Final 2010 Congressional National Polls just released: Signs of hope for us and the Dems?!

[Politics_Guy25]

US-Generic Ballot: 50% Republican, 43% Democrat (Democracy Corps 10/23-25)
US-Generic Ballot: 50% Republican, 44% Democrat (Ipsos 10/28-31)

http://www.pollster.com

If we shave say 2 points off of that 6 and 7 point lead due to GOTV tommorrow, the house may be far closer than predicted and it does bode well for our senate hopes doesn't it?

Also doesn't the GOP need 52% of the popular vote to win the house??

[Ter]

1. They need 50.1% to win the House, since EVERY seat is up

Picture it all resetting and going to zero today. All 435 seats are up, so one party needs 218 to be a majority. That poll still has 6% undecideds, and 4% will likely break for the GOP. So that will be roughly 54% GOP, 46% Dem. That translates into roughly 235 GOP seats, and 200 Democrats. Sounds about right, but it could be much worse. Brace yourself.

[DavidDvorkin]

2. The house is not allocated according to the popular vote

The voting is done House district by house district, of course.