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Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos & SEIU (8/18-21, likely voters, no trendlines):
Kate Marshall (D): 42 Mark Amodei (R): 43 Timothy Fasano (AI): 3 Helmuth Lehmann (I): 3 Undecided: 8 (MoE: ±4%) These unexpected results for the 2nd Congressional District special election to replace now-Sen. Dean Heller are starkly different from the only other public poll numbers so far — a survey by Republican pollster Magellan, which put former GOP state Sen. Mark Amodei up 48-35 over Democratic state Treasurer Kate Marshall. The closeness of PPP's numbers is quite surprising, given the redness of this district (it voted 57-41 for Bush over Kerry), Marshall's weak favorables (43-47), President Obama's poor job performance ratings (41-55), and the fact that the NRCC has already poured in over $400,000 on Amodei's behalf, much of it on negative ads. Outside Democratic groups (including the DCCC) have not gotten involved in the special, which is just a few weeks away (Sept. 13).
www.dailykos.com
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