** Election Returns - Thread No 1 **

[Clio the Leo]

First polls close at 6pm EDT.

Here's where my results are coming from (feel free to share yours too!)

My Twitter follow list:
http://twitter.com/#!/CliotheLeo/following

Five Thirty Eight's Hour by Hour House Guide
http://is.gd/gyi5L

A more realistic guide not of when polls close, but when 50% of results are expected in (gonna be a LONG night)
http://is.gd/gD77p

TPM's Election Center
http://election2010.talkingpointsmemo.com/all


Are you FIRED UP!!!!?

[lillypaddle]

1. Fired up!

Ready to go! :)

[PBS Poll-435]

2. You and me both. nt

[Clio the Leo]

3. Nate Silver: "ignore early exit polls"

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/02/live-blogging-election-night/?src=twt&twt=fivethirtyeight#10-reasons-to-ignore-exit-polls

[Blue Owl]

4. BRING IT!

Hell yeah I am fired up!

:woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo:

[NRaleighLiberal]

5. All fired up and ready for a long, interesting night! (I am an optimist!)

:hi:

[Clio the Leo]

7. well, I love the process....

.... so, UNLESS we lose the Senate, I'm gonna have fun regardless. (Have already reconciled myself to losing the House.)

If we lose the Senate, gonna be over in the corner somewhere crying. lol

[Beaverhausen]

6. FIRED UP!!!

[PopSixSquish]

8. Come on Kentucky!!! Go Big Blue!!

[Clio the Leo]

9. AND HERE WE GO!!!!!!!!!!

.... so far, nothing to report. :-)

[Clio the Leo]

10. FYI - I'll only be posting results from races that matter most...

.... for example IN-6 shows Mike Pence way ahead (he a GOP '12 Pres. contender) .... this is NOT news.

Side note, the TPM map is a sight to behold, you can see the board changing color live ... of course, so far, it's getting redder.

http://election2010.talkingpointsmemo.com/all#/House/

[Clio the Leo]

11. And the AP just called the race for Pence. nt

[muriel_volestrangler]

12. 6pm? Where the hell do they make everyone vote before 6pm?

On a working day, that's outrageous.

[Clio the Leo]

13. IN-2: Incumbent Dem NOT doing well there....

.... currently behind 60-35. An R win here would be sign of bad things to come.

[CLANG]

14. What percent of the vote is in?

[Clio the Leo]

15. 5% - sorry. nt

[book_worm]

20. Do you mean KY-06 because IN--06 is Pence a republican.

[Clio the Leo]

22. corrected - IN2 thanks. nt

[cascadiance]

56. Donnelly is now AHEAD in IN-02 48%-47% with 61% reporting...

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/state/#IN

[Clio the Leo]

16. AP - calls KY for Rand Paul

I feel like I've been kicked in the head.

[vaberella]

26. It's over already? n/t

[vaberella]

27. I just checked out the news on TPM---there's still over 3000 poll stations that haven't closed.

What's up with this?!

[TygrBright]

35. Well, these ARE the people who've sent Jim Bunning to the Senate... MORE THAN ONCE....

That level of ignorance is pretty formidable.

regretfully,
Bright

[obxhead]

43. M$NBC called it for Paul as well

:(

[Clio the Leo]

17. IN Sen: CNN calls it for Coats (R) - not a surprise. nt

[DimplesinMI]

18. Going to clean an account but I will be honest.....

If we hold on to the Senate, by looking at the polls in Kentucky and Indiana, it will be a miracle. MSNBC just called both states and South Carolina (not surprised) went to the GOP. See everyone at 10:00 PM and hope the news is not worse by that point. :argh:

[Jennicut]

19. It is Kentucky and Indiana and South Carolina.

Those are not exactly liberal. I am not surprised in the least. Conway has been falling behind for the last two weeks. Coats has been way ahead of Ellsworth for awhile. These are not the races we need to look at.

[Clio the Leo]

21. Poor Jack screwed the pooch with the Auqua Buddah ad.

... Paul internal polls are showing a HUGE spike in support for him after that.

[book_worm]

24. yep he screwed up big time on that. He may still have lost but might

have been much closer.

[vaberella]

25. Shit ads don't go over well with independent voters or voters generally.

Some of the worst came from Dems like Grayson. I thought Reid and Meek had great ads.

[Jennicut]

29. I agree. And the races to watch tonight are CO and NV.

This may save the Senate for us, which is extremely important if we lose the House.

[NYC Liberal]

23. CNN has Leahy winning in VT! Nt

[rasputin1952]

28. Rand Paul!...I thought I wqas having a nightmare...

:eyes:

[Corey_Baker08]

30. I Proudly Voted For Ohio Democratic Candidates & Talking To My Fellow Ohioans I Am Very Optimistic!!

Kentucky results suck, Indiana while it really wasn't a surprise it sucks as well, I am very optimistic that my fellow buckeyes realize that the Republican candidates are worse than the Dem Incumbents because most have been in Washington or Wall Street for 30 plus years while the Democratic Candidates have been here in Ohio fighting for Ohio families like mine!!!

