NV-SEN POLL: Angle 47, Reid 46. Reid leads early voters 50-46.

[jefferson_dem]

:scared:

Nevada going down to the wire...

The Nevada Senate race is headed for a photo finish with Sharron Angle leading Harry Reid just 47-46 on PPP's final poll of the race. The survey indicates that Reid takes a 50-46 lead with early voters into election day but that those still planning to vote tomorrow are intending to support Angle by a 48-40 margin.

Democratic voters in Nevada really hold Reid's fate in their hands by whether they show up at the polls tomorrow or not. Angle's 1 point lead is built on an electorate that supported Barack Obama by only 4 points in 2008, in contrast to his actual 12 point victory in the state. That means a lot of Democratic leaning voters aren't planning to vote tomorrow and if even a small percentage of them can be rousted out of complacency to go vote for Reid it might be enough to put him over the top.

Both candidates are getting just a shade under 80% from voters in their own party. Angle has the slight overall advantage because she's ahead 52-38 with independents. Regardless of who wins the election tomorrow Nevada will have a Senator it's not particularly fond of. Only 44% of voters have a favorable opinion of Angle to 53% with a negative one and Reid's approval rating is just 42% with 55% of voters disapproving of him.

There's a lot more clarity in the Governor's race: Brian Sandoval is going to be the next Governor of Nevada. He leads Rory Reid 55-44. Sandoval has proven to be by far and away the most appealing candidate on the ballot in the state this year- 56% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to only 33% who view him negatively. He's winning independents by 23 points and taking 22% of the Democratic vote.

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/11/nevada-going-down-to-wire.html

[bigdarryl]

1. I take this guys analysis over PPP

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26315908/ns/msnbc_tv-rachel_maddow_show/#39942734

[WI_DEM]

2. GOTV