babylonsister! It worked! Chris Cillizza Blogs About the latest Gallup numbers!

[Clio the Leo]

And even subtly admits his goof at the end...

Examining the Gallup generic ballot question

One week ago, Gallup released a weekly tracking poll that showed Republicans with a 10 point edge on the so-called generic ballot question -- "If the election for Congress were being held today, which parties' candidate would you vote for in your congressional district?" -- a finding that set off a rash of media coverage that the Democrats' hold on their House majority was rapidly slipping away.

(We dedicated the lead item of our "Morning Fix" column to the Gallup generic findings -- and what they meant -- while Post pollster Jon Cohen offered his take in a story for the paper.)

On Tuesday, Gallup released its latest numbers, which showed Democrats and Republicans tied at 46 percent on the generic ballot -- a stunning reversal that had Democratic operatives crowing that the media had jumped the gun on writing their party's political obituary.

"With eight weeks until Election Day, Republicans and Beltway pundits may want to hold off on calling the race for the House before voters cast their ballots," wrote Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee deputy executive director Jennifer Crider in an e-mail to reporters touting the latest Gallup findings.

<snip>

Regardless of the reason for the Gallup numbers, the back and forth serves as a reminder -- to the Fix and other political watchers -- that no one poll contains absolute truth.

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/house/examining-the-gallup-generic-b.html?wprss=thefix

(this thread is a follow up to...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x434958 )

[ClarkUSA]

1. Nice find! Cilizza is generally responsive to his readers. nt

[opihimoimoi]

2. KnR :o)

[rocktivity]

3. "Get Thee Beyond Me, Polls!"

"Unclean! UNCLEAN!!!"



:headbang:
rocktivity

[Clio the Leo]

8. ha! nt

[babylonsister]

4. Ha! Yay! Thanks, Clio. DUers, write when you get twerked off.

It might help at least correct the record! :D

[ProSense]

5. Love it. Hyping the GOP ends after Labor Day. n/t

[Bitwit1234]

6. And since the polls are OWNED by republican corporations

I don't believe any damn one of them. Look at Florida. They got it overwhelming wrong in the two republican candidates in the primary. They picked the loser by double digits in their poll.

[DrSteveB]

7. Do you guys think the Democratic Party will pick up seats?

Or lose seats? and how many please.

[babylonsister]

9. Unlike 'the media', we don't know. I think it's worthwhile to

see what happens in the next 1.5 months.

[Hawkowl]

11. Yes.

I predict the Dems picking up 2 Senate seats and 4 House seats. I believe it would be a landslide except for continuing Reghuglican election fraud which will still plague us in the electronic voting machines.

[wisteria]

10. Good work! n/t

[babylonsister]

12. Stand-up guy, Mr Cillizza is. He e-mailed me the link to this

story. So I naturally thanked him.

Squeaky wheels get grease sometimes. :D

[AtomicKitten]

13. Wow. An interactive punditry interested in getting it right.

Kudos to you B-sister!