Oh boy... it seems this sucker is coming straight to FL.

[Lost-in-FL]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT12/refresh/AL1211W5_NL+gif/023614W5_NL_sm.gif

[CaliforniaPeggy]

1. Hmmm...maybe.

It looks to me as though it's aimed more at Georgia and South Carolina...

Hard to say, really.

We'll know more in a few more days.

Hang on!

[SwampG8r]

3. wont even brush us

its headed for jersey is my estimation
it is in deep water now when the water level is less it will turn to the north

[Liberal_in_LA]

27. agreed. n/t

[cwydro]

30. I agree Peg...

I think it looks like it's got a bead on the more northern states...

We could use the rain...but I do feel a bit paranoid that I move away from Florida and all these critters keep heading this way lol!

Much safer here though...than on a tiny island.

[Renew Deal]

2. I thought it was going to turn towards Bermuda?

Jeff Masters thinks it's probable it will turn.

"Dr. Bob Hart's Historical Tropical Cyclone Probability web page suggests shows that tropical storms in Katia's current position have an 16% chance of hitting North Carolina, a 21% chance of hitting Canada, a 12% chance of hitting Florida, and a 54% chance of never hitting land. I suspect that Katia will turn north before reaching the U.S. and potentially threaten Bermuda and Canada, based on what past storms in similar situations have done, and assuming the jet stream maintains its current pattern of bringing frequent troughs of low pressure off the coast of the U.S. It will be another day or two before the models will begin to have a handle on the long-term fate of Katia, though."

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

[NYC_SKP]

4. Many look that way this early, they always turn to the North, move in clockwise fashion.

I hope this one acts like most of them and never makes landfall.

[Sherman A1]

5. Agreed

:thumbsup:

[NYC_SKP]

6. Graphic: Likely Tracks:

Hoping for nothing to fear.

:patriot:

[FLPanhandle]

12. No worries from this one.

Started to high.

[Broderick]

20. Sure seems that it is going to stay out to sea.

[Edweird]

7. Nah. If it was between Cuba and the Bahamas I'd be worried -

this one is likely only to be an issue for shipping.

[quaker bill]

8. Too far east for being that far north

It will be a big one though. There is an outside chance that the carolinas may need to get worried, but this is not likely.

[marmar]

9. I doubt it, if it's going that far north of the Caribbean islands.

nt

[Baclava]

10. FL will see more rain from this sucker

[Obamanaut]

13. This photo (link in msg block) looks like LA is more likely to receive

rain than FL, plus it it is moving north.

[Baclava]

14. The Panhandle is FL too - - not just that hangie down southern part

[FLPanhandle]

17. People always forget about us.

Even the state of Florida. Thanks for reminding folks.

[Obamanaut]

26. Looks like it will "hit" mostly La, with some into Alabama and Mississippi, and

maybe a rainstorm or two from the outer fringes into the tip of the Panhandle, but I bet nothing east of Panama City will see anything at all.

[TBF]

16. That sucker better bring Texas some rain - FL is doing fine. nt

[dixiegrrrrl]

19. We are going to be right in the middle of that sucker by Sunday, forecast says.

Rain and winds, no problem, as a rule, in my neighborhood, but tornadoes...that will be the issue.
Making grocery list now.

[haele]

25. Mother Nature sure is playing with Rick Perry...

"Missed Texas by 'this much'"....

Pray for rain, and everyone else gets wet - makes you wonder, doesn't it?

Haele

[itsallhappening]

11. Don't worry yet. (pic)

When I click on the forecast models, we get this:

[Freddie Stubbs]

15. Due to the Coriolis effect, Hurricanes have a tendency to go north

[Renew Deal]

18. It's not a done deal yet.

[Shagbark Hickory]

21. ...

:rofl:

[defendandprotect]

22. Yikes!!

[11 Bravo]

23. Only if Florida moves to the Maritime Provinces. (And if they take pRick Scott with them ...

that could turn out to be a pretty good deal!)

[Lost-in-FL]

24. Thanks for the new links with predictions.

It seems the storm in the Gulf of Mexico will create the conditions for that one to move to the north.

[inna]

29. yeah, it was useful to read this thread. good to see people are so well informed about this;

i personally know next to nothing about meteorology.

[roamer65]

28. Looks more like landfall in SC or NC.

[Lost-in-FL]

32. The picture keeps changing, but at certain point it look as if it was going towards FL. nt

[Broderick]

31. Its gonna shave NC again

[Motown_Johnny]

33. I'm afraid this might be the one that comes ashore in New York Harbor

Hopefully it turns east and doesn't make landfall at all but Irene has me nervous.

[SoCalDem]

34. Um..not likely.. Bermuda probably n.t