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Reagan advisor Arthur Laffer makes the most bogus claim ever in favor of Bush's tax cuts for rich

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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:00 AM
Original message
Reagan advisor Arthur Laffer makes the most bogus claim ever in favor of Bush's tax cuts for rich
Edited on Mon Aug-02-10 10:01 AM by ProSense

The Soak-the-Rich Catch-22

By ARTHUR LAFFER

<...>

Is it any wonder that the Great Depression was as long and deep as it was? Whoever heard of a country taxing itself into prosperity? Not only did taxes as a share of GDP fall, but GDP fell as well. It was a double whammy. Tax receipts from the top 1% of income earners stayed flat as a share of GDP, going to 1% in 1940 from 1.1% in 1928, but at what cost?

We all know that there are lots of factors influencing tax revenues from the rich, but the number one factor has to be the statutory tax rates government tells the rich they have to pay. Not only do the direct income tax consequences of higher tax rates on those in the highest brackets lead to higher deficits, the indirect effects magnify the tax revenue losses many fold.

As a result of higher tax rates on those people in the highest tax brackets, there will be less employment, output, sales, profits and capital gains—all leading to lower payrolls and lower total tax receipts. There will also be higher unemployment, poverty and lower incomes, all of which require more government spending. It's a Catch-22.

Higher tax rates on the rich create the very poverty and unemployment that is used to justify their presence. It is a vicious cycle that well-trained economists should know to avoid.

What a joke.

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NC_Nurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:02 AM
Response to Original message
1. Bullshit. Their stock and trade.
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arbusto_baboso Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:02 AM
Response to Original message
2. So where are the jobs from the Bush tax cuts? Oh, that's right....
they're in China and India.

Lying mother fucker.
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golfguru Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:36 AM
Response to Reply #2
9. China has no tax on capital gains!
Edited on Mon Aug-02-10 10:38 AM by golfguru
As far as I know.

Russia and many of it's former satellite countries have adopted
flat tax.

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arbusto_baboso Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 11:22 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. And they allow employer's to pay virtual slave-wages.
Let's keep the focus on where it really needs to be.
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golfguru Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 07:33 PM
Response to Reply #10
20. You are forgetting one thing...China has more supply of labor
than any other country in the world. When labor supply outweighs
demand, wages tend to be diminished. The old law of supply & demand is working.

I have a friend in China who makes $50,000 per year and can afford to send her
son to an American University. She is an engineering graduate. SO not everyone
is making slave wages. Actually people with high skills are in high demand.
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Raine1967 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 11:49 AM
Response to Reply #9
15. Awesome, So we should be like China and Russia
Are you joking?

I have heard this meme from a few conservatives as of late.
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Common Sense Party Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 01:42 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. It'd be nice to get some economic growth like China
Even just a sliver of it.

Of course, their growth rate is not sustainable. But ours is non-existent at the moment.
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golfguru Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 07:27 PM
Response to Reply #15
19. We are talking about formerly communist/socialist countries
who have now discarded their ways after many years of abysmal economic results.
China is creating more millionaires than any other country right now. Russia has
many Billionaires and and a growing economy. The 4 strogest growth economies now
are the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India & China)

So it is amazing that these formerly extreme non-capitalist countries have now
discovered nascent capitalism. China economy has grown at double digit rates
for several years. These are not right wing talking points. These are facts.
They can easily be confirmed by using several search engines.
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:04 AM
Response to Original message
3. Why isn't the WSJ concerned that Laffer's theory has already been proven wrong?
A real newspaper would at least mention it.
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:07 AM
Response to Original message
4. suggest replacing well-trained economists
with well-indoctrinated, but its pretty close as it is.
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:11 AM
Response to Original message
5. His graph indirectly illuminates the tremendous rise in inequality
since the early 80's.
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tularetom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:22 AM
Response to Original message
6. How long is it supposed to take for trickle down to trickle down?
The tax cuts go back a long way and nothing has happened yet.
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:30 AM
Response to Original message
7. Yes, you give the rich tax breaks and they just go out and create jobs whether...
...they need to hire someone or not!!

:eyes:

NGU.

