IS OBAMA COMPETITIVE IN KANSAS: SUSA has Romney leading by single digits & Obama beating Grinch

[WI_DEM]

(McCain won by 15 in 2008)

Sure, it’s early, and yes, a lot will change, but in an preview of the 2012 Presidential election, cell phone voters (those without a home telephone, typically undercounted in opinion polls), vote sufficiently Democrat to keep Mitt Romney to just a single-digit lead over Barack Obama, and, for the moment, cause Obama to defeat Newt Gingrich.

Kansas’ 6 electoral votes will almost certainly stay in the Republican column (John McCain carried the state by 15 points in 2008), but in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups between the two Republican front-runners today, 11/22/11, it’s:

* Romney 48%.
* Obama 39%.

* Obama 45%.
* Gingrich 40%

* Among respondents who use a home phone, Romney leads Obama by 14. But among respondents who do not use a home phone (the cell-phone respondents), Obama leads Romney by 4, an 18-point difference.

* Among respondents who use a home phone, Gingrich leads Obama by 3 points. But among respondents who do not use a home phone, Obama leads Gingrich by 24 points, a 27-point difference.

* Romney has a Minus 9 favorability rating: 25% see him favorably, 34% see him unfavorably.
* Gingrich has a Minus 22 favorability rating: 25% see him favorably, 45% see him unfavorably.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: 600 state of Kansas adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 11/18/11 through 11/21/11. Of the adults, 510 were registered to vote and were asked the substantive questions. This research was conducted multi-mode. Respondents who use a home telephone (70% of adults, 73% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents who do not use a home telephone (30% of adults, 27% of registered voters), were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, laptop, tablet, or other electronic device. In this survey, cell-phone and home-phone respondents vote similarly.

http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2011/11/24/red-state-kansas-poll-results-romney-9-points-atop-obama-but-hold-everything-obama-5-points-atop-gingrich/

[LonePirate]

1. As a Kansan, Obama will lose here by more in 2012 than he did in 2008.

The knuckle draggers are multiplying like crazy here. Obama could lose KS by 20 or more points.

[MuseRider]

3. Agreed.

They are crawling out of the woodwork here. They don't read, they have no comprehension when they do and they are mean as snakes. The one good thing I have to say is they are increasingly upset about Brownback. I wonder what lovely creature they will come up with to replace him? :scared:

[bigdarryl]

8. Listen up VERY careful DU'ers President Obama is not going to win Kansas

Mickey Mouse could be the rethug candidate and beat the President in Kansas it's just the demographics of the state

[TlalocW]

2. I wish

I'm finally coming home to Kansas after 16 years in a foreign land (Oklahoma), and I would love to actually vote in a state that goes for my guy.

TlalocW

[MuseRider]

4. Move to Lawrence

so you can at least have someone to vote for in local issues. Poster #1 has it right, it is getting very weird out here.

[TlalocW]

5. I'm moving to KC

Specifically the Overland Park area. Going to restart my business there and see if I'm more successful than in Tulsa - and I'm pretty successful here, just would like to take it from side to full time.

TlalocW

[Vattel]

6. When I lived in Kansas, I'd go to Oklahoma

just so Kansas didn't seem so bad.

[Arkana]

7. No, he's not.

Kansas is, sadly, a solidly red state.