Winners? Losers? Well, the first thing to remember is that there’s more hype than importance to these debates, even a relatively high-profile one such as this. So the first thing I’d tell you is that no one is going to win or lose the nomination thanks to Wednesday’s Republican presidential debate at the Reagan Library…indeed, no one is going to remember much of it in a week or two.
What that means is that nothing could really happen in these debates to change the structure of the contest, which remains basically a two-person race between Mitt Romney and Rick Perry.
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The most notable thing about the Republican field, by the way, continues to be the absolute absence of a middle tier — candidates who would make perfectly plausible nominees, but just weren’t likely to win. I suppose that Tim Pawlenty would be playing that role if he had stuck around. I’m not sure, but it seems to me that the GOP systematically pushes those types of candidates out of the race far more efficiently than the Democrats do. I don’t think it affects the eventual nominee very much, but it sure does affect the atmosphere of early debates.
Also: The questions were, in fact, weak (Newt Gingrich was right about the moderators picking fights, although wrong about the reason for it), and the candidates collectively were woefully ill-informed (or at least acted ill-informed) about policy. I mean, really, the big problem with the U.S. has been too much inflation? Yikes! But that’s pretty much par for the course, although it would have been nice to have follow-up questions on Social Security as a Ponzi scheme and some of the other whoppers the candidates told. But as far as effects on the nomination are concerned, I’d say that very little happened at the Reagan Library Wednesday night.
Doesn't matter. The media, pundits and those who engage in the debate about who won are going to basically try to mainstream crazy. The GOP candidates are simply pushing every RW lunatic proposal/talking they can get away with. They'll continue to do it because no one in the media will challenge them.