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PPP Final FL Poll--Sink (D) leads by 1 for Gov; Crist leads by 17

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:44 AM
Original message
PPP Final FL Poll--Sink (D) leads by 1 for Gov; Crist leads by 17
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 11:50 AM by WI_DEM
The Florida Governor's race is too close to call as the election enters its final two days. Alex Sink leads Rick Scott by just a single point at 48-47. Scott has gained over the last three weeks among conservative leaning voters who don't like him but have decided they don't dislike him enough to let a Democrat win.

If Scott does manage to pull it out he'll probably be the country's most unpopular newly elected Governor. Only 34% of voters in the state have a favorable opinion of him while 54% see him in a negative light. But Republican inclined voters are ultimately putting politics over personality and that's allowed Scott to make gains since our last poll.

Some have wondered, given how closely Scott is polling, if Bill McCollum would have been a shoo in had he been the Republican nominee. He may have had less baggage than McCollum but he doesn't poll any differently, trailing Sink 46-45 in a hypothetical match.

The topline numbers in the Senate race are not all that interesting- Marco Rubio is headed for an easy victory as he has been ever since the primary with 47% to 30% for Charlie Crist and 21% Kendrick Meek.

The most interesting number within the poll, even though it's not translating into extra voters, is Meek's favorability. In early October 35% of voters in the state said they had a positive opinion of Meek to 37% with a negative one. That's shot up now to 42% favorable and 32% unfavorable in just a few weeks time. Voters have responded positively to how Meek has conducted himself through all the speculation about whether he would or would not bring his campaign to a halt.

All the drama over whether Meek would drop out of the race might have been pretty pointless anyway. In a hypothetical head to head match up with Rubio Crist trails by a 48-44 margin. He may very well have lost even if Meek had pulled out.

Crist's political future after what is likely to be a pretty crushing loss tomorrow looks murky. Only 17% of voters in the state say they would definitely support him if he were to seek political office again in the future. That's not a particularly strong base of support and more than twice as many voters as that- 39%- say there's no way they'd vote for Crist in a future campaign. 43% are noncommittal on Crist's future.
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stray cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:46 AM
Response to Original message
1. Kind of like Nader in 2000?
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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:51 AM
Response to Original message
2. You need to change your title. It's Rubio who leads by 17. Gag. nt
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Qutzupalotl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:52 AM
Response to Original message
3. Your headline says Crist leads.
It should say (but should not be) Rubio leads by 17.
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:54 AM
Response to Original message
4. Cristies are not gonna like this
My take is the polls are skewed. Take out the t-bag hype and rubio is @36%.

Crist has a 32% rate.

The undecideds at 10% will add to Meek's vote and he'll be at 31%.

So it will be quite evident come the 3rd that had the Dems in Florida stuck with Meek, rubio would be a mere blip.
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DrDan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. do you have anything to back up those numbers?
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:22 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. The changes
rubio loses 3 and Meek gains 3? Did the rubes move to Meek? Nope.
But the polling all along has been trying to tell us that.

So what that tells me is that the polls are basically wrong, for any of several reasons.

One being that the people who will turn out are not being well polled.

That a lot of repukes are just mouthing off and making a lot of noise and that is who the pollsters, and the media, are listening too.
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MidwestTransplant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:12 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Fantasy
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:24 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. What fantasy?
The cristies do like these numbers?

Or: Crist was never gonna win, but it will be seen that Meek had a chance until the Dems started throwing him under the bus.
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Aramchek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. delusional. Meek never had a chance. Even he knows this. But is too proud to admit it.
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:34 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. Can you back that up?
No, All you got is junk.

Or are you saying a black democrat can't win? Is that all ya got?
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Aramchek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:46 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. how quickly you make it all about race. That has nothing to do with it.
The Democratic Candidate had no chance from the get-go.

We could have played it smart, and wound up with a Moderate who would Caucus with us.
Instead we get a Teabaggin loon.

Do you really not understand that?
Or do you just like to accuse people of being racist for the heck of it?

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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:50 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. It was a question
So.... you don't think a liberal, progressive, anti-war Democrat can win?

And you can tell your boy crist to go to hell!!
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Aramchek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 03:02 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. can you provide any evidence that Meek ever had a chance. Just one poll showing him with a shot?
and Crist is far from "my boy"

He is just a hell of a lot better than Rubio and has said he is willing to caucus with Dems to support the Obama agenda.
Rubio is a guaranteed No vote on everything we want.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 11:55 AM
Response to Original message
5. Rubio, not Crist
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The Backlash Cometh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 12:00 PM
Response to Original message
6. That's what Crist gets for taking dirty money.
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 12:01 PM by The Backlash Cometh
I'm sure he's already working on a run for a house rep position.

On edit: And not just taking dirty money, but rewarding crooked people with government positions.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 01:44 PM
Response to Original message
11. WHOOPS! I MEANT RUBIO BY 17
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:18 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. Yeah, ooops!
:spank:
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:24 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. x 2
:spank: :spank:
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 02:43 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. Squared


:spank: :spank:

:spank: :spank:
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