Poll--LA Senate: Diaper Dave under 50%

[WI_DEM]

Clarus Research Group for WWL-TV
8/15-16/10; 600 registered voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(WWLTV story)

Louisiana

2010 Senate: General Election
48% Vitter (R), 36% Melancon (D) (chart)

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
74% Vitter, 5% Traylor, 3% Accardo

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
43% Melancon, 3% Chauvin, 2% Deaton

[flamingdem]

1. Love "Diaper Dave"

.. hope it catches on!:evilfrown:

[valerief]

2. I wonder what the outcome will be with the guaranteed election fraud. nt

[catgirl]

3. Just read on another post...

His opponent is putting up radio ads across the state, detailing his women problems.

[LiberalFighter]

4. Vitter would be a good candidate for a push poll

Would you prefer the current Senator, David Vitter who wears a diaper for sex. Or elect Melancon who doesn't wear disposable underwear?

[DavidDvorkin]

5. I think too much is made of the 50% level of support

When a candidate falls below 50%, that's taken to mean his candidacy is in danger. But Vitter has a wide lead over Melancon, and it could well be an insurmountable lead.

[WI_DEM]

6. actually an incumbant under 50% means that a lot of people who should know him by now

are not satisfied and may be open to a change. Of course the odds are he will win, but I would say that if the Dems compete strongly it could be competitive.

[karynnj]

7. I agree - especially in this state where many people may be on the ballot

In addition, the fact is that being below 50% means that the candidate is in danger of losing - it does NOT always mean that it is more likely then not. Some of the people who do not approve might be to his right - likely to still vote for him - holding their nose or vote for a third party candidate. They might be completely unlikely to vote for any Democrat.

I agree with you that the numbers do not look good for an upset here. (I just hope that the nasty Republican fight hurts him)

[last_texas_dem]

8. Ugh

Sad to see Louisiana has turned so hard right that they're likely to keep on this shameless, disgusting hypocrite.

I wish Melancon the best of luck, and this poll is closer than many previous ones, but that double-digit gap a little over two months before Election Day is going to be tough to close.

[smalll]

9. Um, under 50% -- but UP BY TWELVE POINTS ---

what the hell are you doing with this????

Trying to get our hopes up? If DU had a prize for the most misleading OP headline, well, you'd be in the running!

[bigbaddan]

10. i'd love to see him lose.

What a creep.