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mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 06:57 PM
Original message
More Good Poll Numbers Point To Surge towards Democrats
Edited on Mon Sep-27-10 06:59 PM by mikekohr
Polls Reveal a Surge of Support for Democrats
By Jason Easley, Politics USA

http://readersupportednews.org/opinion2/277-75/3440-polls-reveal-a-surge-of-support-for-democrats

-clip-
The polls are not only tightening because it is October and people are starting to pay attention, but there is something else at work here. In their quest for ideological purity, Republicans have nominated some very unlikable candidates, and in state after state the more voters see and hear the Teapublican candidates, the less they like them. This is why the Teapublicans avoid debating their opponents and the media. The more people find out about these candidates, the better the Democrats look. -clip


mike kohr
Bureau County Democrats
http://bureaucountydems.blogspot.com
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 06:59 PM
Response to Original message
1. THE DEM-PIRE STRIKES BACK!
(TM) (c) 2010 By Rocktivity. All rights reserved.

:headbang:
rocktivity
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cyr330 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:03 PM
Response to Original message
2. But all we're going to hear
is how powerful the Repigs are and what a debacle this is going to be for the Dems. The Lame Stream Media is trying to scare away Dem voters & make them feel like it's an ineluctable loss for the Dems, no matter what they do! These poll numbers tell us another story! I bet we WON'T be hearing about this in the media!
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Beartracks Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:09 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Dem debacle - I still read about it daily. n/t
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rpannier Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:05 PM
Response to Original message
3. The irony of this is...
Had Meg not spent so much money getting her message out, she might have had an easy ride to being the next governor.
The millions she spent may be her undoing
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cyr330 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:11 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Keep your fingers crossed. . .
As I tell all my friends, California isn't all that blue, to be honest.
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Purveyor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:15 PM
Response to Original message
6. I've been saying, just keep providing the teabaggers with more rope... eom
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zipplewrath Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:19 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. That's what I've been thinking for Rand Paul
The primary strategy is forcing him out in public as often as possible.
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Aramchek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:25 PM
Response to Original message
8. as People see who the real candidates are they will swing to the Democrats
This will be the Teabagger Pattern.

Just like Palin...
Big Takeoff,
Lackluster Finish
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Liberal_in_LA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
9. kick
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backscatter712 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:33 PM
Response to Original message
10. They blew their wads too early!
Obama, for all the things people have to say about him, is a very disciplined politician, and he made sure that he wasn't going to open fire too early. Timing is everything in political campaigns, and Obama knows how to do timing!
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:34 PM
Response to Original message
11. No more polls
(even when I like the result)
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doc03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 07:39 PM
Response to Original message
12. The electoral-vote.com link on the (latest) page doesn't
Edited on Mon Sep-27-10 07:40 PM by doc03
indicate any kind of surge, it appears to me the Democrats are falling behind if anything.
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mucifer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 08:21 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. same with Nate Silver. nt
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 08:58 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. This is largely a psychological phenomenon.
Edited on Mon Sep-27-10 09:07 PM by FBaggins
People want to see their team succeed. They have the ability to block out bad news and focus on any good news. We're all guilty of it.

If four polls come out today and one shows things getting better and one shows things getting worse, while the remaining polls show no change - you're going to see some "we've got the MOmentum now boys!" posts focusing on that one good poll (and asking why the biased media won't give more coverage to the poll). A week later when those same four polls change places (re: which is up and which is down), you'll see the same threads touting the new Gallup poll showing increasing momentum (while ignoring the fact that the one and only acceptable poll from last week now shows "momentum" in the other direction).

I can't tell you how excited I was to see the first Battleground (my favorite) poll since the Spring come in as a dead heat... but now they're reflecting a five point Republican advantage. There were dozens of "blew their wad too early" posts back in July when consecutive Gallup polls showed significant Democratic momentum... only to shift to disbelief when the poll shifted to the largest R leads in the history of the poll... and now they're valid again showing another tie.

The same pattern repeats with the President's approval numbers. Constant threads claiming a rapid improvement, while the overall polls are little changed (or have even gotten worse).

Unfortunately, the underlying story of the election hasn't changed significantly. We've made real progress in some important races (CA, obviously DE, etc), but had some setbacks as well (WV, OH) - but the picture still looks about the same. The biggest change is the slim possibility of the Senate flipping has become even slimmer.

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doc03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 11:07 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. I did see some rather good news tonight, the latest
poll in WV has Manchin leading 50 to 43 over Rease. Manchin isn't much but he does claim to be a Democrat.
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 11:20 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. That sounds like the week-old rasmussen poll.
A PPP poll at the same time showed him down by three.

The point in this race, however, is that it shouldn't even be a real race. The polling should be a formality.

Instead, I'm reading reports that Manchin is reversing himself on HCR. even slipping "repealed" into his comments... While CBS moves the race to tossup.
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doc03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 11:26 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. Joe Manchin was endorsed by the AFL-CIO and
Edited on Mon Sep-27-10 11:29 PM by doc03
the US Chamber of Commerce. How can you trust a guy that gets the endorsement from two organizations that are 180º apart on everything? How about Raese he made his money the old fashioned way "I inherited it".
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Kdillard Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-28-10 08:48 AM
Response to Reply #12
20. Really unless I am wrong that page is showing Dems holding on to both the Senate and House.
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Historic NY Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 08:49 PM
Response to Original message
14. Wow even Nader gets it.........people get out and vote.
Published on Friday, September 24, 2010 by CommonDreams.org
Why Say Yes to the Party of No?
by Ralph Nader

How does the Big Business-indentured Republican Party get away with expectations of a runaway election victory this November? If such a victory should occur in Congress and for many governorships and state legislatures, it will be due to a ten percent or so shift in voters who voted Democratic in 2008 and are expected to vote Republican this year or stay home in despair or disgust. The rest of the voters who do vote will still stay with their hereditary Republican or Democratic candidates.



http://readersupportednews.org/off-site-opinion-section/72-72/3428-why-say-yes-to-the-party-of-no
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-27-10 11:46 PM
Response to Original message
19. Ok. But a SURGE? nt
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