It does many useful things. Some of which address costs. For example, it mandates 80% of premiums be used for medical care on pain of rebates. Existing exchanges, similar to those that will take effect pursuant to the law, experienced lower premium increases this year than an individual would have, on average.
And yet, Medicare overhead is 2% by in-house accounting and by any accounting far less than the 20-25% of private insurers. Premiums have increased 9% for 2011, and while the White House notes the specific fears on which this increase was grounded were mostly spurious, the increase will stand and any sane person will predict another large increase in 2012, perhaps also justified by spurious fears.
Wages are not going up 9% a year, 5% a year, or indeed at all. For the mandate to work, government subsidies must come into play. With its low overhead and mandated prices for certain procedures (not including the price of drugs), Medicare beats private insurance hands down for costs. Why aren't we seeing, then, an expansion of Medicare? Why are we talking about subsidies for private insurance that will cost the government and the individual far more? Perhaps it is because politicians and pundits isolate Medicare from the broader problem of rising health care costs, and pretend it is something inherent in the program that will balloon the deficit, unrelated to the larger problem that afflicts the entire market for health care.
We hear so much about the Medicare deficit crisis, but it is actually a health care costs deficit crisis. So long as we decide we have to care for seniors at current levels, Medicare actually has a positive impact on the deficit, since it is so much cheaper than the alternative of private insurance, which seniors simply could not afford. Were we to insure seniors via private insurance, the subsidies necessary to cover the premiums would increase the deficit far more than insuring them via Medicare. To say we will decrease the deficit by limiting Medicare eligibility or decreasing actual care (rather than addressing fraud, etc.) is simply impossible--unless we are to provide less care for seniors.
So why is the bill called the Affordable Care Act when it does so little to address the cost of care rising far faster than wages? Why should we speak of Medicare reform in terms of limiting access while at the same time we agree to insure millions more by subsidizing their premiums for more expensive private insurance? The problem with Medicare is not Medicare, it is the rising cost of care. A true Affordable Care Act could be as simple as a Medicare Expansion Act, no? An Affordable Care Act that subsidizes private insurers is perhaps affordable to the individual, but certainly not to a government that proclaims Medicare too expensive and will be responsible for subsidizing private premiums at greater cost.
(The below chart shows the factors affecting the growth of Medicare expenditures)