Im still holding my breath, I really like to pick up the OH Senate Seat and god forbid if Republican Jon Husted wins the SOS Office here in Ohio we will never see a fair election again. He has vowed to end early voting cuz it favors Democratic Candidates. He is going to redistrict the entire state to favor Republican candidates, he is only running bcuz the current OH SOS filed charges against him for falsifying his address so he can run for Congress in the Kettering District, yet after investigation it was factually determined that while he still owns the house, he nor his family have lived in that house in over 5 years. I cannot believe the MSM has not picked up on this story.

I would even argue that the OH SOS race is one of the most important races in the state or the country for that matter because if Husted is elected in 2012 Ohio will be the Florida of 2000 I can guarantee you that. In fact bookmark this page for records in case he would win jus to show that unfortunately Ohio will not have a fair election in the near future!

I would have to say I truly believe Ohio is THE MOST IMPORTANT STATE IN THESE MIDTERMS ELECTION in my humble opinion! Please keep an eye on this race and if any of my fellow buckeye voters experienced any problems please report them immediately and post them on DU for our information!!!

Go All Democratic Candidates all over the state of Ohio as well as all over the entire United States!!!!

Im Fired Up...How Bout You?

[Clio the Leo]

31. BIG moment as far as control of Senate comes at 7:30pm EDT (WV)

.... a defeat of Manchin would make the GOP path to taking the Senate SIGNIFICANTLY easier. (But Manchin has been ahead in recent polling.)

[Clio the Leo]

37. *

[Clio the Leo]

32. Barney Frank camp reportedly "worried" .....

..... no results in as of yet ... but something to pay attention to. This would obviously be HUGE.

[Clio the Leo]

34. BTW, yall should get a drinking game going over how many times I type "huge!" nt

[great white snark]

36. You said it again! And down goes the Rumplemintz.

hic

[book_worm]

33. Anyone know how Vermont Gov race is going? If Dems win--it's a pick up

[Clio the Leo]

40. nothing in yet

[Clio the Leo]

38. FL-6: Webster (R) 62%, ALAN GRAYSON 28% (6 perc. reporting) nt

Yes, THIS Alan Grayson



Should come as no surprise, Dems aren't allowed to have fringe candidates this year, only Republicans are.

[book_worm]

39. The news that Manchin is ahead in WVA and OH is too close to call

is very encouraging to me. I think the Senate is safe. The Gov losses may not be as bad--it's just the house we have to figure out.

[cascadiance]

60. Raese has slipped from 45% to 42% against Manchin now with 8% counted...

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/state/#WV

so the trend is favorable for Manchin now...

[Clio the Leo]

41. CBS calls DE Sen for Coons.

(over Christine O'Donnell who is now BOTH not a witch OR a US Senator)

[Clio the Leo]

42. "Strickland Strong in OH"

... and you all are going to have to forgive me for not citing these quotes better, but they come from reputable sources ... see my Twitter follow list..

http://twitter.com/#!/CliotheLeo/following

[Grown2Hate]

44. What the fizz? I thought Colbert and Stewart were doing an election show tonight?!

[maryellen99]

45. I think it comes on at 11pm est nt

[Clio the Leo]

46. The Nazi lost!!!

Richard Iott .... losing to the Dem.

[Clio the Leo]

47. NBC calls FL Sen for Rubio.

YALL HAPPY NOW!!!!! Grrrr.

[demo dutch]

88. No surprise, it would have meant beating the Jeb Bush machine, a tough call in FL

[Grown2Hate]

48. Here comes the PA closing!!! LET'S GO SESTAK!!!

[cascadiance]

62. Sestak ahead 99% - 1% in early voting!

:)

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/state/#PA

and Onorato is ahead of Corbett for Governor 98% - 2%

and Fattah ahead of Helberg 99% - 1%

Too bad all precincts there can't be so wise!

[cascadiance]

77. Fattah projected winner in PA-02, Sestak still ahead now 73%-27% with 1% counted.

Dahlkemper losing PA-03 65%-35% with 1% counted
Carney losing PA-10 55%-45% with 0% counted

[ShadowLiberal]

89. Sestak is doing really well at 15% in, is that overperforming or just heavily democratic areas?

[Clio the Leo]

49. Heath Shuler trailing. 54--49 1% in nt

[CLANG]

50. I think some of their early projects may FAIL. Alvin Green has 40%!?!?!?!

[book_worm]

51. DE--at large went Democratic--a dem pick up

[Mad_Dem_X]

91. Coons with 61% - I love my state!

[cascadiance]

52. CNN projects Mikulski to win in Maryland...

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/state/#MD

[fugop]

55. Nothing about O'Malley yet?? nt

[cascadiance]

64. O'Malley now ahead 55% - 45% with 5% counted...

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/state/#MD

[book_worm]

53. with 7% in Strickland up by 10 in Ohio.

[Clio the Leo]

54. VA - Periello currently BEHIND 54-43. 46 percent in. nt

[Clio the Leo]

57. CBS calls VA-5 for Hunt (R) OVER Perriello

.... THIS Perriello.




