I apologize in advance for writing such a long OP because I know I usually skip those myself, but this could be a major turning point.So the most intriguing thing to watch in all of this has been how last night's election is effecting the health care bill. You have the President scheduling the SOTU in seven days when the prevailing notion seemed to be he wanted a health care bill before then. You have
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x133420">Reid and Pelosi signaling they may try to pass the Senate bill and then fix it later via reconciliation. Of course
http://news.google.com/news/url?sa=t&ct2=us%2F0_0_s_1_0_t&usg=AFQjCNEO1dkuqpTBAnYgGGXfSV6SqI4hqA&sig2=nqCOKJpnfAPp83R0QgShqg&cid=17593697410243&ei=2gVXS7jkEKmy8gT-wsod&rt=SEARCH&vm=STANDARD&url=http%3A%2F%2Fthehill.com%2Fblogs%2Fblog-briefing-room%2Fnews%2F76753-weiner-health-reform-likely-dead-if-gop-wins-in-mass">Weiner is saying "Hold on!" And you have Lawrence O'Donnell saying that
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x137786">reconciliation STILL requires 60 votes.
Yet the party
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x137217">is ready to seat Brown immediately and NOT try to get a bill signed before he drives his truck and double parks it on Capitol Hill.
It's puzzeling.
But then my wheels started turning when I was laying in bed last night and I got to thinking....
There has been chatter in recent days from
Sexy Love Beast Vice President Biden about the filibuster.
Biden criticizes use of filibuster: ‘No democracy has survived needing a supermajority.’Speaking at a fundraiser this Sunday, Vice President Biden warned that the Senate minority’s routine use of the filibuster to obstruct the majority’s agenda is both unprecedented and dangerous:
“As long as I have served, … I’ve never seen, as my uncle once said, the constitution stood on its head as they’ve done. This is the first time every single solitary decision has required 60 senators,” Biden said. “No democracy has survived needing a supermajority.”Biden is right about the unprecedented nature of GOP obstructionism. According to a study by UCLA Political Scientist Barbara Sinclair, only 8 percent of major legislation was subjected to the filibuster during the 1960s. That number rose to a staggering 70% during the 110th Congress — the last two years that President Bush was in office — and filibustering has only grown more common since President Obama took office. Biden and his former Senate colleagues are not powerless against this expansion of the filibuster, however. Every two years, when the Senate’s newly-elected members take their seats, a brief window opens up allowing 51 senators (or 50 senators plus the Vice President) to eliminate the filibuster by simple majority vote.
If the Vice President is determined to end the era of right-wing obstructionism, all he has to do is whip up 50 votes.http://thinkprogress.org/2010/01/19/biden-filibuster/ (and I'm VERY excited reading that last part because I wasn't even aware they could do it with only 51 votes until just now)
But was the administration floating a trial balloon?
And then you have part of Barney's weird comments last night....
I have two reactions to the election in Massachusetts. One, I am disappointed. Two, I feel strongly that the Democratic majority in congress must respect the process and make no effort to bypass the electoral results. If Martha Coakley had won, I believe we could have worked out a reasonable compromise between the House and Senate health care bills. But since Scott Brown has won and the Republicans now have 41 votes in the senate, that approach is no longer appropriate. I am hopeful that some Republican senators will be willing to discuss a revised version of health care reform. Because I do not think that the country would be well served by the health care status quo. But our respect for democratic procedures must rule out any effort to pass a health care bill as if the Massachusetts election had not happened.
Going forward, I hope there will be a serious effort to change the senate rule which means that 59 are not enough to pass major legislation, but those are the rules by which the health care bill was considered, and it would be wrong to change them in the middle of this process.http://tpmlivewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/2010/01/frank-i-hope-some-gop-senators-will-support-health-care-reform----because-without-them-bill-may-be-t.phpCould Barney be reacting to insider knowledge that he has that the admin may be trying to do away with or change the filibuster in order to pass the HCR bill (which would, in effect, be the Senate bill.)
A reconciliation fix to the bill later wouldn't be a problem
If you no longer had to have 60 votes.Well, as it turns out Tom Harkin came up with a plan to do this 14 years ago... (and my apologies if we've already discussed this and I just missed it)
End the filibuster! An interview with Sen. Tom Harkin(article heavily snipped but PLEASE read the whole thing!)
You're supposed to filibuster something that is a deep seated issue. But in September, we had an extension on unemployment insurance. We had a filibuster that lasted over three weeks. They held up everything. And in the end, the vote was 97 to one. Filibusters are no longer used to debate something, but to stop everything.
Tell me a bit about your reform bill. When you first introduced this, Joe Lieberman was your co-sponsor, right?Well, I introduced that first in 1995, when we were in the minority.
I'm going to reintroduce that again in January. And people are going to say I only worry about this because I'm in the majority. But I come with clean hands! I started when I was in the minority!
The idea is to give some time for extended debate but eventually allow a majority to work its will. I do believe there's some reason to have extended debate. If a group of senators filibusters a bill, you want to take their worries seriously. Make sure you're not missing something. My proposal will do that. It says that on the first vote, you need 60. Then you have to wait two days, and on the third day, you need 57 votes. And then you need to wait two days, and on the third day, it's 54 votes. And then you'd wait another two days, and on the third day, it would be 51 votes.
The traditional objection to these sorts of reform ideas is that you're removing a hallowed Senate rule and fundamentally changing the nature of the institution.The history of the filibusters is instructive on that point. It was done to allow senators to get back to Washington. In those days, it could take a week or two for senators to get back from different states. The filibuster ensured a small group couldn't go into session before the others could get here.
Also, legislators wanted time to get word out to the populace so they could pressure their representatives. It was a means of protecting the minority who couldn't be here and getting some time for people to know what we're doing. Both of those reasons have gone by the wayside. With travel, people can get here in a few hours, and with television and radio and internet, people know very quickly whats going on here.
Have you tested the waters with your colleagues in general, and your Republican colleagues more specifically?I haven't yet. I'm going to do that in January. We're going to send a dear colleague letter looking for co-sponsors.
<snip>
It's just a bad situation. In the past, we had Republicans who wanted to do legislation so they were willing to work with you and make compromises. But that's not what were facing right now. In all the debt limit votes we've had before, we always got Republican votes. And Democrats always voted on Republican debt limits. This time, Senator McConnell told Harry Reid that if he wants to pass an increase in the the debt limit, he owns it. "Never before have we required sixty votes to pass a debt limit."
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2009/12/end_the_filibuster_an_intervie.html So .... could THIS be the miracle solution? .... Dare we to DREAM!!? .... Thoughts?