Gallup Finds Unemployment Down to 9.2% in Mid-November
Underemployment, at 17.7%, is at its lowest level of 2010by Dennis Jacobe, Chief Economist
PRINCETON, NJ --
Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, declined to 9.2% during the first half of November -- down from 9.4% during the last half of October and 10.0% in mid-October -- and one of the lowest levels of the year.
Improvement Since September in Part-Time Workers Looking for Full-Time WorkThe percentage of part-time workers who want full-time work also declined slightly to 8.5% of the workforce in mid-November -- reaching a new low for the year. While not much different from the 8.6% of mid-October, this is well below the 9.2% of mid-September.
Underemployment Hits a New Low
The decline in the unemployment rate along with the slight drop in the percentage of part-time workers wanting full-time work combined to bring underemployment down to 17.7% -- its lowest level of 2010. This is an improvement from the 18.6% underemployment of mid-October and mid-September, and is the second consecutive new low.
Jobs Situation ImprovingGallup's economic data suggest that the
job market continued to improve during the first half of November. As noted previously,
if current Gallup unemployment trends continue, the government's unemployment rate for November is likely to show a decline when reported in early December.Because Gallup's U.S. unemployment rate and underemployment measure are not seasonally adjusted, some of the late October and November improvement is probably the result of retailers hiring for the Christmas holidays. This is particularly likely because
Gallup's most recent spending estimates suggest at least a slightly better holiday sales season this year.Although many economists and politicians continue to complain about the Federal Reserve's efforts to inject money into the economy, it may be that anticipation of this aggressive Fed policy has increased economic optimism among the nation's business leaders. In turn, this could be leading to more companies being willing to hire.
Regardless of the reason,
this is good news for retailers and the overall economy as the holiday season gets fully underway.http://www.gallup.com/poll/144674/Gallup-Finds-Unemployment-Down-Mid-November.aspx