/status/7968367772

[Clio the Leo]

38. 11% vote in: Brown 53, Coakley 46

http://twitter.com/nhkillion/status/7968410408

[Clio the Leo]

41. Early returns out of Boston have Coakley Brown at even

http://twitter.com/RedMassGroup/status/7968411009

(NOT good, she needed to do WELL in Boston)

[Clio the Leo]

42. Brown 53% - 46% with 13% reporting

53% - 46% with 13% reporting

[FVZA_Colonel]

43. I'm not feeling too good right now.

Hopefully, the Democrats will figure out something to get the bill passed.

[Clio the Leo]

44. Brown needed 59% in Danvers, he got 63%.

http://twitter.com/Dave_Wasserman/status/7968522937

lol, yall having fun yet?

[Drunken Irishman]

45. IT's over.

lol oh well. Hopefully things get better in November.

[Mass]

48. Because some twitter guy said so.

[Drunken Irishman]

49. Well yeah.

[Mass]

51. My town went to Coakley with 59 %. Not a big town, but a good result as it went to Romney.

[Clio the Leo]

46. Coakley lead shrinking in Boston, now 51-48.

http://twitter.com/universalhub/status/7968575801

(if she LOSES Boston I'm jumping out the window! lol)

[Clio the Leo]

47. 17% in: Brown (R) 52%, Coakley (D) 47%.

http://twitter.com/chucktodd/status/7968604632

[Thrill]

50. ugh

[Kdillard]

53. This sucks. I am hoping things turn around but sigh.

[Clio the Leo]

52. 21% reporting: Brown 53%; Coakley 46%

http://twitter.com/chucktodd/status/7968710180

[Clio the Leo]

54. 25% in. Brown 52, Coakley 47.

http://www.twitter.com/TheHyperFix

[Clio the Leo]

55. 55% for coakley with 9% reporting in Boston

http://twitter.com/GarrettQuinn/status/7968840109

[Sanity Claws]

58. That's good news

I needed to hear something promising

[Obamacare]

59. Did they get the Minority

vote out for Coakley? One would think Boston of all places would easily go to Coakley!!

[Mass]

56. Whoever wins, I hope they look at the map.

Rich towns and big cities go to Coakley.

Blue Collar towns and rural central Mass go to Brown.

[Clio the Leo]

57. 30% in. Brown 52, Coakley 47

"if you are a D, start to get worried."
http://twitter.com/TheHyperFix/status/7968888471

[Kdillard]

65. Damn. I am so upset this seat is going to go to that teabagger.

[Clio the Leo]

60. 36% in. Brown 52, Coakley 47.

http://twitter.com/TheHyperFix/status/7968978202

[Clio the Leo]

61. Coakley starting to pull away in Boston 60-40% with 16% reportin

THIS is good

http://twitter.com/GarrettQuinn/status/7969062891

[Peacetrain]

63. Thank you Clio... for keeping us informed.. I am watching this like a hawk

AND PRAYING

[senseandsensibility]

64. Woo hoo

Thanks for some good news.

[Clio the Leo]

68. ehh....

Stat from a pollster friend. In 08 Obama won Boston 79-20. Coakley ahead 56-43 with 10% in Boston reporting.

http://twitter.com/TheHyperFix/status/7969182928

[FVZA_Colonel]

67. Let's hope it stays that way, and that it closes the gap.

TPM puts it at 42,000 votes.

[Clio the Leo]

62. 40% in. Brown 53, Coakley 46.

http://twitter.com/TheHyperFix/status/7969107501

[Clio the Leo]

66. Cape is going solidly Brown, 2-to-1 in Bourne; Western Mass. is trending Coakley.

http://twitter.com/dabeard/status/7969148851

[Phoonzang]

69. Time to open my bottle of defeat whiskey.

This is pitiful. I don't know who I despise more, the Coakley campaign, the spineless, do-nothing dems in congress, or the people of Massachusetts who voted to put a teabagger in Ted Kennedy's seat.

[Robbins]

74. I hear you

Any democrat who voted for Brown just spit on Ted kennedy's grave.I don't like the sellout to
Conservatives on the health care reform myself but what Is Brown going to do?Vote against everything
Ted Kennedy stood for and anything Obama purposes.Inless Coakley starts picking up In votes this Is
over.

[FVZA_Colonel]

75. Vote gap is some 67,000 thousand now.

I'll join you.

[Phoonzang]

Cheers! Down the hatch.

Well I didn't have anything important to do at work tomorrow anyway. ;(

[Clio the Leo]

70. 45% in. Brown 52, Coakley 47

http://twitter.com/TheHyperFix/status/7969207639

[Clio the Leo]

71. Perspective....

Brown overperforming targets in red areas he was supposed to win. Coakley holding own in blueish areas.

http://twitter.com/universalhub/status/7969196233

[senseandsensibility]

72. Give Brown all the red areas

Can he win with just those? I never thought there were enough of those areas in Mass to win an election.

[senseandsensibility]

73. Give Brown all the red areas

Can he win with just those? I never thought there were enough of those areas in Mass to win an election.

[Clio the Leo]

76. thread two here...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=433&topic_id=136189&mesg_id=136189

[brooklynite]

77. Rachel Maddow: 50% in -- 52.5% for Brown / 46.5% for Coakley

[progressoid]

81. Not much of a change @ 63% reporting.

52.6% Brown
46.4% Coakley

[totodeinhere]

78. I'm getting a very sick feeling in my stomach.

But if these results hold up, the campaign to oust Brown in 2012 starts tomorrow.

[Teaser]

79. no sick feeling necessary

just a new enemy to probe for weaknesses is all.

[totodeinhere]

84. Breaking - the AP has called it for Brown according to CNN. No link yet.

Edit - MSNBC says Coakley has called Brown to concede.

[progressoid]

85. Yeah.

Damn.