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Praying the polls are wrong.... but being realistic.....

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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 03:56 PM
Original message
Praying the polls are wrong.... but being realistic.....

House: -51 seats

Senate: -7 seats


Holding the Senate is important, because they can block any of the teabagger nuttery from even having to be vetoed by Obama - thus keeping his hands clean. They also still are important in the confirmation process for Judges and setting the legislative agenda.


The only bright spot in the House is that half of the 51 lost seats will be blue dogs... so the Dems that remain will be farther left of center as a group than this past congress.



Obama can spend two years running against Boehner and the Nutjobs... and he'll win in 2012 easily.



I hope my prediction is off by at least 13 seats in the house (in the good direction)..... but I'm not feeling it.

:(


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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 03:57 PM
Response to Original message
1. We are keeping the House. GOTV. n/t
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Mass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 03:57 PM
Response to Original message
2. Praying polls in MA are correct, but wrong in other states.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 03:57 PM
Response to Original message
3. It is the GROUND GAME
and the turnout has been historic... so I will say it here... you are in for a surprise, of the good kind.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 03:59 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Hope ou're right.... I just feel the same way I did in 1994 at this time of day

..... When Santorum won the PA senate seat.


Toomey is no different than Santorum.... and I have a feeling the Sestak has come up short.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 04:02 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. But in 1994 the turnout was not there
this is like 2006 a midterm with historically high turn out. It is actually higher than 2006.

1994 was a norm shitty turnout year. Actually lower than usual.

That does not say a thing about individual races, but Big Eddie was reporting a four time higher than average turn out in PA
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Beetwasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 04:13 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. In '94 Repubs Actually Had HIGH Approval Ratings
Now they are lower than dogshit.
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 04:02 PM
Response to Original message
5. I'm not seeing it. Ignoring the propaganda, i see us losing maybe
30-35 in the House, 3-5 in the Senate. It will narrow our majority, but not cost us either house and, as a side benefit, lose us several of those blue dogs - moving us farther left TOWARD center.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 04:03 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. I cannot wait for the spin to 'splain this
and expect the ... THEY STOLE IT at FR, for a change.
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DemocraticPilgrim Donating Member (472 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 04:19 PM
Response to Original message
9. Barack will win and the dramatic down spiral can be labelled tea bag hell...
Edited on Tue Nov-02-10 04:23 PM by DemocraticPilgrim
I don't say that in pettiness just what the GOP do and we must keep the chart of the downturn in every yard.
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