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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 10:32 AM
Response to Original message
8. What none of these idiots can tell us is why are the rich corps not spending their money from these
tax breaks right now to create jobs? Hmmmm? No answer comes from them. It is obvious that trickle down trickles down only into their wallets and not to us.
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DrToast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 11:25 AM
Response to Original message
11. If the Bush tax cuts resulted in all these jobs, why is unemployment so high?
Why can't anyone ask one of these jerkoffs that question? Why as the Bush expansion one of the worst on record in terms of output and job creation?
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Alcibiades Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 11:43 AM
Response to Original message
12. He's STILL making the same outragous claim!
Edited on Mon Aug-02-10 11:43 AM by Alcibiades
Lower top marginal tax rates don't raise revenue. If you want proof, graph the top rate and the deficit. Cuts in taxes on the wealthy correlate nicely with the increase in the deficit.

I knew Laffer was a lightweight from the failure of his theory, now in practice for over 30 years: I had no idea he was outright stupid. His description of the Great Depression is mind-blowingly simplistic; he makes no mention of the role of WWI, the Fed, any other central bank, interest rates, asset bubbles, economic inequality, the business cycle, or any of the other theories that historians and economists have about the origins Great Depression. Instead, it's all down to the top marginal tax rate!

He's ignorant.
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Raine1967 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 11:47 AM
Response to Original message
13. Has he taken a look at the unemployment rate right now?

We already have have less output, sales, profits and capital gains -- for ALL except the top 1%.

That is the niche he is speaking to.
The rich have proven they will not end poverty and unemployment. They had that chance, and they failed so miserably that it is crippling our nation. It's time to call these lovers of trickle down economics out.

They had a chance -- THEY FAILED because they don;t care about anyone but themselves.
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Ikonoklast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 11:47 AM
Response to Original message
14. Laffer is to Economics as Kangaroos are to Particle Physics.
No discernable relation whatsoever.
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Yavin4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 12:01 PM
Response to Original message
16. Laffer Is Not An Economist. He's A Paid Propagandist Posing As An Economist
But the media treats him as some sort of an unbiased serious academic which only serves the purpose of getting the American people to buy into the logic that our economy is totally controlled by a cabal of the uber wealthy, and that we must treat them like Gods.
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Jeff In Milwaukee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 12:09 PM
Response to Original message
17. It's as if the last 30 years never happened.....
I was watching a guy on Kudlow last week talking about how great the Reagan tax cuts were, and then Bill Clinton nearly destroyed the economy, but THANK GOD Bush puts things right.

These people have taken up permanent residence on Bizarro World.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
21. He is correct in his way... though terribly wrong. The details matter.
Edited on Mon Aug-02-10 07:46 PM by Kurt_and_Hunter
If the tax-cuts-over-$250K are canceled and the money applied to the deficit there will indeed be "lower payrolls... There will also be higher unemployment, poverty and lower incomes, all of which require more government spending."

All of that would happen... to the tune of $11 Billion/year in 2011 and 2012. (The current stimulative effect of those tax-cuts)

I doubt anyone will notice the gain or loss of that $11 Billion in effect one way or another.

On the other hand, if the revenue from those canceled cuts ($35Billion/year 2011 and 2012) is put into something stimulative it will be about $50 Billion/year worth of GDP increase. And there will be higher payrolls and higher total tax receipts. There will also be lower unemployment, less poverty and higher incomes, all of which require less government spending.

The man is a worthless idiot and liar, but it is worth noting the exact nature of his lies.

And worth noting that if the Obama administration used the canceled tax-cut revenue to reduce the deficit they would be vindicating Arthur-fucking-Laffer.

Just one more reason to not use the money on the deficit.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. The problem is that this
"If the tax-cuts-over-$250K are canceled and the money applied to the deficit there will indeed be 'lower payrolls... There will also be higher unemployment, poverty and lower incomes, all of which require more government spending.'"

...has nothing to do with his argument.

He's simply arguing that such cuts result in these consequences simply by virtue of eliminating them. He doesn't care or mention anything about applying the funds to deficit reduction or stimulus spending.

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ProgressOnTheMove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 08:38 PM
Response to Original message
22. If they'd been taxed correctly back then there wouldn't of been wild speculation with the excess
Edited on Mon Aug-02-10 08:41 PM by ProgressOnTheMove
wealth.
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-10 11:00 AM
Response to Original message
24. There is a reason supply side economics is known as the "laugher curve"
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