New Gallup Tracking Poll: Obama 47% (+2) approval 45% (-2) disapproval

[WI_DEM]

The upswing toward Obama continues in Gallup. Aug 15-17 was 41/52 negative

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

[WI_DEM]

1. In two weeks Obama +6 approval -7 disapproval

[Radical Activist]

21. Nice! Republicans peaked too early again.

[impik]

2. Oooops, that's not good.

[WI_DEM]

3. I wish we knew regionally what his totals were--for instance he might be in the 30's in the South

which means in other regions he is probably over 50.

[WI_DEM]

4. I love it when somebody comes and unrecs a postive Obama thread--it just proves

the point about some of the folks here on DU--they don't want Obama to succeed.

[FrenchieCat]

6. Yep...them and Jim DeMint and the rest of the GOP....

and of course big business and the media.

That's a whole lot of folks wishing for failure of just one man.
Sad.

[Beetwasher]

5. Yup, Rollout Is Starting Now And Obama Leads The Way, Don't Buy Repub Hype

Repubs always peak at the end of August. Things are going to turn and tighten now, just watch.

[tallahasseedem]

7. That is great news!

Thank you for posting it WI_DEM! :)

[MidwestTransplant]

8. Same thing happening with Rasmussen.

[jenmito]

12. Yup. Rasmussen has Obama at 48% approval, and has had Obama's approval numbers

higher than Gallup has had Obama's approval numbers for quite a while!

[Dawson Leery]

9. If the Democrats have learned from the GOP and Rove

now is the time to bring the "rollout" of new ideas, such as nominating Elizabeth Warren.

[jenmito]

10. I emailed Chuck Todd about this since we have an on-going conversation about this...

When I pointed out to him that on Morning Joe, they show the BAD poll numbers like clockwork, but when the numbers improve, they never mention it, he agreed with me and said that although HE doesn't take the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll (or ANY daily tracking poll) that seriously, his motto is, "Live by the Gallup Tracking Poll, Die by the Gallup Tracking Poll," and that Joe Scarborough and others who DO show the numbers when they're bad, should also show them when they're good.

Last time this happened, Chuck told me he'd tell Joe about it, but Joe was off for a couple days. So I wrote to him today and will see what happens.

[Drunken Irishman]

11. Smalll, smalll buddy...where are you?

Meanwhile, Gallup Daily Obama Job Approval stands today at 49% disapproval, 43% approval:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/gallup-daily-obama-jo...

While a 6 point deficit is a lot better than the 11 point deficit Obama suffered from at the height of Mosque-gate, it does appear increasingly likely that life underwater has become Obama's "new normal."

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_FN43PdKmZW0/SwouqozvQbI/AAAAAAAAAa4/H6vRG3KZyos/s320/scuba+diving.jpg

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x424538

[scheming daemons]

13. That user only posts when th numbers are bad

[smalll]

20. Here I am --

:blush:

[Drunken Irishman]

22. At least you're man enough to eat the crow...

Of course, I expect him to plunge back below the line in the future. He'll fluctuate. Just important to remember he bounces around and rarely stays submerged for long!

[thewiseguy]

14. So now you all like Gallup?

As of yesterday Gallup was just another Rasmussen or that it was too early to pay attention to the polls but now that has changed?

That is called cherry picking my friends.

[Teaser]

19. use simple logic...

if a poll has a particular slant in one direction, and this bias is real, consistent, and measurable, than any movement in a favorable direction, is still movement in a favorable direction once that bias is corrected for.

Why? Because of simple mathematics. Let's suppose Xr= the real value of some quantity, and Xm is the measured quantity. Working from the assumption the Xr(t)=Xm(t)+e, where e is some bias, and t is time, then Xr(t_final)-Xr(t_initial) = Xm(t_final)-Xm(t_initial), as the e's will subtract off.

[cilla4progress]

15. And I think he will get a bump from last night's speech

I was prepared for it to be an eye-roller, but I really thought it was good tonally and substantively. I was uber-surprised that Shields and Brooks (PBS commentators) were so negative?

We can only hope! Some coattails would also be nice!

[Proud Liberal Dem]

16. Yup

He's headed for his "Waterloo" all right. :eyes:

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

17. I like to call it the "Glenn Beck Bounce"

as in seeing 87,000 teabaggers in action scared the shit out of most sane people and they decided to rally around the president.

[Robbins]

18. Great news

Remember too the better Obama Is doing the worse Republicans will do In November.While the MSM may Ignore history He Is a refressher

1982(reagan at 42)-Democrats pick up 26 House seats and 1 senate seat

1994(Clinton Is between 35 to 40 depending on the poll)-Republicans pick up 54 House seats and 8 Senate seats

2006(Bush Is at about 36 percent)-Democrats pick up 30 House seats and 6 Senate seats

we now have a few polls that have Obama around 47 to 48 Percent approval yet we are suspose to think Obama Is a bigger drag than
Bush or Reagan were.Obama Is more popular than the great saint reagan was In 1982.Even back In 1994 Republicans did not pick up 10
Senate seats.In 1994 don't forget Democrats had the House for 40 years and there was a number of House leaders caught In Corruption.
While 2 Dems has ethics charges against them It Is nowhere like It was In 1994.We could have a 1982 situation where Republicans
win a number of house seats but Democrats keep the majority.

for the record I have always been a bit skeptical Democrats would lose the House In 2010.Now when Obama has a disapproval over approval by 10 that made be neavous.But If Obama going Into the midterms has 47,48 approval rating then a 1982 result could
be likely.

[backscatter712]

23. Dunno if the poll numbers reflect last night's speech.

I thought last night's speech was pretty decent, though I suspect the Gallup poll was done before the speech.

So we very well might get more of a bump in the next couple days.

[budkin]

24. We need him to fire people up for the midterms