In 2008 Barack Obama won in Indiana by the smallest of margins.
Indiana is a very conservative state. George Bush carried the state by more than 20% points in 2004. It is considered a colossal achievement for any Democrat to carry the state in a Presidential election. The last Democrat to win in Indiana (prior to Obama) was Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.
It has been conventional wisdom that Indiana will not be in play in 2012. Because of very strict vender/phone calling laws, polling in the state is difficult and rare. Most pundits have gone along with the idea that Indiana will return to the GOP column next year.
So why did Obama sit down and do a "one on one" interview with a local Indianapolis TV news anchor at the White-House last week? It looked like the President was doing serious outreach campaigning in a 'very local" manner towards residents of Indiana.
This went completely unnoticed in the National media. (But not to me!) Unless the White House has numbers different from conventional wisdom, the interview made no sense. I could see doing local interviews for news stations in Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio etc. But why Indiana?
Here is the link.
http://www.wishtv.com/dpp/news/politics/obama-gridlock-frustrates-me-too
Obama invited a local TV news-anchor to fly to the Whitehouse for interview!
Clearly, they know something about Indiana, that the rest of us do not.