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Edited on Wed Sep-08-10 10:59 AM by wyldwolf
...or rather, evidence, that your explanation is correct.
Unfortunately for you, everyone outside the little "progressive" corner you hang in disagrees with you.
Five things were at play in 1994 that caused the losses:
1. The Democratic party of the 70s and 80s and grown corrupt.
The House Banking Scandal is a prime example of the corruption that was running rampant in Washington in the 7s and 80s, culminating with the Democrat's losses in 1994.
An article in the Boston Globe took up the issue of Democratic losses a week before the last presidential election. When a party holds power for too long, Adrian Wooldridge, reporter for The Economist, said in the article, "it grows fat and happy, it also grows corrupt." The classic example, he pointed out, is the Democratic Party of the 1970s and `80s, which, spoiled by generations of congressional power, "became a party of insiders and deal makers without any sense of the principles they stood for and eventually collapsed" when they were turned out in 1994.
2. Americans were increasingly distrustful of the Government.
By the early 1990s, distrust of the government, especially the entrenched power (that would be the Democrats) was evident among much of the public. In 1964, over 70 percent of the public said that they could trust Washington to do what was right most or all of the time; by early 1994, only 19 percent expressed similar confidence (Phillips 1994: 7). In 1964, when asked, "Would you say the government is run by a few big interests looking out for themselves or that it is run for the benefit of all people," nearly 40 percent more people agreed with the latter than with the former. In 1992 that sentiment had reversed itself, with 60 percent more people believing that the government was run for the benefit of special interests than those who believed it was run for the benefit of all. (Stanley and Niemi: 169).
3. The Democratic party had moved left out of the mainstream and became the party of special interests.
The more common explanation for the 1994 Republican Revolution, though, is that liberal Democratic ideals -- or at least the way they were presented -- no longer resonated with the majority of Americans. According to Ruy Teixeira, a fellow at the Center for American Progress and at the Century Foundation, the danger for the dominant party isn't ideological bankruptcy but ideological drift. "Certainly you can make the argument that, if a party's far enough away from the mainstream, if they don't lose they don't get enough impetus to correct their behavior."
As the party of governmental activism, the Democrats were bound to suffer from the rise of popular cynicism toward government. At the same time that Bill Clinton was winning the White House, voters preferred having "government cost less in taxes but provide fewer services" to having "government provide more services but cost more in taxes" by 54 to 38 percent (Milkis and Nelson 1994: 395)
4. Democratic retirements in red-trending districts
The Republicans' 1994 victory in the House was enabled by a large number of Democratic retirements: Twenty-two of the 54 seats the GOP picked up that year were open.
5. The first nation-wide movement of the Christian Right.
In 1990, Pat Robertson laid out his key organizing principle in his book The Millennium:
"With the apathy that exists today, a well organized minority can influence the selection of candidates to an astonishing degree."
Robertson said to the Denver Post in 1992,
"We want...as soon as possible to see a majority of the Republican Party in the hands of pro-family Christians..."
Robertson hired Ralph Reed as the Christian Coalition's political mastermind. To get their candidates elected Reed and Robertson taught them to use stealth: avoid publicity, stay out of debates, and work below the radar screen. Don't call attention to yourself. And then Christian Coalition campaigned on their behalf exclusively in fundamentalist, Pentecostal and Charismatic churches.
While candidates avoided the limelight, Christian Coalition Family Values Voter Guides were distributed to participating churches. Church telephone directories were used for "get-out-the-vote" telephone banks.
1994: A Watershed Year
By election time in 1994 Christian Coalition had distributed 40 million copies of the "Family Values Voter's Guide" in more than 100,000 churches nationwide. 1994 was the year Republicans took control of Congress for the first time in 40 years. It was also the year that Republicans made a huge gain in State Legislatures.
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Sorry - no sign of Rahm in any of that and no one else seems to push your theory.
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