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Edited on Fri Nov-30-12 01:42 AM by No Elephants
I am so very sorry for Mike Capuano, for whom I would LOVE to vote for Senator.
But, while he is very knowledgeable and effective, he just is not slick or charismatic. And, sadly, that's what it would take to win.
Thing is, though, Brown may have more name recognition than either Markey or Capuano on a statewide basis. More people who think they know how Brown behaves as a Senator, but not so much Markey.
And people here actually believe that "work across the aisle" bs Brown peddled. People are hungry for that, given all the gridlock.
Brown gets Democrats (actually former Democrats, but they don't admit that) to campaign for him. Markey is never going to get a former Republican Governor of Massachusetts or any other Massachusetts Republicans to endorse him or be able to sell himself as bipartisan.
And a special election is very different in terms of Democratic turnout than a Presidential year, as we saw the first time Brown ran.
Finally, Warren beat Brown by 8 points, but, on that same ticket, Obama beat Romney by 23 points, which means a lot of people crossed over to vote for Brown.
And Brown cannot attack Markey on being female, a schoolmarm or an affirmative action fraud.
So, I would not be at all sanguine about a Markey-Brown race.
On the bright side, Markey is an old hand at this and also probably has 100 times more knowledge about the issues than does Brown. And Massachusetts sure seems to love her so(me Irish politicians, though WASP Republican males have done pretty well here, too. it's really Massachusetts's classical political fight--the Democratic WASC (White Anglo Saxon Catholic) Irish male vs. the WASP Republican male.
The older Irish politicians, like JFK's granddad, had it easier though because Irish Catholic voters had not yet broken away from the Democratic Party over the issues of choice and homosexuality.
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