Allstate/National Journal Poll: Congressional ballot: 38% (D) 36% (R)

[WI_DEM]

This poll is a little moldy--and before Dems began their big offensive:


8/27-30/10; 1,201 adults, 2.8% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(National Journal release, story)

National

State of the Country
27% Right Direction, 62% Wrong Track (chart)

Obama Job Approval
46% Approve, 49% Disapprove (chart)

2010 Congress: Generic Ballot
Registered voters (n=1,116): 38% Democrat, 36% Republican (chart)
All adults: 39% Democrat, 35% Republican

Party ID
33% Democratic, 25% Republican, 29% independent (chart)

[hlthe2b]

1. Allstate? As in the insurance company?

Hmmm...

Findings are consistent with the last one from Gallup, though.

[Marsala]

2. Makes sense, as it's a registered voter poll

The generic ballot is usually close for registered voters but shows a large advantage for Republicans in likely voters, due to the enthusiasm gap. This is the thing most likely to change as the campaign truly begins, however.

[DrSteveB]

3. self-delete n/t

[Aramchek]

4. but, but I thought the Repigs were up 10 and it was all over but the crying?!?!

:sarcasm:

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

5. The Headline You Won't See....

"Republicans Suffer Historic Collapse"

Their ten-point lead was a "historic" and "unprecedented" advantage. So certainly it makes sense that when this advantage disappears, that should be "historic" and "unprecedented" as well, right?

Right...