WASHINGTON — President Obama’s jobs bill proposal to cap tax-exempt interest for higher-income taxpayers surprised muni bond market participants and was seen as a betrayal by some issuers who, according to one analyst, could have to pay about $10 billion more in added interest costs over the life of their muni bonds if the proposal is enacted.
While most market participants don’t think the American Jobs Act stands a chance of approval by Congress, several tax experts warned that the cap on tax-exempt interest is ominous sign for future debates on deficit reduction and tax reform because it’s now on the table for discussion and would have to be part of any proposal to cut income tax rates.
Matt Fabian, a managing director at Municipal Market Advisors, said state and local issuers could end up paying about $10 billion in additional interest costs over the life of their bonds.
The estimate is based on two assumptions: that an investor who wants to buy a 5% coupon bond and is paying a 28% tax rate would need to receive an extra 50 basis points to replicate the after-tax current yield produced with a 35% marginal rate; and that the market returns to a more normal rate of issuance of about $300 billion per year.
Most market participants said lawmakers will never pass the jobs bill, but warned about the implications of the president’s proposal.
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