Swing States 2008 and 2012

[No Elephants]

For 2012, Politico puts Obama at 277 electoral votes and Romney at 260. However, a good number of the states seem to be within the margin of error, so anything is possible.

Swing states 2008


Colorado..........9 electoral votes
Obama in 2008; Romney slightly ahead now

Florida...........29 electoral votes (most electoral votes for any swing state)
Obama in 2008; Romney slightly ahead now

Indiana...........11 electoral votes
Obama in 2008 (McCain was predicted); not a swing state in 2012--now-solidly Romney

Missouri..........11 electoral votes
McCain won narrowly in 2008; not a swing state in 2012--solidly Romney now

Nevada............5 electoral votes
Obama in 2008; Obama leading now by about 3 points

New Hampshire.....4 electoral votes
Obama in 2008; Romney slightly ahead now (Romney lives there now.)

New Mexico........5 electoral votes
Obama in 2008; not a swing state in 2012--now solidly Obama

North Carolina....15 electoral votes
Obama in 2008; Romney almost six points ahead now (so much for holding the convention there?)

Ohio........... 18 electoral votes
Obama in 2008; Obama slightly ahead now (Obama really should get Ohio because of the GM bailout.)

Pennsylvania......21 electoral votes
Obama in 2008; not a swing state in 2012--now solidly Obama (despite Repub. Governor now)

Virginia..........13 electoral votes
Obama in 2008; seems tied now, but Politico gives it to Romney without explanation.



Swing States 2012

Colorado-see above

Florida--see above

Iowa---6 electoral votes
Blue state last time. Obama leading.

Nevada--see above

New Hampshire--see above

North Carolina--see above

Ohio--see above

Virginia--see above

Wisconsin--10 electoral votes. Blue state last time. Obama leading.