Obama's Afghan exit plan transitions to 'transition'
December 7, 2009
In the lead-up to President Obama's major Afghanistan war speech last week at West Point, all of the leaks -- and thus, the media and reader/viewer focus -- was on the quantifiable number of fresh U.S. troops the Democrat had decided to dispatch.
That was also the selective lead excerpt from the president's 4,582-word address, released by the White House a couple of hours before he actually uttered the words, to help shape news coverage and steer public expectations.
Indeed, that worked. Most news reports led with that hard number while also mentioning the president's vow that their assignment was short-term and they'd start leaving just 18 months from now, in ... July 2011. The latter was designed to assuage the mounting anti-war fervor on the left wing of the president's party and fading poll support for the 8-year-old conflict.
It was, in effect, a deft political speech designed by the White House to have it both ways -- tough talk about protecting America for the national security fanciers alongside a vow that it wouldn't last long for the anti-war folks and as a warning to slow-moving Afghans to get going.
But in a classic case of White House walkback, to once again have it both ways down the road, in the succeeding six days Obama Cabinet members have been fudging the July 2011 pullout start. They were no longer emphasizing the number of new troops but instead stressing that 7/11 was only the beginning of any pullout, that it would be a slow, gradual pullout and based on conditions on the ground at the time.
On Sunday the administration made both Gates and Secy. of State Hillary Clinton available to three major talk shows to make the same points, an indication of how badly it wanted this message to get out: 7/11 is no arbitrary date. Clinton said, "We're not talking about an exit strategy or a drop-dead deadline."
In other words, the 18-month timetable to a drawdown is written in pencil -- and lightly. It could be 19, 27 or 36 months or even, hypothetically, the dread decade of nation-building that Obama dismissed. President Lyndon Johnson was pretty confident about wrapping up his war more quickly with additional troops.
With the Afghan walkback, the administration has now given itself copious spoken documentation to support a decision either way. People can see/hear what they want in the meantime. With quotes available for both sides to quote, the lines of what was said and meant will be blurred. Which is the point.
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