Long term Demographics favor Democrats

[Hawaii Hiker]

Short-term historial trends favor Rethugs in that the party that wins the WH almost always suffers House and/or Senate losses in the first midterm after the presidential election, exceptions being 1998 (Americans were angered at Rethugs for the Clinton impeachment farce) & 2002, but the overall demographics STRONGLY favor Democrats....Rethugs have no appeal to non-white voters...

From the article:

"Projections out to 2020 are fairly accurate because anyone who will be of voting age in 2020 was born in 2002 or later and those data are known. In addition, if immigration continues unabated, the percentage of nonwhites is only likely to increase because many of the immigrants are legal and nonwhite and they tend to become citizens 5-10 years after arrival.

What the chart shows is that the percentage of nonwhites is likely to grow from the 27% it was in 2008 to almost 34% in 2020. If the Democrats get 2/3 of that vote, which history suggests they will, that could add something like 3-5% to the Democrats' totals in a national election. In a close election, that could be decisive".

"And poll after poll has shown that the Republicans main policy positions--lower taxes and smaller government--are extremely unpopular with nonwhite voters, who want a larger, more activist government. If the Republicans don't change their policies, they are unlikely to pickup many new voters in the nonwhite demographic, but if they do change their policies, they may alienate their base. If they win big in 2010, as seems likely now, they may fall into a trap of thinking they are doing the right thing and just continue doing it, when the real reason for a possible big win in 2010 is the historical near-certainty of the voters being disappointed with the newly elected President".

www.electoral-vote.com

[KingFlorez]

1. This certainly is good news

The Republicans have definitely drawn themselves into a corner. There are no signs they are going to pick up other demographics anytime soon.

[uponit7771]

2. The Irony of this is gobsmacking, They've hurt people of color for so long

[Jennicut]

3. It is obvious that over the long term, the Rethugs have not thought of a way to not piss off

the conservative, more male and older demographic that is their base while expanding to get some minorities. Kids being born to Generation Z, like my kids, will have very different demos then adults do. While that may not totally effect the next 5 to 10 years, eventually it will.

[HughMoran]

4. So the Tea Klux Klan isn't the answer the Republicans are looking for?

:rofl: