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Latest CNN/ORC poll: Romney 51 - Obama 47 among registered voters.

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totodeinhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:20 PM
Original message
Latest CNN/ORC poll: Romney 51 - Obama 47 among registered voters.
It's a 48-48 split among all respondents.

Obama leads Gingrich among registered voters by 8 points, but that is down from a 17 point lead over Gingrich last spring.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/11/14/cnn-poll-gingrich-soars-cain-drops/?hpt=hp_t1

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2011/images/11/14/rel18b.pdf

I wouldn't get too excited over these results. Accounting for the margin of error it is essentially a tie. Expect polling numbers to fluctuate widely over the next few months.
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otohara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:22 PM
Response to Original message
1. When The Low Info Voter Finds Out
his response on foreclosures, they will bolt.

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:27 PM
Response to Original message
2. The Flip Flopper Has Been Flying Below The Radar
Once he gets the harsh glare of the media his numbers will fall too.
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CakeGrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:32 PM
Response to Original message
3. When the campaign actually BEGINS, this will change.
The MSM has been giving the GOP candidates a helpful rollout.

When the Obama campaign goes after the challenger, some of the voters will grasp the vast differences.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:32 PM
Response to Original message
4. Don't worry I'm not too excited over the numbers. I remember when Mondale was beating Reagan
for goodness sakes.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:33 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. I Rather Run Against "Herb" Cain Or Gingrich
At least Romney exudes the semblance of normalcy.
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:44 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. 2012
Cain or Gungrich would be disasters.Romney Is only shot they have,and even he has serious problems.

Despite what some IN MSM now says they were calling Mccain a Formable opporent,and called Palin a Good VP pick.I remember on MSNBC pundits after debates actully claimed
Mccain won first debate and Palin the VP debate.Of course that Isn't what the public thought.

Let's also remember while Republicans take potshots at Obama he hasn't gone after those running for president yet.Romney has plenty that Obama can hit him on the head with.Seeing Huntsman's ads against Romney may be a preview of 12 ads against Romney If he's the nominee.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:46 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. I Agree
Romney will be a formidale foe , albeit a beatable one. Obama would roll the others.
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:45 PM
Response to Original message
7. I call outlier. Every other major poll goes the other direction.
What do you want to bet they massively oversampled Republicans?
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:48 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Most Other Polls Show A Small Obama Lead Or A Tie
I'm not "skeered".
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totodeinhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. The RCP average has it as essentially a dead heat with Romney leading in three polls
but within the margin of error and Obama leading in one poll within the margin of error and leading in two polls outside of the margin of error.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html

I am not so worried about these poll results on their face value. But if it really is this close then Republican efforts to disenfranchise Democratic voters could bear some fruit in a close election. That is what I am really worried about. I would like to see Obama up by ten points at least.
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blueknight Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 03:23 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. i cant see anyway
obama gets re-elected. i hope im wrong, but its not going to happen. but having said that, he is not a liberal, just the lesser of two evils
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. "i hope im wrong"
:spray:
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Proud Liberal Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 03:22 PM
Response to Original message
11. I'm sure that the Obama campaign is busy gathering up a "greatest hits" collection
Edited on Mon Nov-14-11 03:23 PM by Proud Liberal Dem
of Mitt's flip-flops. It will be interesting to see him trying to wiggle out of them during the debates (assuming he is the nominee, of course).

Obama will have a much easier time running in 2012 vs. 2008. He has a record he can run on and a foil to attack if the economy is still struggling. Hopefully, most people once they find out that Mitt would have been o.k. with Detroit car makers declaring bankruptcy and people losing their homes, they'll think twice before voting for him.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 03:44 PM
Response to Original message
14. Mitt's
more electable:

The key difference between Romney and Gingrich is electability. For the first time in CNN's polling, Romney now tops Barack Obama in a head-to-head matchup among registered voters. But Gingrich faces an 8-point deficit when paired with Obama in a general election matchup.

Of course, CNN has to point that out because of Newtmentum!

Also, it's not the first time. Back in October 2010, Mitt was up by five points among registered voters and by one point among all respondents.

Still, given that the numbers have been within the margin of error (with a few spikes by Obama) for more than a year, and Mitt is losing ground, it's a good time to remind everyone that the other candidates are not electable.

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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #14
19. Oops
mean "Mitt is" more electable.

Wonder if Mitt will begin pulling away from the crowd of clowns soon?

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BklnDem75 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
15. I won't lose sleep
CNN's polling is almost as reliable as their slanted reporting, and that's not saying much.
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MjolnirTime Donating Member (218 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 04:33 PM
Response to Original message
16. notice what you decided to focus on. I think your aim is clear.
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totodeinhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 04:42 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. My aim is to provide balance. Too many on this board ignore bad polls and only report on the good
ones. And when a bad poll comes out they refuse to believe it, yet they always jump on any positive poll. Why is that?
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RBInMaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 05:16 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. I could piss you more value than the worth of ANY presidential poll right now. It is meaningless.
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laugle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 05:42 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. It's called
BIAS--bingo!

When you see someone here say "he will do better this time, because he has a record to run on," you really have to wonder what planet they live on.....

Last I checked, Obama was't running on his record..........
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RBInMaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 08:07 PM
Response to Reply #20
23. Check in with Maddow and re-acquaint your brain with the long PROGRESSIVE record.
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laugle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-15-11 05:39 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. I don't
Edited on Tue Nov-15-11 05:40 PM by laugle
watch MSNBC propaganda channel. Re-acquaint your brain with PBS, Inside Washington, Charlie Rose, Meet the Press,Jim Lehr, Bill Moyers, et.al, instead of punditry. Maybe a little NPR now and then....

Critical thinkers' don't need others to form their own analysis....try it, it's good exercise..........

Maddow and the rest are for entertainment only..........LOL
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AlinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 05:54 PM
Response to Original message
21. It won't be Romney. Gingrich is moving now.
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JoePhilly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-14-11 08:05 PM
Response to Original message
22. Unless we see 2 or three months of the same, its just noise.
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