PA-10: Carney Pushes Back, Internals Show 8-Point Lead

[WI_DEM]

Rep. Chris Carney's (D) campaign Monday released an internal poll showing the congressman up 8 points, 46% to 38%, over Republican challenger Tom Marino in the heated battle to represent northeast Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District.

Momentum Analysis, which surveyed 400 voters Sept. 23-25, conducted the poll. It has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.

The results differ from other surveys of the race, which have shown the former U.S. attorney Marino leading Carney. A poll released Sunday from the Wilkes-Barre Times-Leader showed Marino leading the incumbent by 4 points, 40% to 36%, while a late July poll from the American Action Forum Network showed the Republican up 15 points, 52% to 37%.

The mostly rural 10th District, which covers a large swath of the state's famed conservative "T," is prime hunting ground for Republicans this year as they try to capitalize on a better political climate.

But Marino's campaign has been dogged by poor fundraising and missteps, most notably when he said in the spring that the Department of Justice gave him permission to serve as a reference on a gaming application for convicted felon Louis DeNaples. Marino's office was investigating DeNaples at the time, and the DOJ said on the record last week it never gave...

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/

[Cha]

1. Thanks WI DEM.

[Drunken Irishman]

2. Obviously Carney has momentum...

It's hard to compare different polling results because they all have their own ways of getting the results. However, if Marino was really up 15 in July, as the AAF Network poll suggests, and was then only up four in a poll released Sunday, Carney is in good position.

I don't buy he's up eight, though. Typically, internals that are released to the media are bunk. They rarely are right.

But I think he's in position to win this race.