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OH POLL: Obama up big. +9 over Mitt, +11 over Cain, +13 over Newt -- An extremely unified Dem base.

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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 06:42 AM
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OH POLL: Obama up big. +9 over Mitt, +11 over Cain, +13 over Newt -- An extremely unified Dem base.
Obama up big in Ohio

One person who should be feeling particularly good about last night's election results in Ohio is Barack Obama. On our weekend poll, which got the final result of Issue 2 correct to within a point, Obama led all of his Republican opponents in the state by margins ranging from 9-17 points. After a very tough year for Democrats in Ohio in 2010, things are looking up.

Obama led Mitt Romney 50-41 on our poll. He was up 11 points on Herman Cain at 50-39, 13 on Newt Gingrich at 51-38, 14 on Ron Paul at 50-36, 14 on Michele Bachmann at 51-37 and a whooping 17 points on Rick Perry at 53-36. It used to be Sarah Palin's numbers that we compared to Barry Goldwater, but Perry's deficit would represent the largest Republican defeat in Ohio since 1964.

The biggest thing Obama has going for him right now is an extremely unified Democratic base. Obama gets 88-92% of his party's vote against the six Republican candidates. What makes that particularly notable is that his approval rating with Democratic voters is actually only 73%. But these numbers suggest that when election time comes around the party base will get around Obama whether they're totally thrilled with him or not, and that's a very good sign for his reelection prospects.

Obama continues to suffer from poor approval ratings in Ohio with only 41% of voters approving of him to 49% who disapprove. But voters don't seem to consider any of his opponents to be viable alternatives. Cain has the best favorability of the bunch at a still poor 33/43 and it just gets worse from there- 28/48 for Romney, 31/51 for Gingrich, 24/47 for Bachmann, 20/50 for Paul, and a truly woeful 17/58 for Perry. This field of GOP contenders just doesn't seem to have much appeal to swing state voters.

<SNIP>

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/11/obama-up-big-in-ohio.html
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mwb970 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 07:06 AM
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1. Kasich's awfulness has unified the Dems.
Kasich is just what we needed as governor: a teabagging millionaire Wall Street banker! He is perfectly, totally 100% out of step with the times, and with what Ohio needs.

Kasich was elected on "jobs jobs jobs", using tens of millions of dollars in secret Koch Brothers cash to run lying ads blaming former governor Ted Strickland for the economic mess caused by bush and other members of the republican church. Once he was in it was "guns, God, and gays" all the way, in a spectacular example of right-wing overreach. (There has been no jobs bill; it's been almost a year.)

This election was the first opportunity Ohioans have had to react to Kasich's outlandish right-wingery. As you see, we don't like it! If the election were reheld today, pitting Strickland against not Koch lies but the actual man, polls show that Kasich would go down about 60-30. But of course it's too late for that.
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liberal N proud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 07:15 AM
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2. Is 9% enough to keep the GOP from stealing the election?
I will not forget 2004. We need a wide margin to keep them honest.

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4dsc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 07:22 AM
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3. They woke a sleeping giant
MAke no mistake about it, conservatives have woken the sleeping giant within the democratic party and we need to keep the momentum going till next year.
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WranglerRog Donating Member (44 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 07:58 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. I agree they've awoken a sleeping giant.....
I just hope we don't get the same lame Democratic leadership we've gotten every time they've achieved power in the past 35 years.

I want a few Harry Truman Democrats. Someone who will FIGHT!!!!!!!!
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 10:39 AM
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5. Isn't this good news? I'm waiting for the naysayers and cynics to weigh in.
They seem conspicuously absent from "good news" threads. Hmmmmmm....
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Sheepshank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 10:55 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. Don't they just? n/t
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. I imagine they're all off, scouring the internet for something to harsh our buzz.
Usually, after good news for this president and Democrats, the anti Obama crap intensifies. I'll bet Jane Hamsher-Norquist & Mr. Greenwald are working feverishly. I haven't seen a lot of it yet, but then I have a huge Ignore list. :hi:
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DCBob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 06:32 AM
Response to Reply #5
14. Good news depresses them.
sad but true.
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 10:46 AM
Response to Reply #14
16. Sounds like professional intervention might be in order, doncha think?
It's really sad when people do everything in their power to be unhappy. :hi:
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DCBob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 05:12 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. you bettcha!
;)
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MjolnirTime Donating Member (218 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 11:09 AM
Response to Original message
7. Without Ohio, the Repigs have no chance.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-09-11 11:35 AM
Response to Original message
9. Cain has the best favorable rating of any of the GOPers! not unsurprising, actually.
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Remember Me Donating Member (730 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 12:04 AM
Response to Original message
10. You know, I really think it's more like
an extremely revolting and repulsive Republican line-up.
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 12:17 AM
Response to Original message
11. Poll
PPP Is the best on state polls.Let's remember If Obama Is leading now that Is bad news for Republicans.He has barely started campagining.

Romney down by 9,and he IS considered the best they got.Let's also remember Obama only beat Mccain by 4 back In 2008.

The thing to remember Is while Obama's approval ratings are not great.Republicans numbers are worse.Some Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents don't think he has
done enough.

Romney Is now on record for supporting taking away collective bargaining,for wanting to outlaw abortion and Birth Control,wanting to criminalze Miscarrage,Stem cell
research and Invito,endosing turning medicare Into a voucher system,and against saving the auto Industry.In appealing to the far right he has given so much for the ads
against him.

If Obama wins Ohio it IS likely he also wins Wisconsion,Michigan,and PA.And has good shot at NH,Iowa,and New Mexico.

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Pisces Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 12:26 AM
Response to Original message
12. None of the current clowns ( except maybe Huntsman) could even stand on the same stage as Obama.
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DCBob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 06:17 AM
Response to Original message
13. If this is real, its big. If O wins OH it probably means he wins it all.
Because there are few plausible scenarios for the Republican candidate to win without Ohio.
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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 07:06 AM
Response to Original message
15. Great...and Public Policy Polling up there with accuracy
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great white snark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 05:23 PM
Response to Original message
18. K&R for a blue Ohio.
:kick:
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