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SurveyUSA Poll: Whitman Leads Brown By 47%-40% In CA-GOV Race

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Joanne98 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:02 PM
Original message
SurveyUSA Poll: Whitman Leads Brown By 47%-40% In CA-GOV Race
The new SurveyUSA poll of the California gubernatorial race gives Republican Meg Whitman an expanding lead over Democrat Jerry Brown.

The numbers: Whitman 47%, Brown 40%. The survey of likely voters has a ±4.2% margin of error. In the previous Survey USA poll from three weeks ago, Whitman was only ahead by a narrow 44%-43%.

The TPM Poll Average shows Whitman taking a narrow lead of 44.8%-43.8%.

http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2010/09/surveyusa-poll-whitman-leads-brown-by-47-40-in-ca-gov-race.php?ref=fpa

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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:03 PM
Response to Original message
1. Strikes me as false
SUSA badly bungled the CA primary poll in 2008.

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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:12 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Nope.
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denimgirly Donating Member (929 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 07:00 PM
Response to Reply #1
13. Studying SUSA's record they appear to be pretty Accurate on Avg.
Edited on Fri Sep-03-10 07:01 PM by denimgirly
I went through all of their polls and on average they have one of the highest accurate scores of them all.
Like all polls they will be wrong from time to time but on average they are pretty close to dead on.
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ananda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:05 PM
Response to Original message
2. Scary.
Fuckin scary.
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impik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:09 PM
Response to Original message
3. What's wrong with the people of California??? Seriously.
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Hekate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:13 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. I haven't seen ads for Brown. Whitman's name is all over. I hope to God he's got a Plan
:scared:

and some money.

Hekate
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:13 PM
Response to Original message
5. That's a very misleading poll. +/- 4.2% margin of error simply
means that they COULD be tied!
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Mz Pip Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:28 PM
Response to Original message
7. Nutmeg is buying the governorship
Brown seems to be missing in action, though I did read he's going to start spending some of his campaign money.

Honestly, I don't think peole in CA are paying that much attention yet. I have a friend who's running for city council and she's been going door to door. She's surprised at how many people don't even seem to know it's an election year. Our community is pretty politically awake and if people here haven't started paying attention then I can only imagine what the rest of the state is doing.
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golfguru Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:29 PM
Response to Original message
8. I guess Whitman is buying saturation coverage on Radio & TV
It is hard to fight that kind of money.
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customerserviceguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 06:41 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. Yep, she's going to hit the 'Buy It Now' button
every day till the election. That idiot, Fiorina, has got enough ill-gotten money to do the same thing.
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Ernesto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 05:31 PM
Response to Original message
9. Not for long!
Edited on Fri Sep-03-10 05:36 PM by Ernesto
..."The time has NOW come. Only yesterday Jerry kicked it into gear.
The political moment that eager California Democrats and some curious Republicans have been waiting for has arrived: Jerry Brown has begun a visible campaign for governor."....
..."Brown strategists believed that lying low during the summer, even if risky, was their best option. Had Brown's campaign responded to each of Whitman's attack ads since June, the Brown strategists said, they would have been out of money by Labor Day, when voters traditionally start paying attention to campaigns."....

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2010/09/03/MN721F7NRQ.DTL
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Turbineguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 06:08 PM
Response to Original message
10. California conservatives
will stick it to her just like they did to Ahnold.
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denimgirly Donating Member (929 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 06:57 PM
Response to Original message
12. In 95% of Elections whoever has the Most Campiagn Money Wins
Edited on Fri Sep-03-10 06:59 PM by denimgirly
Regardless of party affiliation...the more $$ you have the higher your chances.
So if you want to be a successful politician...be rich! And once in...prepare to be rewarded and become MORE RICH! As for your constituents...F--- them...as long as you have more money for campaigning you will get re-elected.
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otohara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 07:06 PM
Response to Original message
14. Hell Is About To Be Unleashed
AGAIN...

two years, two short years.

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jwirr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
15. Apparently California wants more of the same - might as well keep
Arnold.
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 09:10 PM
Response to Original message
16. Brown is saving his money for the last weeks
Judging from where his numbers are in L.A. County, I think he needs to step things up.. Whitman leading in L.A. County is more a circumstance of Brown not being very visible.
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