Quinnipiac Poll: Tight race for president in Virginia

[WI_DEM]

This shouldn't be unexpected given that Obama even at the height of his popularity in 2008 won VA only narrowly:

n possible 2012 matchups, Obama has 44 percent to Perry's 42 percent, while Romney gets 44 percent to Obama's 42 percent, all too close to call. Obama does much better against two other Republicans, besting Bachmann 48 - 37 percent and Palin 50 - 35 percent.


"At this point Romney and Perry both are in a horse race against President Barack Obama, challenging Romney's 'electability' argument," said Brown. "The big difference is among independent voters, where Romney holds a solid 44 - 35 percent lead, and Perry is in a 40 - 40 percent dead heat with the president."


Obama's job approval is plummeting among independent voters, who disapprove 62 - 29 percent, compared to a 54 - 41 percent disapproval June 30. Republicans disapprove 87 - 11 percent while Democrats approve 83 - 13 percent, down from 92 - 5 percent in June. Men disapprove 61 - 36 percent, as women disapprove 49 - 43 percent. White voters disapprove 67 - 28 percent, while black voters approve 83 - 11 percent.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1644&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0

The amazing thing is that for Obama even in this summer of bad news and poor poll ratings that in Virginia he is still very competitive.

[Hawkowl]

1. Theft ensures Obama loss

Since Obama has made NO EFFORT to clean up election fraud, or corrupt voting machines, he needs to be much more than competitive or else he will have it stolen from him. Just ask Gore, or Kerry.

[msongs]

2. democratic party USA Inc has done nothing either nt

[Inuca]

3. Given everything else, this is actually good news n/t

[treestar]

4. Election so far away and opponent undefined

So these polls won't end up meaning much.

The approval of Obama might look like a better position when the alternative is defined.

[JoePhilly]

5. Obama will not lose to either of these whack jobs.

Yes, the media will claim he could lose. They will try to make Perry or ROmney seem less nuts, but it won't work.

[polichick]

6. VA will be tight to the end I think...

Northern Virginia (DC area) and places like Lynchburg are completely different states when it comes to world view.

[krawhitham]

7. Before Obama the last time we won Virginia was 1964

It had been 44 years

So any lead right now can be nothing but a good thing