He’s not perfect but Obama deserves at least a B
By Edward Luce
Published: December 18 2009 22:19
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Of the 25 countries surveyed in the 2009 Pew survey of global attitudes earlier this month, 24 showed large jumps in support of the view that “the US will do the right thing in world affairs”. A majority in 15 of the 25 countries agreed, against just five countries this time last year. By any standards that is a revolution in global opinion. What Mr Obama will do with it remains to be seen. But it is a promising start.
Second, he did what was necessary to stave off a global depression. It has not always looked pretty. Pumping hundreds of billions of dollars into institutions that were instrumental in bringing about the crisis offended people’s sense of justice. So too do the obscenely large bonuses Wall Street is now paying out. Posterity may also judge Mr Obama to have squandered this “defining moment in history” to overhaul the contract between Wall Street and America.
Against that, however, it is worth considering what could have gone wrong. During his campaign John McCain argued that the best stimulus would be to cut spending. He also argued that big institutions should be allowed to fail. The first was illiterate. The second reckless.
The worst that can be levelled at Mr Obama is that he has created the conditions for the next global bubble – a criticism that should not be taken lightly. But he did what was necessary to prevent this crash from becoming a disaster. And for that much credit is due (no pun intended).
In addition to getting scant acknowledgement for these accomplishments, Mr Obama is taking the blame for trends not of his making. The biggest of these is the angst over America’s relative decline in the world, epitomised by growing US indebtedness to China, a power that is beginning to challenge US hegemony in the Asia-Pacific.
More than three quarters of the fiscal deficits projected over the next decade stem from decisions taken by George W. Bush – unfunded tax cuts for the wealthy, a war of choice in Iraq, a badly neglected war in Afghanistan and the costs of cleaning up an asset bubble that burst as he was leaving his watch.
Much of the rest of future projected borrowing derives from the $787bn (€548bn, £488bn) stimulus Mr Obama pushed through in January. It may have been badly structured but it was the difference between recovery and recession.
As for healthcare reform, it will probably happen and it will be flawed in many respects. But it will largely rectify an immoral system that has left almost 50m Americans without coverage.
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