Morning Call Poll--PA Senate: Toomey (R) 46% Sestak 39%

[WI_DEM]

Note that Sestak is only getting 68% of Dem vote and is actually tied with Toomey among indies. Also more older people support Sestak than younger.

Election Matchup
Candidate
Percentage Responding
Toomey
46%
Sestak
39%
Other/Not Sure
14%
SELECTED CROSSTABS
Sestak
Toomey
Undecided
Democrat
68%
19%
13%
Republican
14%
71%
15%
Independent
41%
41%
19%
Male
43%
47%
10%
Female
36%
44%
19%
Southeast
48%
38%
14%
Southwest
32%
53%
14%
Remainder of State
37%
48%
15%
18-39
45%
52%
4%
40-64
38%
49%
13%
65 and Older
41%
44%
15%

http://www.muhlenberg.edu/pdf/main/academics/polisci/PASEPT2010_MuhlenbergPoll_Results.pdf

[bigdarryl]

1. Only 68% of democrat support I call that BULLSHIT!!! he will get at least 75% of the democrats

mark my word. Seems like all these polls are predicting low democrat turnout

[WI_DEM]

2. I would hope he would get more than 75% too, 19% are undecided according to this poll.

[Historic NY]

3. simply amazing.

[bigdarryl]

4. Toomey is getting more woman support which baffles me

Sastak needs to start hitting him on woman's issues.

[liskddksil]

5. Sample sizes among some subgroups are probably too small to be valid

That said, Sestak needs to do better at defining Toomey, and exciting the base.