IL Duers will Quinn hold on to win Governor's race?

[book_worm]

what does it look like? It would be a nice consolation prize after losing the senate seat. It would give Dems at least two midwestern governors: Minnesota and Illinois.

[Venceremos]

1. I think so

Quinn is somewhere between 2000 and 9000 votes ahead of Brady with 99% reporting. They still have to count some absentees plus i suspect brady will demand a recount. So if there's a recount it may take a month or so but in the end I think Quinn's lead will hold.

[truebrit71]

2. I concur...plus according to M$NBC.com Cook County (chicago) hasn't reported yet...

..and that should go firmly for Governor Quinn.

[Gidney N Cloyd]

3. I'm pretty sure most of Cook has reported by now.

I think we're waiting mostly for a few downstate precincts to report in.

[truebrit71]

5. I just checked their website...said Cook still hadn't reported..

..do you have another source?

[alcibiades_mystery]

6. No, we're missing only 2% of precincts from Cook County

All other county precincts are at 100% accounted for.

Now, it matters where those precincts might be in Cook County, but I don't see how Brady makes up 8500 votes in Cook on 2% of the precincts, even if they're in the southern collar. He gained on Quinn just 500 votes in 28% of precincts outstanding in Winnebago county, and he took that county by 56%.

Quinn's going to hold out.

Brady's hoping beyond hope that he can make it up in 30,000 outstanding absentee and military ballots, but that would require him taking 62% of those votes, which is not going to happen in Illinois.

[wndycty]

4. Yes

:kick:

[EC]

7. There were that many that voted for Quinn but for Senate

voted Kirk? Are there really that many idiots or did the greens take away that many votes? If Quinn won, so should have Guliulus(sp)...

[alcibiades_mystery]

8. Giannoulias was poison because of the banking issue

I can absolutely see a lot of union people and others voting for Quinn, who is a genuinely good guy and bothered to campaign downstate, while nixing Giannoulias. That's why we were screaming for Hoffman in the primaries.

Also, you have to remember that Kirk ran away from the Republicans, portraying himself as an independent who can work across the aisle. Indeed, the very word Republican was never mentioned in any of his teevee ads. It was all Independent this, and Independent that. Kirk even got desperate at the end and slammed Bush for the Iraq War.

[Venceremos]

9. I live in downstate Illinois

well it's actually upstate from Chicago but they call it downstate for some odd reason. But I digress....

For the most part Giannoulias ignored the downstate voters. He was portrayed as a crook here and didn't even bother to respond to many of the downstate attacks by Kirk. But Quinn campaigned all over the state. I was seeing Quinn ads about 2 to 1 over Brady plus Quinn visited here several times.

Downstate had a huge turnout this year so long story short, Giannoulias goofed by only campaigning in the Chicago area. And if you look at the downstate results there was a significant amount of ticket splitting.