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That's the one answer that doesn't get considered because everyone--even "haters"--conceded his political prowess long ago. (Haters need an explanation for success... I have never met a pug who didn't concede Clinton was a great politician)
As you know, I always had some of the John Edwards vibe with Obama. He never really reached me... it seemed like focus group hope stretched over a rather alarming desire to have a do-over of the 1990s, overlooking the fact that the nation had completely changed in the interim.
But he draws crowds. He is idolized by many. And he did win the election, albeit by a surprisingly small margin, given the circumstances. (2008 was supposed to be a blow-out, IMO, not a workmanlike win smaller than Clinton v. Dole.)
In our election horse-race culture anyone who wins an election must be a great politician. But his accomplishments were mostly organizational--and the work of others. He didn't win debates. He mishandled scandal-ish issues. He lost a lot of late primaries.
He is a smart, disciplined man who is an excellent manager, but that's not being a great politician.
He has not changed how voters think about any issue. He has done nothing to diminish the opposing party. He is not particularly trusted. And his power to inspire has proved to be as transient as that of an American Idol winner. (His influence in his own party is already reduced to suicide-pact level... it's reported that he told senators they have to pass HCR so he doesn't look bad because if he looks bad he can't help them much in 2010. Inspiring!)
And the worst part is that this is his game. He doesn't have a track record of going down then fighting back. Both Clintons--infuriating assholes that they were and are--performed better after painting themselves in a corner so you got a kind of Perils of Pauline thing... how will they get out of this scrape? But Obama is indeed no-drama. He is a game-plan guy.
Have a good plan and execute it.
But it seems that governing the United States is infinitely complex and thus improvisational.
Something Scarborough once said of Bush seems to apply to Obama also: "He doesn't fight well going backward"
That's what makes the "rope- a dope" fantasy so tedious. The rope-a-dope is a counter-punching strategy and Obama is not a counter-puncher.
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