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Connolly (D, incumbent) neck-and-neck w Fimian in Virginia's 11th district

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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:36 PM
Original message
Connolly (D, incumbent) neck-and-neck w Fimian in Virginia's 11th district
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. 300 vote spread right now.
Need to win a handful of these squeekers. (Come on KY 6th!)
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. That's a 3000 vote spread.
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:44 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. thanks - do you know whether they have included absentee ballots yet?
VA has very liberal eligibility so those votes could decide it, if not yet counted.
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. No idea. n/t
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:28 PM
Response to Reply #9
20. Per the blog in my OP, there are 17000 absentee ballots to be counted:
10:23 p.m. This race appears headed for recount land. With 97 percent of precincts reporting, Connolly leads Fimian with 49.14 percent of the vote to 48.8 percent. Under Virginia law, any election decided by less than 1 percent is automatically subject to a recount. There are 17,000 absentee ballots remaining, and the Connolly campaign tells TBD they have an edge there. If it's big enough, it could avoid a recount. Otherwise, Fairfax could have its own version of Bush versus Gore.

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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. 314 votes.
69, 583 vs 69, 269.
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. VA Election board shows Connolly 92,041 and Fimian 91,874
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:04 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. He is winning now!
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:06 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. it's too close to call, IMHO--but I like your optimism!
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:05 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. with ~96% of the vote in (probably excluding absentees), about 500 vote difference
It definitely looks as though it will be down to the wire and possibly recount territory.
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:06 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. IIRC, it has to be within 1% for an automatic recount. n/t
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:07 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. but can either candidate request it (i.e., not automatic) if the difference is bigger?
Edited on Tue Nov-02-10 09:08 PM by spooky3
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:10 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. Yeah, but they have to pay for it. And it isn't a full recount, they just double check the totals.
(Remembering all this for the Creigh Deeds AG recount.)
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trayfoot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:41 PM
Response to Original message
3. I thought Todd had already called that race for the reTHUG.
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itsrobert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Todd is a republican toady
He is on drugs too.
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:46 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. I don't see how anyone could - with 80% of the vote in, they're only 400 votes apart
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vaberella Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:06 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. Jennicut says 500 and 96% in. I think we got this...or I hope we do. n/t
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:19 PM
Response to Reply #14
18. Not Larry Sabato just called it for Connolly. n/t
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:26 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. Yay! More votes remain to be counted in FFX than PW, so it's looking good.
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:13 PM
Response to Original message
17. I was just there and Fimian signs were planted everywhere...
I'm crossing my fingers!
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vaberella Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:29 PM
Response to Reply #17
21. Look at post 18. It looks over. Connolly won. n/t
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:31 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. Good! I was watching this one for the last 45 minutes!
Looks like Jason Altmire may win too. Very close but possible.
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:32 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. we'll have to watch the absentee ballots and the likely recount, though.
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:41 PM
Response to Reply #21
24. Woo-hoo!!!
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wmbrew0206 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 09:56 PM
Response to Original message
25. Going to a recount.
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