Reply #3: wrote a book - "Keys to the White House," that says Bush unbeatable.

[papau]

http://www.iht.com/articles/121460.html
Capture gives Bush a big campaign boost

Brian Knowlton/IHT International Herald Tribune Monday, December 15, 2003
Absent a crisis, analysts see a juggernaut

WASHINGTON How big a political boost will President George W. Bush derive from the capture of Saddam Hussein? Very big indeed, according to several political scientists, who used words like "huge," "enormous" and "profound."
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Some analysts interviewed on Sunday said that for now the capture appeared to supply a daunting lead to Bush's re-election campaign, although all added careful caveats about possible developments between now and the November elections- a devastating new terror attack, unabated violence in Iraq or a new economic slowdown. "My first reaction was, you might as well call off the election," said Alan Lichtman, author of "Keys to the White House," in which he sets out 13 predictors of the likely outcome of presidential elections. <snip>

But for the political scientists, the verdict of the day was clear. "You would much rather be in Bush's position now than to be in the shoes of any Democrat," Sabato said. And Lichtman, whose 13-point prediction system indicated months ago that Bush was likely to win re-election next year, said that now - assuming the economy remains on a healthy course - "he's unbeatable."<snip>

Some analysts interviewed on Sunday said that for now the capture appeared to supply a daunting lead to Bush's re-election campaign, although all added careful caveats about possible developments between now and the November elections- a devastating new terror attack, unabated violence in Iraq or a new economic slowdown. "My first reaction was, you might as well call off the election," said Alan Lichtman, author of "Keys to the White House," in which he sets out 13 predictors of the likely outcome of presidential elections.<snip>