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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 04:16 PM
Original message
3-months from today is the midterm election
just occured to me. Do you think that Dems will do better than expected or do you think it will be a GOP blow-out like in 1994?

I'm thinking it will be a better than expected dem showing--right now everyone is expecting a GOP wave. But I monitor the state polls on key races pretty closely and it seems to me that the Dems are gaining ground in a number of key senate and governors races. The house I think will be more unpredictable but I think Dems will keep control of the lower chamber.
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mzteris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 04:22 PM
Response to Original message
1. i hope you're right.
to allow the pukes any more power would be devastating. Those who don't like some of Obama's policies/actions need to remember wtf we're suffering from and who caused it. A return to power of the pukes? People can't be that stupid. can they?
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abelenkpe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 04:30 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. I dunno
my mother just emailed me with some insanity about the Pres having a social security number from Conneticut blah blah blah so there are some seriously nutty people out there. :(
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LeftishBrit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 04:48 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. What would be wrong with him having a social security number from Connecticut anyway?
Is Connecticut now supposed to be not part of the United States or something?
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abelenkpe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-10 11:57 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. Who knows?
Can't penetrate the depths of insanity my teapartying FOX news watching relatives wade in daily. Makes me glad to live 3200 miles away from them tho. :)

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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 05:01 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. I have a social security # from Connecticut. Mine is an 044 #.
There are claims that Obama has an 042# but seriously, how would anyone know unless they breached his confidential records and that is against the law and the people would be caught. Furthermore, I don't care. So maybe a SS# was recycled by mistake. We Nutmeggers are not people from a different country, so....whatever!
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abelenkpe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-10 12:01 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. My sis was born in Mass
She was issued her social security number in VA 16 years later. Somehow this fact doesn't help debunk my mothers conspiracy theories...actually they aren't my mothers, they are fed to her by Freerepublic.com and FOX news and she just soaks them up and repeats them. I hold on to the hope that if the fountain of BS were turned off she would be a reasonable human.
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-10 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. I sympathize, my parents watch Faux News nightly.
My parents were born in CT but ended up worshiping Reagan. Now they say they feel like the state is too liberal for them. If they move, they lose out on seeing their grandchildren. I think that is what keeps them here.
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 04:23 PM
Response to Original message
2. It depends on how the newly sanctioned balls-out corporate spending impacts the electorate. nt
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abelenkpe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
3. Maybe it's just me
but what are the republicans running on? Seems to me their platform is:
Vote for the GOP where we will promise to: cut unemployment benefits (during the worst economic crisis since the great depression) cut social security, repeal health care and financial reform, continue tax breaks for the wealthy and do nothing to stimulate the economy (aka hiring those out of work.) Somehow that doesn't seem so appealing.
If democrats just do a good job of reminding people of what the GOP is for, they should do well even make gains....
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ProgressOnTheMove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 08:26 PM
Response to Original message
7. I think they will potentially succeed excelletly. =)
Edited on Mon Aug-02-10 08:27 PM by ProgressOnTheMove
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thelordofhell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-10 08:37 PM
Response to Original message
8. The problem will be with the media
If the republicans gain 5 seats in the House and lose seats in the Senate, the media will blather on about how those 5 seats mean a republican revolution and that President Obama needs to capitulate more to the republicans.

:shrug:
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zipplewrath Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-10 12:06 PM
Response to Original message
12. No 1994
The elements just aren't there. The dems lose a few seats in the house, a couple in the senate. Truth is the Crist thing in Florida could actually have that state leaning democratic after the election. Quite honestly, considering that the democrats already don't have 60 seats in the senate, losing one or two only seems so catastrophic. In 2 years there will be an election for Brown's seat that could easily move back to the democratic column. You're just not going to see a 60+% democratic showing in the Senate real soon. And if you do, it will merely have a bunch of very conservative democrats that will still block progressive legislation.
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Cosmocat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-10 02:46 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. It was never going to be 1994 ...
as noted, the elements have never been there - just the Rs doing their usual puffy chested BS and the MSM breathlessly carrying water for them ... In the 90s and early 2000s when the Rs were the party with all the cash, that is all we every heard about, we have not heard a friggen peep about the Ds cash advantage ... We get deluged with under attended tea party rallies ...

It just is crape ...

I have said since the day after the elections in 2008, the Ds are overextended in R leaning districts, and there would be a draw back in those districts when there was not a presidential race at hand - the usual mid term drawback for the party in power ...

I have been at 20 being the over and under in the house, and honestly, if I had to put money on it I would put it on the under ...

As noted, even with 60 the senate is a cluster screw ... A loss of 4 or 5 seats there, worst case, isn't going to change much ... They are still going to block any and everything, if they have 45 or if they have 40 ... It just is the way they roll ...
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old mark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-10 02:13 PM
Response to Original message
13. I think we will do very well. Here in PA, several minority party candidates
were just aded to the ballot, and most of them will take votes from the republican side. Reid is leading and Angle is still an idiot, so that may improve.
I think the GOP is getting more rabidly insane as the great day nears, and they are running low on cash, so they will resort to real buffonery to attract attention - more and more people will become wary of them ...I also see Obama as reallu succeeding in his anti GOP speeches, and I hope other Dems get the drift and start a real campaign to win this election instead of counting losses before the vote.

I think it is possible for us to actually come out ahead if enough of us show up and vote.

mark
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-10 02:24 PM
Response to Original message
14. I think the Dems are in better position than they were three months ago.
Hopefully that means they'll continue to improve over the next three months.
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backwoodsbob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-03-10 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
16. I think the senate is fine...the house however...
the house is going to be tight.It will be a less than ten seat majority either way
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