CT-SEN POLL: Blumenthal 53 (+1), McMahon 44 (+2)

[jefferson_dem]

BLUMENTHAL UP 9 POINTS IN CONNECTICUT SENATE RACE,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
GOVERNOR’S RACE TOO CLOSE TO CALL

In the Connecticut U.S. Senate race, Republican Linda McMahon has narrowed the gap slightly in the last week but still trails State Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democrat, 53 – 44 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 54 – 42 percent Blumenthal lead in an October 26 likely voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll.

The governor’s race is now too close to call, with 48 percent of likely voters for Republican Tom Foley and 45 percent for Democrat Dan Malloy, compared to a small 48 – 43 percent Malloy lead October 26.

In today’s Senate survey, Blumenthal leads 93 –6 percent among Democrats while McMahon is ahead 87 – 13 percent among Republicans. Independent voters, who went 56 – 40 percent for Blumenthal last week, now tip 49 – 44 percent for McMahon. Only 3 percent are undecided and 5 percent of voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind.

Women back Blumenthal 61 – 36 percent. Men go to McMahon 50 – 46 percent.

“Linda McMahon’s mini surge may be too little, too late,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.

“Independent voters, who have been very volatile in this election season, are shifting back to the Republican candidates in both the Senate and governor’s races.”

Quinnipiac University Poll/November 1, 2010 – page 2

By a 53 – 43 percent margin, likely voters have a favorable opinion of Blumenthal, compared to 55 – 39 percent last week.

McMahon gets a negative 43 – 50 percent favorability, virtually unchanged from last week.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2010/CT_Quinn_1101.htm

[TheCowsCameHome]

1. Yes!

Go Blumenthal.

[WI_DEM]

2. The Governor's race is worrisome as this is now the second poll to show Foley ahead.

[Jennicut]

3. Yup. I cannot stand Foley. Jodi Rell was a moderate Repub but she

did seem to have some integrity and came off as a good person. Foley comes off like a sleaze. Time will tell I guess.

[Dawson Leery]

5. What is odd is that I have not seen any uptick in Foley's support.

I say this a as a volunteer who is working on the campaigns.

[Jennicut]

7. I have not seen any positive news for him here at all. I have seen Malloy

pounding him on tv with ads. Who knows? I just don't totally see it unless they are polling in Litchfield County only! LOL. I live in red hell around here but it is more rural in this part of the state.

[Dawson Leery]

9. LYNCHfield......I meant to say Litchfield. sorry to hear that you live there.

Look, Foley has been hitting Malloy with negative ads without promoting his own positives (perhaps Tommy knows he has no positives). Malloy has been running the best on air attacks against Foley all the while promoting his own positives.
I still do not see why this race is now a tie. The only thing I can see is that the pollsters are using a very tight screen, passing over many Democrats/Democratic leaning independents from their polls.
I have seen very strong support for Foley in upper Fairfield County (suburbs). That is it.

[maryellen99]

4. I just hope

That CT voters that if You vote for Linda, you also get Vince.

[GSLevel9]

6. good! One less to worry about. nt

[Arkana]

8. This is good. A race like this has a reasonable expectation of tightening

but that's a comfortable margin for Blumenthal, and he should be happy.