By Steve Benen
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Here’s how the Republican plan would work: they would accept some new revenue by agreeing to eliminate some tax expenditures, including, by some
accounts, mortgage-interest deductions on second homes. Exactly how much revenue would the GOP be prepared to accept? That’s still unclear, but all of it would come from limiting tax deductions, and none of it would come from actually increasing anyone’s taxes.
In exchange some undetermined amount of revenue, Democrats on the super-committee would be expected to accept massive spending cuts,
including cuts to entitlements, and Dems would have to agree to make
all of the Bush tax cuts permanent.
That’s just crazy. The Bush-era tax rates are due to expire at the end of next year; why in the world would Democrats give up their only leverage, in exchange for a few eliminated deductions? As Jon Chait
explained yesterday:
The Bush tax cuts are scheduled to expire at the end of next year. This is a huge amount of leverage for Democrats — unless the House, Senate, and president can agree, taxes will return to Clinton-era levels at the beginning of 2013. The Republicans want to stop that from happening. The deal leaked (by Republicans) is that they will agree to reduce some tax deductions, in return for which Democrats will agree to make the tax cuts permanent, in return for which Democrats will also agree to reduce entitlement spending.
Anybody see a problem with this deal? Yes: Democrats would be giving away an enormous amount of future leverage. Passing a bill to raise revenue is extremely hard. Passing any bill is extremely hard. When you stand to gain from nothing happening, you’re in a very strong position. Republicans used that leverage during the debt-ceiling fight — doing nothing meant the credit markets imploded, the economy melted down, and everybody started hating President Obama even more. That’s why Obama made a deal. Now “doing nothing” means the Bush tax cuts disappear. Democrats have no reason to give that away.
And while this is probably obvious, I’d also ask why any sane person would believe it makes sense to work on a debt-reduction deal by approving massive tax breaks that make the debt much worse, not better? It’s almost as if GOP leaders aren’t really concerned at all about the debt, only care about tax breaks. That couldn’t be, could it?
moreBenen forgot one thing: The tax cuts are leverage, but they're not the only leverage. In fact, the reason Republicans are pushing this scam is to prevent the alternative,
the trigger. Sure they want to protect the tax cuts for the rich, but they also want to protect defense spending.