Democrats claim momentum in Senate race.

[jefferson_dem]

But we knew that already! Let's keep that "MO"!

Courtesy of the good folks at http://www.pollster.com/mystery_pollster/slate_updates.php

The most interesting thing about the tracking is the continuing showing of trends to Democrats in many states, despite the apparent slight improvement in the Bush job rating nationally. The Slate feature includes "momentum meter" for each contest based on an algorithm Charles Franklin created that looks for significant changes in the margin of the last five polls within each state. The Senate Scorecard also features a national "momentum arrow" that looks at changes in the average of averages across all of the 13 states we are tracking.

Right now the overall momentum arrow is pointing in the Democratic direction, and six states (Arizona, Minnesota, Missouri, Rhode Island, and Tennessee) indicate trends in the last five polls toward the Democrat. None of the Republican candidates are showing recent momentum shifts. This trend is definitely something to keep an eye on. If the national political environment improves for Republicans, we would expect to see some impact on these Senate races. So far at least, no such improvement is evident.

--Mark Blumenthal on September 27, 2006 in Mystery Pollster