... who stood up for the President and the progressive agenda even when it was the unpopular thing to do. Thank you Tom!

[thewiseguy]

58. Shit..Chandler is now tied in Kentucky

[Clio the Leo]

59. FL-24 House: Adams (R) beats incumbent Kosmas (D) ...

... one of the seats GOP need to take 39.

[cascadiance]

68. I think you mean Adams beats Kosmas...

Too bad though... Gotta minimize these!

[Clio the Leo]

61. Note: I am NOT replying w/results that already have DU threads.

So be sure to check the whole board.

[book_worm]

63. I think that dems will lose several house seats in the south, but will hold on to several close ones

in the East (PA, NY, possibly OH).

[Clio the Leo]

65. NBC - Blanche Lincoln is no more....

.... beaten by her GOP opponent. WHY am I happy about this?

What I'm STILL not happy about is how much money Dems WASTED in that race.

[cascadiance]

72. CNN.com projects Beebe to win Arkansas governorship though...

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/state/#AR

[Clio the Leo]

66. VA-9 House: Boucher (D) loses to Griffith....

.... this is from Nate's "high GOP take over" category. May be able to win 60 seats with this one.

[thewiseguy]

67. That is not good

[mvd]

70. Perhaps we can make it up in other areas

For example, KY districts don't look bad.

[thewiseguy]

73. Not really

We have lost most of the races in KY. There another very close race between Chandler and Barr in Kentucky which is now tied.

It was expected that we would win this seat anyway. If we do not then that is bad news.

[mvd]

74. It wasn't a wipeout in KY. And I still think Chandler wins

We have to look at states outside the South, too.

[thewiseguy]

76. I am not sure about Chandler anymore

He was ahead by a good margin and Barr just closed the gap and now it is tied. There are three counties still to report and I am not really sure whether they lean GOP or Democrat.

[mvd]

78. Keeping fingers crossed there

:hi:

[Grown2Hate]

69. MANCHIN, MUTHA FUCKA! WOO HOO!!! (from a holding a majority standpoint,

not that he's a STRONG Dem...). Still... WOOOOO!!!

[Clio the Leo]

71. VA-2 House: Rigell (R) over Nye (D)....

... one of the seats GOP needed to take the House.

[Kdillard]

75. We are keeping the Senate as expected. I am hoping our chances of keeping the House.

changes. Not looking good but keeping my fingers crossed.

[cascadiance]

79. Kucinich projected winner in OH-10!!!

Fudge projected winner in OH-11
Kaptur projected winner in OH-09
Ryan projected winner in OH-17

[mvd]

80. Woohooo!!

We need Kucinich there. :thumbsup:

[vaberella]

82. Good, Frank, Boxer, and Feingold left to go. n/t

[Clio the Leo]

81. IN-9 (house): Young (R) defeats Hill (D)...

.... this is in Nate's GOP pick up for 40-59 seats range.

[thewiseguy]

83. No, that is the 0-39 category

[Clio the Leo]

94. lol not on MY paper!

.... however, I printed mine out two days ago, he could have changed it.

[Clio the Leo]

84. ** NBC Calling the House for the GOP **

... projecting a 37 seat majority.

[nolabear]

85. Welcome to My Nightmare.

I may turn off all media for the next two years.

[Clio the Leo]

97. No, MSM is already turning BACK against the GOP....

... it's gonna be FUN!

[cascadiance]

86. Lynch projected as winner of governorship in New Hampshire...

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/state/#NH

[cascadiance]

87. Conyers behind in Michigan in early voting counts 56%-38% with 2% counted...

Dingell is also behind 50% - 48%

Bernero behind for the governorship 62% - 35%

Only Levin is listed ahead in Michigan. Come on Michiganders. GOTV!!!

[Clio the Leo]

90. IN-2 (House) Donnelly (D) holds his seat....

... and helps hold off the GOP tidal wave.

[cascadiance]

92. I'm glad that district didn't revert back to the Rethugs!

I still remember when we took it from the likes of "Count Chocula" Chris Chocola, who now heads up the Club for Growth! I used to be that bum's next door neighbor in high school. That one's personal for me!

[LatteLibertine]

93. Yay!

We're well on our way back to; greater Wall Street rule through the government, increased defense spending, big oil interests, tax cuts plus loop holes for the most wealthy, lower regulation, more exported jobs and fuck the poor.

God bless the U.S.!

:(

[nolabear]

95. *snort!* Christine O'Donnell Lays Out Demands.

Ya gotta hand it to her... She's fucking her way to the top but it's a whole country she's doing it to.

[Corey_Baker08]

96. Thank God! Chis Koons had beat The Witch Christine O' Donnell-She Would Have Been An Extremist (R)

She would have teamed up with the other extreme Republicans and nothing would get accomplished in the next 2 years.

I am extremely disappointed in the Ohio US Senate Race in Which Democrat Lt Governor Lee Fisher was defeated by wall street and washington Rob Portman.

Still holding my breath on the OH Governors race and the SOS Race And the AG Race.....